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Rutgers "fantastic" run defense is based on holding teams that couldn't run through my living room. That statistic is irrelevant to me. Interesting feature to focus on, though, is Rutgers WR, Sanu, in the wildcat formation....he's big, fast, and athletic. He's extremely tough to stop. UConn has a solid running game, but it's not one to dominate a game enough to attract anyone's entire attention. They have a decent passing game. Not good, decent. When you pair all of the above, points will hit the board. I'm guessing ~ 50 pts. That leans me toward the over 43.5. As for the pt spread, Rutgers seems more consistent than UConn. However, they are consistently bad. UConn has shown good play. That alone can give UConn a 6-10 pt leniency. UConn -5 (small) Over 43.5 (large) |
Covers | 63 |
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yeah, eventhough the records and schedules would justify this spread, i think we would agree that it should be higher for FSU, which I suppose is the reason for the climb. Thus, we should look at NC St when questioning. However, I've bet on NC St plenty of times this year and each time, they come up short. Against BC, they came up very short. Their D was once solid but has lost their magic that always kept them in the game. The offense hasn't been able to do anything against even a mediocre defense and absolutely nothing against a good one. FSU's defense would be a mediocre one. Florida State will put their points up, especially at home and they'll show up for their legendary coach to stay in his reign. Florida State -9.5 |
Covers | 18 |
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ECU....they are always a tough weekday team. Being at Memphis isn't going to matter except in the first half. Take memphis in the first half but ECU runs away with it in the second half. Oh, and the under. 1st half Memphis 10 East Carolina 7. Final Memphis 17 East Carolina 27. East Carolina -5.5
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Covers | 151 |
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If Hansen is for sure starting, then you have to go with Colorado. But I think the play is the over. The buffs with an efficient QB and K St puttin up the numbers last week, points will light up the board. Over 51
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Covers | 6 |
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Rain is expected in this game which keeps the ball on the ground. There will be turnovers and a focused run defense. The entire northeast is getting rain tomorrow. The under is the play with maybe a small play on Navy. Under 54 |
Covers | 15 |
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I think the under is the play. Should be raining and if not, it will have rained, so the ground will be soft and a wet ball. And I don't trust either QB with a wet ball to be accurate. This game stays on the ground eating up the clock with some turnovers. Under 48.5
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Covers | 31 |
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Normally there is a logical explanation I can give on which pick I'm going with. I can't say that for this one. I'm still disappointed in Tulsa last night for a late game "i quit" mentality. Friggin frustrating. However, i do think this game should be a , but the degenerative gambler in me won't sit back. Thus, I'm going with FSU. Yes, they are exactly as said before...Jekyll & Hyde. They may show up and pound UNC. They may show up and waste the infinite amount of talent that they have...and if so, bye bye Bowden. That being said, they show up with gasoline in their piss...graphic, I know...but I see adjustments and they explode. Florida State ML
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Covers | 119 |
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After watching UCF vs Miami, I don't see Rice being able to stay with these guys. I high powered offense vs a slow and weak defense....no question. Central Florida -10
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Covers | 12 |
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This spread seems too easy. One that makes you hit the brakes and think twice about the obvious pick. But I like instinct plays. And this is a BIG instinct play. Virginia is a lot better than the team that played William & Mary. Nesbitt & Co., however, are too much too handle for UVA. Georgia Tech -4
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Covers | 35 |
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I luckily grabbed this line early at 7pts. I look for it to continue to climb. If you haven't already, take Cent Mich. No contest. Central Michigan -7
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Covers | 7 |
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Atlanta at home is tough. Bye week or not, Cutler has been very inconsistent in the past. Also, Adrian Peterson is out with Knox questionable. I don't think Chicago will be balanced enough to move the ball on Atlanta, a sub-par defense. However, Atlanta is very balanced and capable of killing a team in the air and on the ground. Urlacher out....Michael Turner has a big day. Atlanta -3.5
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Covers | 72 |
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First Wave:
Miss St -4.5 : Mississippi State goes into MTSU early today. These two teams aren't juggernauts but Miss St's running back, Dixon, is a juggernaut. He's tough and a good runner. After watching MTSU not be able to handle a mediocre running game in Troy. This is no question. Bulldogs romp.
Georgia -7.5 : Georgia goes to Vandy early today. Vanderbilt is always good to be an SEC spoiler. However, UGA has way too much of a defense and way too many athletes to have a letdown versus Vandy. Vandy's defense is weak and their offense should have trouble moving the ball. Big Play on UGA.
Second Wave:
NC State ML : I know what you're thinking....that's crazy. With BC playing incredibly inconsistent ball, this is a perfect opportunity for NC St to spoil the Eagles' season. NCSt's defense is very strong all over the field. Boston College is just too fickle to back in any situation.
Colorado St. +22 : Going up against a physical TCU, the rams will have their work cut out for them, but Col St has played good ball all year (take a look at it). I'm not saying they'll win this ball game, but I am saying that they keep it close until late, where TCU scores one late to put it away at 14pts.
California -3.5 : Cal is at a make or break point and they know it. They have the talent and it depends on whether they show up to play. I can tell you, though, being at the Rose Bowl versus UCLA, it'll get anyone ready to play. Their talent will be too much. Cal by 14.
Third Wave:
Virginia Tech -3 : All I can really say is that I think Virginia Tech is in the running for the best team in the nation with Alabama and Florida. They are playing incredible ball and Tyrod Taylor is one of the most dynamic players in college football. Oh yeah, and their defense is REDICULOUS!!
UAB +22 : Ole Miss has been sorely disappointing this year. UAB's QB Joe Webb is a very elusive QB with a somewhat good arm. He'll be able to do enough damage to put up points. Their defense held a good So Miss offense. Again, I don't think the dog will win this one straight up, but it should be close enough to win some dough with UAB. Small play, though.
UL Lafayette -7.5 : Sun Belt matchup with WKU. WKU has had an embarassing season. ULL played a good game (what a Sun Belt team good game would be) versus LSU. This is the play of the week. I know...I know....you aren't going to get to watch this one. But if you want the dough, cash it in, go to sleep, collect it later.
Good Luck Everyone!!
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guipickem | 1 |
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Interesting game with an interesting spread. Georgia with obviously more to lose in this one. Vanderbilt is one of the SEC spoilers of recent years including Kentucky, South Carolina, and Ole Miss (which has been a sore disappointment thus far). Thus, I like to think Vandy can get it done. However, I think Georgia's defense is a little too much to handle for Vandy. Georgia will get their points. So I like Georgia, and I don't think it to be unwise to put a big sum on it. Georgia -7.5
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Covers | 19 |
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This is one of those scary lines that doesn't make much sense. That usually means that you should go away from the pick that makes the most sense. I can't do it, though. After watching both teams last week, I don't think MTSU can come even close to stopping Dixon for Miss St. I think this game is close first half just due to the homedogs, but the second half becomes a trouncing by the Bulldogs. Mississippi State -4.5
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Covers | 18 |
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toughness: Pitt
strength of schedule: Pitt
offense stats: Pitt
defense stats: Rutgers
After watching both teams play this year, it's really hard to go against Pitt in this one. Thus, I'm not. You have to lean Pitt here especially looking at the line movement. Every sign points to Pitt, bad weather, or not. Pittsburgh -5.5
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Covers | 101 |
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These two teams are up to prove something in this game. South Florida is stamped as the physical defensive team. Cincy is seen as the poised offensive team with a steady defense. However, I see USF putting up at least 14 pts in the first half. One TD on a big play and the other on a good drive. Home team always has a big play on weekdays. Them being tough will help them sustain one good drive. Cincy being poised and able to protect a QB will allow points for them as well. I can't honor giving up only 7pts to FSU by USF. FSU's offense isn't exactly juggernaut. Thus, Cincy will get their points. 17 maybe 21 in first half. 2nd half will go back and forth with defense and a couple of TDs. Cincy -2.5 and over 48.5
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Covers | 168 |
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interesting drop in the line and thanks for the heads up boiseter. you have to think boise big here. national television. if it rains, they'll beat em worse. tulsa not being as potent as usual with boise dominating across the boards like usual. the UCDavis game does concern me, though. early morning lean is Boise St. -8.5. but i do wanna look at more research for this one.
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Covers | 207 |
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it's true that the titans shouldn't be going into this game with this bad of a record. they are due for a win. it just wont happen this week, though. indy understands that this is a perfect letdown situation. they wont let it happen. indy's defense is too strong and although peyton and co. may start slow, they'll find a way to win. and even if it's late, they'll win this by a td+. Indianapolis Colts -4
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Covers | 153 |
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Under.....Houston meets an SEC defense that likes to hit. And with a loss to UTEP, Houston doesn't have any hope for BCS anymore. I like Miss St but may stay away from spread and take under. Under 68
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Covers | 31 |
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The Nutt is known for blowing it with a ranked team expected of big things. They did it in SC and they stayed ranked. They'll do it again this week. Alabama hasn't blown people away until the 2nd half of games. They seem to be in better shape. Ole Miss will be prepared, so this game may come down to the wire. However, i can see Ole Miss chokin with the game on the line or showing up with too little too late. Bama's running game won't be shut down, so Bama just needs to avoid mistakes. Play action will be there for a big strike. Ole Miss doesn't have as potent a threat. Bama wins it late with a 4th qtr margin of 14-0. Alabama 31 Mississippi 17
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Covers | 46 |
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