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Really like Grillo to play that back 9 better on the 3rd day. At least this tomorrow he gets to play the front 9 first.
GL
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alangrrbs | 11 |
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keep it going brotha. its an interesting system.
I do a similar thing but just roll with fading any 70% or higher consensus game, and always look a lil closer into the primetime games. so far its running around 60%. last year it ended up right in the same neighborhood. cheers
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LeRinkRat | 180 |
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Agreed. On Utah St with the same mindset. Inflated line = value for us!
GL
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shipit_1 | 30 |
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Quote Originally Posted by bigrazz: for y`all who accutally think that the NFL is rigged. your a bunch of DUMBASS`S! how in woeld would they be able to script that? you would need all 106 players to go along with the "so called stoeyline", and for these guys that go out their every sunday risking their life and playing with cracked ribs,broken thumbs,really bad spraned ankles, ext,ext. and dont give a damn who wins and cant even get out of their own bed come monday morning. WHAT THE HELL ARE Y`ALL THINKING???? You can't get into a serious debate over this until you read into both sides of the issue. Look at my avatar. That's evidence alone. That game was rigged for Seattle to cover. If your serious about pursuing some information on the subject, pick up a copy of Dan Moldea's 'Interference' or Brian Tuohy's 'The Fix is In' and then also from tuohy 'Larceny Games' Read those books before you continue ranting. Reminds me of how this country was created in the first place "Hey, what are you doing? " "Practicing my religion...why?" "Well you can't do that here!" "why not?" "cause i said so... it's wrong, its bad. Your fucked up, and we'll kill you for it" "Wow... really? You don't even know anything about what i do, and what does it matter anyways? im my own person, i can believe what i want" "Nope. Your wrong." "Well... could you at least me hear me out?" "Absolutely not. Your fucked in the head, and were gonna start killing you guys actually... so keep that in mind" "OK then, well i guss i'm outta here..." Hate to bring religion into it... but you've gotta consider both sides here. We're dealing with $6billion TV deal. would you leave a $6billion industry up to chance? NO! You'd control anything you can in order to ensure maximum profit. Ratings drive this league. Drama drives this league. Just keep an open mind, thats all i'm saying. With that being said, i too like Minny. Too much hype. Dallas is 7-1 ATS, there is no way they are going to finish that hot. Vegas will be out of $ if they do. |
Covers | 45 |
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Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits: The NFL is rigged. You didn't know that by now? So of course that is how Minnesota will win this one....they'll rig it they like do for each and every game. That's why I don't watch it either, too boring knowing it's staged. However I do watch sometimes when I am betting on the game. I'll be watching this one closely and cheering Minnesota on to their first road victory of the season. Dallas does not have a great offense either. They have not been putting up big numbers their past couple of games. The game with Denver was also scripted to be a very high scoring game, so that Dallas would cover. You can't give Dallas the credit there. And you mention Ponder under QB. Well he is the best QB they've had all season so I feel comfortable with him playing. He will get the job done if that's what he's supposed to do. I feel like this one will be rigged for Minnesota to get the victory plain and simple. Nothing more to add here, as you agreed if they win, then it's rigged. But the cowboys are madly over-rated. Even if it wasn't rigged Minnesota would probably cover the +10.5 FINALLY someone else around here who understands!!
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Covers | 45 |
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good catch... Fielder is a Tigre now afterall... good ole' day drinking. Fielder still did bad enough in the 1st to win me two props!
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ninjutsu25 | 34 |
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FIELDER just spent 4 lovely days in the dry heat around the 100 degrees in Arizona. Now he gets to fly to NY to spend his time off in this god damn sweltering mess. You may say, 'well he was in 100 degrees ,and its only 95 in new york' Well, add the heat of a city and humidity, and all of sudden.. you've got swamp behind. Your balls cannot be pried off of the side of your leg. There is not a enough cornstarch in the world to save us here in the northeast right now. Including this guy. He weighs 275 lbs. I do not want to be near his jock when this thing is over. He also has won it twice, with nothing much to prove. Overweight people move very slow in this heat.
Both CANO and FIELDER are laying some impressive props in h2h matchups. I'm looking at a few including ALVAREZ +145 vs Fielder in round 1. And BRYCE +145 vs Fielder round 1
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ninjutsu25 | 34 |
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i'm ruling out CANO and FIELDER.
CANO has got a few days off, beside playing tomorrow. He lives in town. He knows how hot its going to be in the city over the next week, and how hot it has been the last few weeks (10 straight home games to end 1st half) He plays for the Yankees who are struggling. We will never know, but i'm sure he was told by the organization not to over do it in the derby. Yankees have been home for about 10days leading up to the break, and next they play 15 of 18 games on the road including a west coast trip. All the Yankees are certainly going to be enjoying themselves over break. He also has won it before. I see less motivatoin |
ninjutsu25 | 34 |
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i'm ruling out CANO and FIELDER.
CANO has got a few days off, beside playing tomorrow. He lives in town. He knows how hot its going to be in the city over the next week, and how hot it has been the last few weeks (10 straight home games to end 1st half) He plays for the Yankees who are struggling. We will never know, but i'm sure he was told by the organization not to over do it in the derby. Yankees have been home for about 10days leading up to the break, and next they play 15 of 18 games on the road including a west coast trip. All the Yankees are certainly going to be enjoying themselves over break. He also has won it before. I see less motivatoin |
ninjutsu25 | 34 |
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i live up the road from this team... they will not lose tonite, as duquesne is just not good enough. one may argue umass bench isn't that deep, and Morgan was their best combo of offense and perimeter defense... but this should not be enough for a flat out win
i will however recommend a small play on duquesne getting +9
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ka4life | 10 |
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the only larger forces at work here are the league fixing going on to setup Master vs Padawan.
Ill be very shocked to see COLTS losing tmrw gl
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GeorgeBailey | 10 |
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ill be attending this game tonite.
i've seen 2 games so far this season, i live one town over from campus. umass will shoot the ball more than ohio, that is for sure, but will the shots sink? thats been the problem with this team. they aren't hitting their shots compared to last year when they do hit their shots, they are a very dangerous team. IMO they have one of the best PG's in the country , so the upside will always be there for this team. Routs will come, just a matter of time, but a consistent piece of work from this team will not be easy to achieve having seen the sample size so far defensively, this team is also a mess. can't play zone. having tough time sticking to their assignments. take too many chances defensively, in hopes to pick off steals, cherry pick and play the run and gun game. it worked last year, as the defense didn't have as much pressure. but this year, since these shots aren't falling for umass the D has more pressure on them they can rebound, but that only gets you so far can't wait for the game! look for me on tv! wait this game isn't on tv...
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Iceman313 | 6 |
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like it.
NFL could use a shoot out here. Bring back some of that fan base that was pulled slightly away cause of the ref's. over 43.5 for me. lets get it!
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JoeyPublic | 18 |
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oh ya not to mention... WASH is back on grass again, this will not be as high flying an affair as their previous two games
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Covers | 24 |
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i guess i'm a moron
the public loves this over. has anyone stopped to think.. rookie QB vs sophomore QB, Cinci D that has underperformed , and 2 offense that have over performed. This thing sails under. 50 is a gift from GOD you support Taliban if you bet the over
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Covers | 24 |
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anyone else notice.. all the $ is going on ATL and the line or juice isn't moving a tad
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Covers | 22 |
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I think there will be a primetime under trend happening this year. Everyone bets the over every SNF and TNF with MNF getting even more bets on the over every week. Sheer amounts of blind bets because of action junkies who need something. Only a small amount of the betting public are seeking out unders. More experts, pro's and sharps will always be considering every bet to make, including unders.
So that means that there will generally always be more bets on overs in primetime games than unders. If we get games where more $ is on the overs, (despiteless of the number of bets for each side) then i begin to wonder just how much Vegas stands to lose if these games go over. This is where i may lose alot of people, but I honesetly feel that sometimes Vegas may be 'phoning a friend' so to speak, and some of these primetime games will go under to save the book's from losing their shirt. There is a lot of $ going around out there, and corruption is nothing new to this world. Now i'm not saying lets blindly bet every under, but be aware of whats going on. Keep this in mind. this is a tough game to pick, i'm leaning CAR but its -3 for me now, and the o/u fell to 49. GL
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Covers | 94 |
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definitely on the under here 44 booking it.
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Covers | 28 |
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Colts +1.5
I like this game, Luck will not lose his home opener. All the hype. All the drama. Its simply a "better story" and the NFL could use some of the Indy fanbase back
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Covers | 16 |
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like Seattle . Clearly the better team, i don't care if its away. Arizona's O line stinks.
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44-dimes | 27 |
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