Systems & Strategies >
does anybody have a NBA system ?
Originally Posted by SS01750
Check the line prior to start.
Wait for a run.
A big run, 10 pts or so.
Bet either the fav or dog.
Don't bet on sub .500 teams (they may not come back as a fav or cover as a dog).
Ex: Tor line -7.5, other team big run, live line Tor +3.5 take Tor +3.5.
The bookies know.
Tor win by 7.
Don't bet too late in the game. Don't bet on a 4pt run.
Why take a fav at -4 when you can get them live in the
Second quarter at +3 because of an unlikely and lucky run (that can't be held?)
Can't tell you how often great teams have given me much better odds in game because of an unlikely run by the dog.
Can't tell you how often crappy teams have given me much better odds because they have been run on. Why take a team at +9 when I can get them in game at +19.
The bookies know. Check the line first and bet against it in game with live betting. But only with big unlikely runs. And don't bet on a crappy team to come back in the fourth. Sometimes they don't have the mustard to come back.
Bet on a winner, like Tor.
SS your strategy makes a lot of sense.