bmilehigh

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bmilehigh
College Football > Utah at Arizona(9/22/2017 11:30:00 PM) > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by themyth:

Ariz. has won 4 of the last 5 vs. Utah and the last 2 at home.They hung tough against a very good Houston squad. Ariz. can score, as always, but they actually are pretty darn good on defense this year too for a change.  I'm taking Ariz. and also the UNDER  - T HE Myth


A pretty darn good defense doesn't give up over 600 yards in total offense to Northern Arizona. A pretty darn good defense gives up about 245 total yards a game and only 48 on the ground - where most of Arizona's offense has been generated so far this year. That would be ...Utah -3

bmilehigh
College Football > Fresno State at UNLV (10/10/2014) > View Post
I like Fresno State here. They should have a lot of success with their running game against an awful UNLV rush defense and cover. 

bmilehigh
College Football > Baylor at Texas (10/04/2014) > View Post
I'm not having a great year so far, but I expect to get healthy on Baylor this week. I don't think the Texas offense can keep up with Baylor's, not by a long shot. Baylor's defense has given up some points in the past two games, but in the words of BIll Murray in Meatballs, "It just doesn't matter". Why? Because Texas can't score. 23 against Kansas? 17 against a UCLA team that gave up double that to Memphis? 7 against BYU? Texas ranks 100th or worse in most offensive categories. Baylor ranks in the Top 5 except rushing, where they're 24th. 

Baylor, - 16 1/2 GLTA

bmilehigh
College Football > Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech (09/20/2014) > View Post
I expected a big letdown from VA Tech after going to Ohio State and winning. I also expect them to come back and play well again this week after what is probably a hard week of practice.

VA Tech - 7 1/2

GLTA

bmilehigh
College Football > Wyoming at Oregon (09/13/2014) > View Post
Didja see some of the scores from last week? Clemson put up over 70 against an FBS team...just as an example. With humans involved in who gets into the playoff, coaches are motivated to run up the score. Oregon is definitely in the running for the playoffs if they keep winning, and laying huge numbers on Wyoming is called for. Also, Mariota is a Heisman candidate, so they might let him play a little longer than usual to add to his numbers.
I don't think there's much chance of a back door cover by the Pokes because I'm pretty sure that Oregon's second string is better than Wyoming's first on both sides of the ball. I'll give the 43 for the game. It'll take an act of God to stop Oregon from covering.

bmilehigh
College Football > Rice at Notre Dame (08/30/2014) > View Post
I like Rice here. Notre Dame hasn't been great in home openers against mostly mediocre opponents, and they're always overpriced. They beat Temple last year by 22, but Temple had only two wins last year - Army and Memphis. Rice is no Temple. They've won 15 of their last 19, including a win over Marshall in the CUSA championship.They also have a QB that can run as well as throw, and I like him matching up against an ND front seven that will have five new starters this year.

bmilehigh
College Football > Pittsburgh at Bowling Green (12/26/2013) > View Post
The Falcons are 10-3 ATS. Pitt is 5-7. The most impressive number here is BGSU's defense, which gives up just over 14 points a game. They'll be facing a Pitt team that is 104th in total yards. Pitt will have trouble scoring.

BGSU - 5 1/2

bmilehigh
College Football > Washington State at Colorado State (12/21/2013) > View Post
These two teams look similar on paper, but the level of competition they played is very different. CSU gave up 41 points to Colorado, and 42 each to UTEP and New Mexico. When WSU was giving up lots of points, it was to bowl teams like ASU, Oregon, etc..

Washington State -5

bmilehigh
College Football > Army at Navy (12/14/2013) > View Post
I like Navy here. I agree it's a lot of points for a rivalry game, but after awhile, the talent difference can't make up for the rivalry factors (see Indiana vs. Purdue this year for another example of the outcome of a rivalry game between an OK team and a bad one), and this is one of those games. 

Army beat really bad teams this year...Eastern Michigan and Louisiana Tech at the FBS level, and that's about it. They lost by 14 to Air Force in a pick 'em. Navy has done much better against much tougher competition. 

Having said that, glad I got in early.

Navy, - 10 1/2

bmilehigh
College Football > West Virginia at Kansas (11/16/2013) > View Post
Kansas' offense is ranked 119th in total yards and averages just 15 points a game.  Their defense is ranked in the 90s in every major category. Charlie Weis is their coach. 

West Virginia isn't great this year, but they will be motivated because winning vs. Kansas and Iowa State makes them bowl eligible. For a team from a party school, that's plenty.

West Virginia, - 6 1/2

bmilehigh
College Football > Iowa at Purdue (11/09/2013) > View Post
Purdue doesn't have the talent to beat a single team in the Big 10 this year. Iowa is motivated, as they become eligible with the win...and they may not win another game after this one. Purdue has scored about 7 points in the past 10 quarters or so. Iowa has a good defense, so they shouldn't score many in the next 4 quarters. 

Hawkeyes - 14 1/2

bmilehigh
College Football > Southern California at Oregon State (11/01/2013) > View Post
Dang!!! Sorry about the multiple posts. 


bmilehigh
College Football > Southern California at Oregon State (11/01/2013) > View Post
36-7. 27-21. 33-31. These are the three scores, all OSU wins, from the last three times these teams played each other in Corvallis. In each game USC was favored, by 3, 24 and 10 1/2, respectively. Obviously, USC has some problems in Corvallis.

While it's true that SC's defense has posted some good performances and numbers, a closer look is pretty revealing. They have played three teams with pass offenses ranked in the top 25: Hawaii, Washington State and Arizona State. They beat Hawaii, who has a pass offense and nothing else, but lost to Washington State, and Arizona State hung a huge number on them. Oregon State has a better ranked pass offense than any of those teams.

Stanford beat OSU last week because Stanford is a better team. USC isn't, not even within 5 points.

OSU -5

bmilehigh
College Football > Southern California at Oregon State (11/01/2013) > View Post
36-7. 27-21. 33-31. These are the three scores, all OSU wins, from the last three times these teams played each other in Corvallis. In each game USC was favored, by 3, 24 and 10 1/2, respectively. Obviously, USC has some problems in Corvallis.

While it's true that SC's defense has posted some good performances and numbers, a closer look is pretty revealing. They have played three teams with pass offenses ranked in the top 25: Hawaii, Washington State and Arizona State. They beat Hawaii, who has a pass offense and nothing else, but lost to Washington State, and Arizona State hung a huge number on them. Oregon State has a better ranked pass offense than any of those teams.

Stanford beat OSU last week because Stanford is a better team. USC isn't, not even within 5 points.

OSU -5

bmilehigh
College Football > Southern California at Oregon State (11/01/2013) > View Post
36-7. 27-21. 33-31. These are the three scores, all OSU wins, from the last three times these teams played each other in Corvallis. In each game USC was favored, by 3, 24 and 10 1/2, respectively. Obviously, USC has some problems in Corvallis.

While it's true that SC's defense has posted some good performances and numbers, a closer look is pretty revealing. They have played three teams with pass offenses ranked in the top 25: Hawaii, Washington State and Arizona State. They beat Hawaii, who has a pass offense and nothing else, but lost to Washington State, and Arizona State hung a huge number on them. Oregon State has a better ranked pass offense than any of those teams.

Stanford beat OSU last week because Stanford is a better team. USC isn't, not even within 5 points.

OSU -5

bmilehigh
College Football > Southern California at Oregon State (11/01/2013) > View Post
36-7. 27-21. 33-31. These are the three scores, all OSU wins, from the last three times these teams played each other in Corvallis. In each game USC was favored, by 3, 24 and 10 1/2, respectively. Obviously, USC has some problems in Corvallis.

While it's true that SC's defense has posted some good performances and numbers, a closer look is pretty revealing. They have played three teams with pass offenses ranked in the top 25: Hawaii, Washington State and Arizona State. They beat Hawaii, who has a pass offense and nothing else, but lost to Washington State, and Arizona State hung a huge number on them. Oregon State has a better ranked pass offense than any of those teams.

Stanford beat OSU last week because Stanford is a better team. USC isn't, not even within 5 points.

OSU -5

bmilehigh
College Football > Southern California at Oregon State (11/01/2013) > View Post
36-7. 27-21. 33-31. These are the three scores, all OSU wins, from the last three times these teams played each other in Corvallis. In each game USC was favored, by 3, 24 and 10 1/2, respectively. Obviously, USC has some problems in Corvallis.

While it's true that SC's defense has posted some good performances and numbers, a closer look is pretty revealing. They have played three teams with pass offenses ranked in the top 25: Hawaii, Washington State and Arizona State. They beat Hawaii, who has a pass offense and nothing else, but lost to Washington State, and Arizona State hung a huge number on them. Oregon State has a better ranked pass offense than any of those teams.

Stanford beat OSU last week because Stanford is a better team. USC isn't, not even within 5 points.

OSU -5

bmilehigh
College Football > Ball State at Akron (10/26/2013) > View Post
I like Ball U here, but I haven't been able to find out why the line took such a dive so late. I still like Ball State -11.

bmilehigh
College Football > Colorado State at Wyoming (10/19/2013) > View Post
Stevopa is right. I like the matchup between the Wyoming offense vs. the CSU defense. Pokes - 6 1/2 (got in early before it jumped to 7)

bmilehigh
College Football > Baylor at Kansas State (10/12/2013) > View Post
If someone told you that Baylor was playing a team that had beaten Louisiana-Lafayette and UMass but lost to North Dakota State, would you take Baylor and give 17 points? You bet your behind. K-State hasn't really improved much since getting off to such a shaky start.

Bears -17.

bmilehigh
College Football > Wyoming at Texas State (09/28/2013) > View Post
I like Wyoming here. They've covered big at Nebraska and at Air Force and they've covered two games at home. Confidence is high, and I also like the matchup of their passing game against the Texas State (awful) pass defense.

Texas State covered vs. Texas Tech, but only by a point, and Tech was having QB issues. 

Wyoming -11

bmilehigh
College Football > Louisville at Kentucky (09/14/2013) > View Post
Olivpinc is right. This is a rivalry game, but I don't think Kentucky has the talent to keep up with Louisville this year. The former head coach at the University of Colorado, Bill McCartney, once said that it wasn't his responsibility to keep the score down in games, it was the other team's defense. Look for Louisville to adopt a similar approach in this game, too. 

bmilehigh
College Football > Oregon at Virginia (09/07/2013) > View Post
UCLA, Stanford and Utah were the only three teams to stay within 22 points of Oregon last year. Virginia couldn't beat any of those teams this year. Oregon - 22.

bmilehigh
College Football > Boise State at Washington (08/31/2013) > View Post
I like Boise here. As stated by thesoulpurpose, Coach P always has Boise ready for the first game of the year...with the exception of the ugliness last year at Michigan State. In the three year's previous opening games, Boise beat...and covered vs. Georgia, Virginia Tech (both away games) and Oregon. Those teams went a combined 31-10. 

Washington is good at home. True, but they went 2-4 ATS against ranked teams last year. 

Boise +4...but they win outright.

bmilehigh
College Football > Wisconsin at Stanford (01/01/2013) > View Post
Wisconsin has not come close to beating a team the caliber of Stanford this year. Adding in the Big 10's Rose Bowl curse, the game won't be close.

Stanford - 6 1/2

bmilehigh
College Football > Nebraska at Georgia (01/01/2013) > View Post
Blake has it right. Nebraska is a bad team against a very, very good Georgia team. Also, don't expect Georgia to show any mercy here. 

Dawgs -10

bmilehigh
College Football > South Carolina at Michigan (01/01/2013) > View Post
The only reason South Carolina won't cover will be because of something stupid Steve Spurrier does. They're much more talented, have much more speed than Michigan.

Cocks -5

bmilehigh
College Football > Mississippi State at Northwestern (01/01/2013) > View Post
All Northwestern has done this year is go 11-1 ATS. Giving smart guys like the Wildcats a few weeks to study for a game should be a boost, too. 

Northwestern +2

bmilehigh
College Football > Purdue at Oklahoma State (01/01/2013) > View Post
Purdue got bowl eligible by beating only one team with a winning record. They lost a bunch of games in a down Big 10. No way they'll be able to stay with an Okie State team that has improved greatly over the course of the year.

bmilehigh
College Football > Minnesota at Texas Tech (12/28/2012) > View Post
Minnesota won't be able to hang with Tech's team speed. Also, the Gophers became bowl eligible by beating a lot of bad teams...including several in a down Big 10 this year.

Tech -13.
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