ewillie169

Member Since:November 2008
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ewillie169
Pro Football > New England at Buffalo (09/20/2015) > View Post
BUF +1 (2 units) - I’ll probably wait for the number to rise before placing a real bet. The angle here is the “fade the Thursday night winner the previous week”. That and Ryan’s record vs. the Pats (8-5 ATS). I also like that the public is pounding the Pats, i’ll side with the books who need to recover from the beating they took last week. SCORE: Patriots 21 - Bills 27 

ewillie169
Pro Football > Detroit at Dallas (01/04/2015) > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by jwadd:
No Suh, Detroit bad on road, Romo playing at a new level.  Cowboys all day long -7.  You can thank me later.

Who can we thank for Suh winning his appeal?

ewillie169
Pro Football > Detroit at Dallas (01/04/2015) > View Post
DET +7 - i like Detroit’s defense, again i’ll wait til game time to see if the number rises. SCORE: Lions 24 - Cowboys 28

ewillie169
Pro Football > Cincinnati at Indianapolis (01/04/2015) > View Post
IND -4 - better Defensive Hog IndexI & RI, SCORE: Bengals 24 - Colts 31

ewillie169
Pro Football > Baltimore at Pittsburgh (01/03/2015) > View Post
BAL +3 - (1.5 units) - I’ll wait til game time to see if i can get a higher number. SCORE: RAVENS 27-Steelers 24

ewillie169
Pro Football > Arizona at Carolina (01/03/2015) > View Post
ARI +5.5 - I’ll wait til game time before i pull the trigger. SCORE: Cardinals 21 - Panthers 20

ewillie169
Pro Basketball > Milwaukee at Charlotte (12/29/2014) > View Post
MIL +3.5

ewillie169
MLB Betting > Oakland A's win the World Series > View Post
This week will decide the AL West, the Angel in the lead going into this weekend.

ewillie169
Pro Football > San Francisco at Seattle (01/19/2014) > View Post
Wiseguys all over Seattle, line jumped to 4...i'm sticking with the niners.

ewillie169
Pro Football > New England at Denver (01/19/2014) > View Post
NE +5 - I like Manning but not his playoff record, I'm going with Belicek and Brady. SCORE: Patriots 30 - Broncos 33

ewillie169
Pro Football > San Francisco at Seattle (01/19/2014) > View Post
SF +3.5 - Tough to predict, with trends favoring both sides, tough to win 4 road games in 4 consecutive weeks, the crowd noise,  but Kaeps has multiple offensive weapons on track and seems to be ready to use his legs more effectively, Wilson seems to hesitate pulling the trigger lately, Lynch is unstoppable in beast mode,  I'll take the points. SCORE: Forty-niners 27- Seahawks 20.

ewillie169
Pro Football > San Francisco at Carolina (01/12/2014) > View Post
SF -1 (now at 2) - I caught -1 earlier this week but still think they'll cover with Crab. V.Davis and Aldon Smith back, i'll bet the niners on revenge mode this week. The last game between the 2 was lost by the niner O-line IMHO, they'll have to give Kaep more time if they expect to get by Carolina this week. SCORE: Forty-niners 24 - Panthers 20

ewillie169
Pro Football > New Orleans at Seattle (01/11/2014) > View Post
NO +8 - The Saints may not win and seem to have a chip on their shoulder for being dubbed a bad road team.  But with a decent game vs. the Panthers in week 16 and last week's road game, the Saints should keep it close if not outright win.  SCORE: Saints 20 - Seahawks 24

ewillie169
Pro Football > San Diego at Denver (01/12/2014) > View Post
SD +10 - i might even place a bet on the ML to boot. Bolts #23 defense (#19 strength of schedule) at Denver #19 defense (#24 strength of schedule) = even match up, i'll take the points. SCORE Chargers 27 - Broncos 33

ewillie169
Pro Football > Indianapolis at New England (01/11/2014) > View Post
IND +7.5 - Indianapolis #20 defense (#11 strength of schedule) at New England #26 defense (#21 strength of schedule) = Colt win and cover. SCORE: Colts 24 - Patriots 27

ewillie169
Pro Football > San Francisco at Green Bay (01/05/2014) > View Post
SF -2.5 (now 3) - grabbed the 2.5 earlier but still like the niners to cover.  Everybody and his mother's brother is on SF including Coherd's pick of them winning the SB along with the other talking heads as someone mentioned, that gives me some pause. What decided it for me was the differential in the Defensive Hog Index (1 vs 17 rank). Kaep hasn't impressed me the down the stretch and Rogers is only in his second game back from his injury so i'll go with the defensive stat for my money. SCORE: Forty-niners 27 - Packers 20

ewillie169
Pro Football > San Diego at Cincinnati (01/05/2014) > View Post
SD +7 - the spread appears to be too high, while the Bungles will most likely win I like Rivers' ATS as an underdog 28-17 in games after Nov. 17.  SCORE: Chargers 21 - Bengals 27

ewillie169
Pro Football > New Orleans at Philadelphia (01/04/2014) > View Post
NO +2.5 - i don't like the Saints road record, but i'll side with their D to keep Foles in check in his first playoff game as a favorite, not a good situation vs the veteran Brees.  Line seems fishy, i'll wait to see if it steams to 3 later in the week. SCORE: Saints 33-Eagles 21.

ewillie169
Pro Football > Kansas City at Indianapolis (01/04/2014) > View Post
KC +2.5 - I'll wait til gametime to see if i can get a 3 or more. I'll be betting on KC's defense to keep it close.  SCORE: Chiefs 20 - Colts 21

ewillie169
Pro Football > San Diego at Denver (12/12/2013) > View Post

DEN -10 - The Bolts are 1-11 ATS off 1 or more straight overs during the last 2 seasons.  Denver meanwhile has covered 11 of last 13 in reg. season at home, and with Manning and crew motivated by post-season standings with Brady and Belichick hot on their heals for HFA, i like Denver to cover.  The OVER may be the better play. SCORE: Chargers 21-Broncos 34


ewillie169
Pro Football > Baltimore at Detroit (12/16/2013) > View Post

DET -6 [Atlantis]


Rule of thumb, bet the favs early and dogs near game time, so I better slap some units on Det while its below the key number. The lions lost in driving rain to the Steelers and to the Eagles in the snow bowl, they're a bad-weather team but looked like the better team in each case, now they're home. The Ravens on the other hand are a bad road team (2-4 ATS/1-5 SU). SCORE: Ravens 18-Lions 28.

ewillie169
Pro Football > St. Louis at San Francisco (12/01/2013) > View Post
SF -8 -Crabtree may be rusty but does add to Kap's arsenal with Boldin/Davis. The read option should be in full swing.  SCORE: RAMS 14 - Forty-Niners 31

ewillie169
Pro Football > Tampa Bay at Carolina (12/01/2013) > View Post
CAR -7.5 - the streaking Panthers are 6-1 ATS and now face a face a Tampa Bay defense minus Darrelle Revis and MLB Mason Foster. SCORE: Buccaneers 10-Panthers 24.

ewillie169
Pro Football > New Orleans at Seattle (12/02/2013) > View Post
sea -5.5  Wilson has never lost at home, he now has Percy Harvin back as well as his OL starters. SCORE: New Orleans 21-Seahawks 31

ewillie169
Pro Football > Denver at Kansas City (12/01/2013) > View Post
KC +4.5 - The Chiefs have the loudest outdoor venue in the AFC and the weather could factor. Peyton is well known for not being effective in weather below 32 degrees. SCORE: Broncos 21 - Chiefs 24

ewillie169
Pro Football > Arizona at Philadelphia (12/01/2013) > View Post
ARI +3 - the under-rated Cardinals have won 7 of its last 10 games. Philadelphia gives up the second-most yards in
the NFL. The Arizona defence along with the resurging offense under Palmer should give the Cards the win. SCORE: Eagles 21-Cardinals 24

ewillie169
Pro Football > Atlanta at Buffalo (12/01/2013) > View Post
BUF -3 -Buffalo may be losing some of its HFA in Toronto, but that doesn't help the injury-plagued Falcons.  Coming off a bye, the Bills have a league-tied sack defense of 37 sacks. SCORE: Falcons 24-Bills 30

ewillie169
Pro Baseball > Oakland at Texas (05/20/2013) > View Post
OAK Colon +112 (1.5u) - i bettin against the first time starter vs the ol veteran, plus Cespedes seems to out of his slump.

ewillie169
Pro Football > Baltimore at San Francisco (02/03/2013) > View Post
Stations and Mirage/MGM just went to 3.5... damn i wish i was in Vegas now

ewillie169
Pro Football > Baltimore at San Francisco (02/03/2013) > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by BreakaBookie:

I have a Ravens superbowl future to hedge (9-1) do you think the line will continue to go down?

I would imagine the public will jump all over the points.... but I need a low moneyline to keep some cash away from the book!


This is a tough one, I really have no inclination..... I think SF will pull it out but 4 points against the Ravens seems like alot.


GL TO ALL!



I grabbed +5 today on Balitimore, but hoping the line will come down to 3.5 so that i can get SF at that number....but i doubt it will go down.... too many niner fans here in reno and the line will probably go up by gametime, currently sitting @4...IMHO
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