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I have played this system the past 4 years I am not so much concerned about the two losses but I am concern about the amount of plays. There are not a lot of plays qualifying this year I guess due to,parity. Usually we end up with just over 100 wins and a couple of losses but that will not happen with the amount of plays that's are qualifying. I do not suggest changing the filters of the system unless espn changed the way the rpi is calculated. If the volume picks up we could get a profit out of this if not we might have to monitor the rest of the year and see if things change next year
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Danrules24 | 250 |
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Quote Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT: Jeff at what point do the number of plays (wins) increase to reach that many total plays in three to three and a half months?
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JEFFTHEHAT | 895 |
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Damn I didn't see the correction on the oak play yesterday.
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JEFFTHEHAT | 895 |
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Jeff has not gone trout
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JEFFTHEHAT | 895 |
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Jeff I sent PM
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JEFFTHEHAT | 895 |
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Jeff congrats on the first two wins of the year. Since there is a lot of discussion in this thread and no one knows how the picks are made the plays for the day are going to be hard to find.
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JEFFTHEHAT | 895 |
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Quote Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT: Last years update for Spring Training 90-37 70.8% all straight bets! Jeff, will you post the plays for spring training in the thread to give us a taste of the system. Also will you be sharing the plays for the system?
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JEFFTHEHAT | 283 |
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I show just one play today:
1* Indiana
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bDnews | 113 |
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BDnews are the results base off of closing lines?
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bDnews | 113 |
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Yesterday's Results: 1-0 Sunday - Feb 9th NBA NO PLAYS bDnews can you confirm thanks
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bDnews | 113 |
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Yesterday's Results: 1-0 Sunday - Feb 9th NBA1 *STAR* - Brooklyn 1 *STAR* - Memphis bDnews can you confirm thanks
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bDnews | 113 |
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Thanks meh
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cytdemasi08 | 3 |
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Which bank or banks in the United States are the most successful with cashing withdrawals from sportbooks? I am trying to decide which bank I should have my sportsbook withdrawals sent to. Any info would be great. Thank you
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cytdemasi08 | 3 |
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Do we play stl on the +1.5 run line since they are the underdog?
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CKP22 | 1194 |
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Lets say the avg odds are -125
2 game chase: A&B Games are 82%: 250-55 (so on a 2 game chase -4.06 x 55 = 223.44 lost plus 250 wins that's a total of +26.55 units profit in 17.5 years. 4 game chase: 255 - 10 (with -125 odds each 4 gm chase is a loss around 25 units) 25 x 10 = 250 + 295 won that is 45 units in 17.5 years. So it looks like you need to be willing to risk about 57 or more units per 5 game chase or you are going to have small profit with the 2 game or 4 game chases. Another way to look at is if there are 18 plays per year and 315 documented plays that is 17.5 years of documented plays. If there are 10 losses during that time frame than we will avg a loss every other year. Not sure if it is really worth it when you crunch the numbers.
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JEFFTHEHAT | 353 |
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I get a debug error when I run the spreadsheet
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DegenGamble | 223 |
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ARZ only has 3 wins in the last 10 games
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Danrules24 | 682 |
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That was the MLB rpi continuation system. He posted those plays seperately two years ago.
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Danrules24 | 682 |
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Also 4 win differential filter would have kept us off of the Bo's chase
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Danrules24 | 682 |
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I was not confident in the Bo's chase from game one. Like I mentioned on Friday the system is all about good teams beating bad teams and this was a case were two good teams were playing each other but it was an official play. If you look back on previous b2w post he explains that he sometimes uses a higher unit value for some series and lower in others an it helps make up the difference. This was a perfect example. Last year was the mets year in the year. What would be surprising is if the braves lose to the mets today (if the line opens) and we lose a two game chase to the mets with the braves that might be the most ridiculous rpi chase loss of the season.
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Danrules24 | 682 |
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