Pro Football >
Green Bay at Seattle (01/18/2015)
QUOTE Originally Posted by JIMMYCYPHER:
I am fairly new to this but was taught by someone who does this for a living (14 years). I've never lost a dime of my own money as I built up my winnings using the casino's roll over bonus ;-) I am also completely dispassionate about sports; I couldn't care less who wins or loses and rarely watch the games. So... we have point shaving, (basketball), bribed refs (NBA), soccer rigging (singapore), that mysterious 20 min superbowl power outage in N'aluns, and that AC failure in the NBA championship last year. Many NFL playoff games this year have been decided by controversial ref calls. So clearly, the best team doesn't always win. Every post here is about why one team or the other is better overall, but the refs are deciding not just the spreads but W/L on these games! It's quite possible that TV ratings matter most which is why most series run 6 or 7 games and "zig zag." What 2 teams will get the most viewers? What is the best story/narrative for the commentators to blab on incessantly about for days on end after like a Vegas hooker who broke a nail? I am ignorant of standard football knowledge but b/c of this, I also think outside the box. Seattle-GB will probably be closer than most people think; and no one really cares about the Colts; it's not their time yet and viewers would rather hear talk of Brady's incredible career.
take New England ML -260ish), and buy points on GB (currently +12.5/-295ish). parlay each with a quasi "sure thing" in NBA or NHL for near even odds.
constructive comments welcomed and good luck :-)
Seriously, either you work for the books or the dumbest bettor ever. Buy pts to get a -200 is plain stupid. Green bay is already over the key number of 7. If you wanted to play what you had stated, a 6pt tease would suffice. Sea -1.5 or GB +13.5 along with something else. Like maybe UK in hoops action today. Probably best to do a 6.5 or 7pt teaser if you like. Sea ML and GB+12.5. Either you're a shill for the books, which I think you are, or just plain dumb.