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Well rough start last night, got a game 1 on ANA -1.5 tonight and a game 2 on em too to cover one of the losses from last night. Good luck!
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hubbard689 | 5 |
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Whoa whoa hold the presses everyone. Lines must have changed since last night as NYI -1.5 are now a play and although COL are only -175 ML favs they are also a PL play. So recap plays so far:
Play 1: PIT -1.5 2: NYI -1.5 3: COL -1.5 4: ANA -1.5 (tomorrow) |
hubbard689 | 5 |
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Play #2, tomorrow: ANA -1.5, +165
Thinking I will make this into a chase on every single play. So will be looking to make a profit off of the PL of every ML fav of >-180. The good thing is it won't be straight martingaling, as the odds will typically be between +140 and +180. So all 'game 1s' will be risking 1 unit. In the event of a loss a PL the next day will be used for a game 1 as well as the game 2 from the loss, I guess which game for the game 2 will just be up to me. But 2 units won't have to be risked on the game 2, it will typically be in the range of 1.3-1.5 units on game 2s, 2 units for game 3s, etc. Any input is appreciated as I'd like to make this system better! |
hubbard689 | 5 |
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Someone must have some thoughts on this! First trial tonight with Pens -1.5 +126 (was +138 last night)
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hubbard689 | 5 |
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According to covers, PL favs (-1.5) are hitting just 36.71% on the season. But just backtracked to Oct. 1st and ML favs of -200 or more are 3-4 on the PL. Assuming average PL odds of +145ish for > -200 favs, on the season if you bet all 7 you'd be up ~3.3 units.
Furthermore, I checked all ML favs of > -180 and found they're 6-8 on the PL, and assuming odds of ~+170 on the PL of any > -180 fav you'd be up about 8 units.
Thinking about making this an auto-play or maybe some type of chase. Thoughts? and does anyone have any stats on this dating back to last season(s)? Cheers |
hubbard689 | 5 |
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Where are Nets -9?! -7.5 on pinny
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six5juice | 4 |
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I'm assuming you're just upset because you had some bets on these? I'm sure whoever had unders here would be content (like me under 197 in Pho/Uta and they had a 26 pt 2nd Q...
Sure it sucks for the fans but teams to have rough shooting periods
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concavecapital | 13 |
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