chopperocker

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chopperocker
NFL Betting > Start saving for week 1 Seattle +3...... > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by BIGDTITLE:
forget this game and take Falcons -7 in Chicago.....This will be a blowout of epic proportions.
too many points to lay in week 1 on the road with a track team not knowing what field conditions will be on natural surface. Falcons likely win SU but the spread to me looks more 50/50 at this point in time. i'd be looking to fade the ticket count at kickoff on this one.

chopperocker
NFL Betting > Texans > View Post
when O'Brien got there they had Case Keenum, Thad Lewis and Tom Savage. i would say they have overachieved making the playoffs 2 of 3 seasons under O'Brien with no legit QB.

as far as the draft picks go i'd feel comfortable making a lay bet that for the next 5 seasons the Browns will continue having a less then 50% win record each season. legit desirable free agents don't want to live there and when rookie contracts expire players leave if any team wants them.

chopperocker
NFL Betting > Start saving for week 1 Seattle +3...... > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by Wess_Tijuana:
In their blowout loss at Green Bay near the end of last season, Seattle actually outgained the Packers, led in time of possession, and picked up more first downs

However, it is difficult at any level to compete effectively when losing the turnover battle 6-0

6-0 !!

Earl Thomas will be back in Centerfield for this one; last year at Green Bay was the first game for the Seahawks without him after he broke his leg during a 40-7 blowout of Carolina the week prior

This line will push to 3.5 I am sure

Green Bay will not win the turnover battle 6-0 this time around

Bottom line, the  Seahawks this September will be much closer to the version that took the field in Foxboro against the full-strength  Patriots last year in mid November

...A game, of course, that the Seahawks won by 7

I see real value here on Seattle 




i was curious so i looked up - Previous head 2 head meeting committing 6 or more turnovers, next meeting month of September as Away Dog 12-4-1 ATS with the average line being +5.9 i would still try to get +6 or more in-game if nothing else but to win the battle of getting the better line.

chopperocker
NFL Betting > Start saving for week 1 Seattle +3...... > View Post
double revenge on the road not that strong in my opinion. Seahawks won 3 straight in the head 2 head before obtaining this double revenge scenario. my line is Packers -2.5 making this a PASS on betting game. 2 quality teams with a good line. i would possibly play Seahawks if getting +6 or more in-game.

chopperocker
Pro Football > Seattle at Indianapolis (10/06/2013) > View Post
Eastern Time Zone teams as Home Dog(Colts) vs a West Coast team(Seahawks) on the 2nd of back2back Road Games are 16-4-1 ATS last 10 years.

Colts are 15-3 ATS at Home off back2back Road Games(week 3 @ 49ers, week 4 @ Jaguars) last 10 years.

Andrew Luck is 4-0 ATS as a Home Dog.

chopperocker
College Football > Michigan at Alabama (09/01/2012) > View Post

Michigan 34 Alabama 13 i should warn all...  i am really high right now.....


chopperocker
College Football > Michigan at Alabama (09/01/2012) > View Post

Michigan 34 Alabama 13 i should warn all...  i am really high right now.....


chopperocker
Pro Football > Arizona at New Orleans (08/05/2012) > View Post

this game definately  has more meaning for the Saints. IMO they will look to send a message to the League that they do not intend to lay down and rest so easily. however, i see them goin' 5-11 in the reg. season.


NOR   -3


chopperocker
CFL > Saturday Doubleheader > View Post

odd trend i know, but Road Favs off a Home Fav SUATS loss are 2-10 ATS last 5 years. Fade BC.


CAL +1


chopperocker
NFL Betting > How much do you factor in trends in your overall handicapping > View Post
trends are a great resource for identifying coaches/teams personalities. marc's playbook can give you a hint of what you really want to look for. dont ignore trends, but dont automatically bet on them. the real key to success is discipline. dont get greedy. marc's book is a good information sources for stats and past results when your on the go. i would recommend phil steele's college football preview for sure.

chopperocker
CFL > winnepeg > View Post
oh, also Edmonton now 2-8 ATS as a Road Fav since '07. 

chopperocker
CFL > winnepeg > View Post
Winnipeg now an amazing 11-8 SU and 14-4-1 ATS as a Home Dog since '07

chopperocker
CFL > new CFL capper lookin for situational trends and to share... > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by Powerz:
Also Meant to say good thread


Home favs from 1-3 were 9 ATS with 4 SU losses Last year



Home favs from -4 to -9.5 were 7 Wins Ats - 4 Wins no Cover  - 12 SU losses last year
thanx for the contribution Powerz. we will make good money in this thread. im still waiting to see the week 1 lines, but we can assume the value is in the dogs. week 1 Dogs are 13-6-1 SU and 17-3 ATS last 5 yrs.

chopperocker
CFL > new CFL capper lookin for situational trends and to share... > View Post
teams off a Home Fav SU loss are 2-10 ATS as a Road Fav.

chopperocker
CFL > new CFL capper lookin for situational trends and to share... > View Post
teams of a Road Dog Straight-Up win are 21-11 ATS as a Home/Road Dog and 12-5 Straight-Up as a Home Dog in theyre next game.

chopperocker
Pro Basketball > Boston at Miami (05/28/2012) > View Post
Over 179

chopperocker
NBA Betting > Put your life savings on the Heat series price. > View Post
anybody seen a price yet?

chopperocker
Arena Football > Wagering On CFL Preseason Games > View Post
rethink that thought.

chopperocker
CFL > new CFL capper lookin for situational trends and to share... > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by rdrflyer:

Shhh! CFL is one of the best kept secrets out there!


GL!

i figured that out before i could even get halfway thru a 5 yr study. PM me if ya can rdrflyer

chopperocker
NFL Betting > Suggs out for year > View Post
tough news, but should bring more value to ravens backers. ravens are 14-4 ATS as home fav vs. non-divisonal opponent.

chopperocker
CFL > new CFL capper lookin for situational trends and to share... > View Post
BC Lions are 20-7 ATS as Road Dog & 4-12 ATS as Road Fav last 5 seasons. hello?

chopperocker
CFL > new CFL capper lookin for situational trends and to share... > View Post
Road Favs of -1 to -2.5 are 3-11 SU/ATS last 2 seasons. hello?

chopperocker
CFL > new CFL capper lookin for situational trends and to share... > View Post
seems simple, but reg. season week 1 favs are 6-13-1 SU and 3-17 ATS. is this simply the books not bothering to be sharp or CFL being too difficult to set lines for? if theyre are sharp CFL cappers out here lets get into discussions, cuz id rather stab myself in the eye than capp MLB!

chopperocker
CFL > new cfl games > View Post

preseason june 13


reg season june 29


chopperocker
Pro Basketball > Chicago at San Antonio (02/29/2012) > View Post
Away:  Chicago [21-15 ATS] 2-0 ATS as Road Dog
Home:  San Antonio [20-13-1 ATS] 10-4 ATS as Home Fav

chopperocker
NEW - Vegas SportsDay Podcast > Vegas SportsDay: Monday 10/24/2011 - Dont Miss Monday's Show > View Post
great news! thank you covers!!!

chopperocker
NFL Betting > Should we bother capping this last game? > View Post

one more team to be removed for the never been there list -


  • Teams that have never played in a Super Bowl:

    • Cleveland Browns
    • Houston Texans
    • Jacksonville Jaguars
    • Detroit Lions
    • New Orleans Saints

  • Teams that have never won a Super Bowl:


    • Buffalo Bills
    • Cincinnati Bengals
    • Cleveland Browns
    • Houston Texans
    • Jacksonville Jaguars
    • Tennessee Titans
    • San Diego Chargers
    • Philadelphia Eagles
    • Detroit Lions
    • Minnesota Vikings
    • Atlanta Falcons
    • Carolina Panthers
    • New Orleans Saints
    • Arizona Cardinals
    • Seattle Seahawks

    i guess if you follow the trends Indy wins but doesn't cover?


    Fave is 7-3 SU & 3-6-1 ATS


    AFC 7-3 SU & 4-5-1 ATS


    Single digit fave is 7-1 SU & 3-4-1 ATS


    Single digit AFC fave is 6-1 SU & 3-4 ATS


    This is a good game to tease if you can get on the right side of the O/U.


    Team trends lean to the Over but SuperBowl trends lean to the Under.


    The Under is 6-0 last 10 when O/U is set at 47 or higher.


    The Over is 4-0 when O/U is set at 46 or lower.


    6pt Tease Indy +2.5 and U62 


    chopperocker
    NFL Betting > The League have cheated for the Saints lately > View Post
    last yr. AZ first trip. this yr. N.O. first trip. F*#K the saints. if peyton doesnt get his second ring i have lost all respect for this league!!!!!!

    chopperocker
    NFL Betting > The League have cheated for the Saints lately > View Post
    fix   

    chopperocker
    NFL Betting > Some NFC title game thoughts > View Post
    i agree MN ml is the play here. im adding IND ml as a 2 team parlay for added value.
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