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put $20 on Tot at the half for +1300, excellent value.
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TooBigAndHard | 5 |
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Appreciate the thread Wahoo ... can you give me your take on wyoming?? ... my first instinct was to take them but the more i research, the more i like emu.
Wyoming, 3rd year coach, seems to suck ... went into a total tailspin last year. QB is solid and a good RB. EMU upgraded their QB as well... he's played a lot of football. EMU has no real home field advantage but at least they're not at wyoming. My only reason for taking them is the revenge for the blowout last year (at home).
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WahooS | 88 |
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I see a lot people on wyoming but the more i look at this game, I like emu. The main reason for taking wyo in my opinion is the revenge factor. Players have said this game ruined their season last year. Well, they sucked last year. 3rd year coach at wyoming ... he was worth a garbage he would have won before now.
EMU program is coming back a bit. Team continues to get better each year ... baby steps albeit. EMU has two QBs, last years that did ok and the transfer that seems pretty good. Home game for emu. it won't matter since emu gets a couple thousand fans only. But at least they're not in wyoming. All in all, these seem like two pretty equal teams ... i'll take the points and at home. I see it close the entire game.
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Covers | 12 |
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Quote Originally Posted by lordzud: Wisconsin is replacing their quarterback for this game. The spread is Michigan St -4.5 and the over/under is 41.5. Parlays are generally for suckers because the book slips in extra charged juice for every bet made on the parlay. However there are exceptions and this is one of them. If you bet on Michigan St than there is a greater than 50% chance the game is going over. If you bet on Wisconsin there is way over a 50% chance the game is going under. If Michigan gets up a TD or more than Wisconsin has to play catch up. The value bet here is a Michigan St-4.5, over 41.5 parlay. This bet pays 3.6 times the wager at 5dimes. It is a really good value bet simply for several reasons. Dropping below 42 and hitting the over is great. Betting against a new QB put in the game midseason is excellent, and the chance of this parlay paying off is far greater than the risk. and get them greedy books The logic is the same one i use to play parlays ... in fact, I only play parlays that if scenario one happens, then it's most likely scenario two happens. I'm a spartan season tic holder and close watcher. I don't see this play the same way as you. I can see a final score 28 - 10, 21-14, 30-10. I'm not sure the wiscy has an offense that will for sure get 20 points which needs to happen for the parlay. I think the spartans do have one that can and should score in the 20s and maybe up to 31 or 34 ... but as you saw last week ... dantonio with a 2 TD lead is going to start eating clock. I like the spartans in a simple cover here. I see the o/u as a pickem.
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Covers | 16 |
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replied to
TEMPLE @ PENN STATE - U R out of UR mind if U think Penn State is losing to Temple 2 years in a row
in College Football
Also, I'm not convinced that PSU now has a good QB, all of a sudden. One good game does not make him a stud. Let's see what he does this week with the media sucking his dong all week.
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scalabrine | 108 |
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replied to
TEMPLE @ PENN STATE - U R out of UR mind if U think Penn State is losing to Temple 2 years in a row
in College Football Quote Originally Posted by Cyclone1008: My take .... I like Temple to maybe keep it close +9.... Yes temple lost a lot of their secondary and D line from last year. But they do return their top 3 or 4 linebackers. and their D line starters this year were reserves, first subs in last year. Also jahad thomas their senior 2000 yd rusher has been out. should be back. Pitt just racked up 350 rushing yards. Penn st has a soph QB who didn't face temple last year.... going up agasint a senior QB for temple who is pretty good. But lost his top wide out and has some green receivers to break in vs army. He is good but had to play with out most of his surrounding offense's weapons. Well penn state so far has been a passing team so not exactly going to exploit the run on temple the way army can do it to everyone on ground. those linebackers will be blitzing that sophomore more QB. and their D line and linebackers do return half of their Sacks from last year, they will be pressuring him. if Temple gets their 2k back for this game. and can have more balanced on O... i can see Temple keeping this close. and i think this Paterno thing can only be an added distraction for penn state players. extra Questions by media. u name it. Temple beat Penn st last year for the first time in a very long time, not often they have the quality personal they do have this year facing a penn state....they will be coming to play. This is good info. as well .... thanks for the balance, i'm leaning Temple! I especially like the JoPa distractions ... Thinking Temple +4 1/2 in the first half.
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scalabrine | 108 |
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This is a great call .... i haven't posted since LuDawg and in his spirit I will post in his thread another small school vs. power 5 game.
Western Mich vs. illnois ... i live in michigan and been hating on western for years but i'm on the wagon now. illinois is not good and western is for real ... not power 5 real but they are a solid team and should win this game by 10 points. You can give the 3 points or take the money line. I'm doing both. They have a good qb, a great WR and can run the ball. And their coach PJ Fleck has a shitload of positive energy. The players love him ... Illinois blew whatever wad they had last week vs. NC. And i'm not sure lovie truly has the energy and passion to rebuild but either way western is the better team. Western will bring 5000 fans if not more ... attendance will be low and quiet.
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LuDawg | 11 |
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Quote Originally Posted by syracusejoe: 1-0 Syracuse/Lville over couldn't have been much easier 2nd play- Georgia st +21 This program is improving. They are not the push over they were last year. This game matches them up against the triple option. They have experience playing teams running the triple option and doing well against it. Georgia st can also score a few points. Air Force on the other hand is a little overrated. They are tough at home but I think Georgia st keeps this one close. I can see a 31-17 type of score. Good luck to all. Play at your own risk. I am looking at a couple of other ones. I was leaning hard on Purdue all week but will not pull the trigger. Don't know much about GA St but I follow your thoughts here ... i think it's a good one. Also, i felt the same thing about Purdue at home ... i know them fairly well. At home this is a big game for them. If they're ever going to make a move under this coach, it will be done here. I like getting the points, being at home and it means more to Purdue than it does Cinci ... which is odd for a B1G at home.
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syracusejoe | 60 |
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Good calls Mega ... one thing that you may want to re-look at about MSU is that they are playing very good football right now (last two weeks). I can't speak about iowa but MSU is really confident, Cook played his best game last week, defensive secondary is healthier and playing much better than earlier in the year when they had two true freshman starting at the safeties. And the OL is healthy and in rhythm for the first time all year.
I know nothing about iowa but as a follower of everything MSU, i can tell you this team (and Dantonio --> talked about playing in two bowl games) is really confident and the players are loose. |
MEGALOCKS | 137 |
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replied to
WRITE-UP! I trashed them last week and now I'm going to back them: Penn State @ Michigan!
in College Football Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine: I don't think there is any chance of it being a Penn State blowout. They simply don't have the personnel to win a game by that much away. Look at their schedule. I can't fault them for the wins but no teams blow you away in terms of quality (The Akron Zips and Umass? Then needing every second of the Rutgers game to win it late)
Is the dumpster fire out? No. Does that mean Mich will not get a win until the end of the season? No. If Mich gets to 6 wins they are bowl eligible. Win today and all of a sudden the dumpster fire shows turns into a glimmer of hope for a bowl. I actually like Garder and Hackenberg turns the ball over at a similar rate compared to Gary Nova! Get some turnovers and hold on late is the recipe for victory for Mich. Best of Luck brother .... i'm going to take the other side ... hoping to get 2 pnts .... going to wait until game time. Oh, my take is that PSU does have the person to win by 2 TDs ... his name is Gardner.
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scalabrine | 37 |
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replied to
WRITE-UP! I trashed them last week and now I'm going to back them: Penn State @ Michigan!
in College Football Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine: I'm going to take the team I faded last week in Michigan (and who burned me by .5 pt) at home over Penn State. I thought about this game the moment Michigan lost to Rutgers and I believe the Wolverines pull it out for the following reasons: THE PICK: MICHIGAN -1 over PENN STATE It's an interesting game for sure ... two other negatives for UM. #1 - Is the dumpster fire out? The distractions to um have been huge... the coach is fired after the year? The team has no leadership, the players have regressed .... the OL is terrible ... the D giving up big plays. Recruits are de-committing. The local and national media is all over the team. The answer is ... not sure. Looked somewhat better against rutgers but now they go back home. Same place they got wooped and wooped bad against minny and utah. #2 You're counting on Gardner to win this thing with his arm. PSU has a good run defense ... very good. Gardner is NOT accurate and has a history of making terrible decisions. All in all, i'm inclined to take psu .... 40% chance PSU wins by 2 TDs ... 60% it's close till the very end.
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scalabrine | 37 |
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Yep, i'm on purdue as well .... up to 10. love it at 10. the last 3 games between these two shitty teams have been within 7. purdue is improving a little bit. Wouldn't be shocked if Purdue wins straight up.
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fat italian | 36 |
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Quote Originally Posted by STEVAN74: Need the 2 best picks of the day any suggestions?? Rutgers is one for sure. |
STEVAN74 | 4 |
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The spartan offense is the real deal. Balanced and they have a great QB in Cook. Braska has the best RB in the college game. Ameer is really special ...
For Braska to cover or even get the W, Tommy is going to have have a good to great day throwing the ball. Can he?? ... MSU / Cook will match everything that Braska can do on offense. MSU has the better D for sure, but they are not as good on D as last year. Don't take the under ... yes it's going to rain but only light rain is what is being forecasted and not much wind. Did MSU own Braska last year? No, but MSU controlled that the game and ran a ton late in that game ...
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Covers | 21 |
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Quote Originally Posted by clifmart: Nebraska, in what should be a good game, plus the points. Michigan State is overrated, again . What ? may want to check again ... ATS this team is crazy good. They went 13 - 1 last year SU .... how exactly are they overrated?
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Covers | 21 |
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line is moving to illinois ... at -10. love purdue keeping it close ... possible upset. Not sure why it's moving to illinois though. ??
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Covers | 9 |
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B1G ... again, don't trust me alone. Trust me only if Mega gives a little lean love.
Pur +9 @ Ill - 3* pick. Purdue keeps it within 7. Two shitty teams ... ill coming back with their starting QB (he sat last week due to a concussion). The last 3 head to head games were within 7. Purdue is bad but they are improving, a bit. ill D is terrible and their offense just is ok even with the starter back. Pur is going to keep this close. ill is a 2nd half team ... ill might get 20K fans ... so no worry about a home field advantage. Pur with a chance for an upset ... if you can get +300 take some of that too. I can't right now. Rutgers - 2 vs. michigan. Rutgers 4* Dude, michigan is an absolute tire fire. The line movement here was fascinating. Opened a near pick ... moved rutgers as much as 5 ... now back to -2. Why .... i think the public is thinking michigan has superior athletes and can't possibly be this bad. "They'll rally and getting away from ann arbor will be a positive. " Well, they do have the better athletes and getting away from ann arbor is a good thing. But they have no coaching and no leadership within the team. michigan is 1-4 ATS ... this is one of the teams that you will look at and see they go 2-10 ATS at the end of the season. I'm becoming convinced that the public will keep believing in the athletes and not recognize how bad this team is and how bad the coaching is. Rutgers is solid. This is big home night game for them. The crowd is going to rowdy and ready. As long as they don't turn the ball over they win by +14. Summary ... spartans -6 1/2. rutgers - 2, and purd +9. Staying off osu, indiana, and wiscy ... the question on the wiscy game is if northwestern is solid now. Did they fix the D? I'm guessing not but something doesn't feel right about this game.
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MEGALOCKS | 202 |
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BTW, MEGA .... awesome research coupled with great capping ... .... seriously good stuff.
Clearly, the best on the board .... anyone want to recommend anyone else that can do even close the MEGA. I'm a B1G fan ... i'll give some quick thoughts on the B1G but I should not be trusted by myself (although ahead this year). |
MEGALOCKS | 202 |
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Quote Originally Posted by ATSDominance: Good day all, I've got the MSU/NEBRASKA UNDER 60 FOR SURE!! Questionable injuries. Nebraska significant lean on run game. Poor weather. No doubt in my book. Good luck to all. CHEERS big spartan fan here ... you may want to be carful and not go too hard on the under. The rain is suppose to be light. Spartan offense is very balanced but their passing game is explosive ... if braska can run effectively, which is likely, the spartans are going to throw it more ... and they can score a ton of points. They may put up 40 or 45 on their own. i'm getting spartans -6 1/2 .... i love anything under a TD. For braska to win they have to throw it effectively ... my guess, they can't. Spartans win by 10+ ... a little concerned about the back door cover, so it's NOT a 5* pick ... i put it at 3*.
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MEGALOCKS | 202 |
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took northwestern for quarter 1 ... -3.
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Covers | 11 |
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