bigcat33

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bigcat33
Pro Football > Baltimore at San Francisco (02/03/2013) > View Post

I like the Ravens in a somewhat lopsided win much like the Pats game. Kaepernick is still just a rookie with only 10 starts. While he is talented and well coached, I just can't see him beating Baltimores defense. Ravens will focus on him with schemed and tough defense. Hoping Baltimore will get up early on the 9ers like Atlanta did. Flacco will rune a very balanced offense and with time running out, Kaepernick will press and start making mistakes. Baltimore won't look back. Take the points and over.


Good luck to all.


bigcat33
Pro Football > New York at New England (02/05/2012) > View Post
Congrats to the G-MEN. They are the better team. Manning played better than Brady also. NY had a better running game and better defense. Pats need to get a running game and improve their defense if they want to win another Super Bowl. Can't expect Brady to win these games alone.

bigcat33
Pro Football > New York at New England (02/05/2012) > View Post

Gameday - Watching videos of the past two Pats - NY games shows the Pats just barely missed several big plays which may have changed the outcomes of those two games. I look for NY to emphasize the run to keep Brady and Co. off the field. Eli will mix a pass here and there for balance. Of course the Pats will scheme and play deception defenses to counter.


I think the Pats will run no huddle when on offense to keep NY defense off balance to move the ball downfield quickly for scores. Quick scores to challenge NY to keep up which may aid NY in making mistakes. NY will off course try to pressure Brady with blitzes and coverage scheme.


It looks like NY "outmatches" the Pats especially in the run offense. But....the PATS may "outplay"  the G-men with their schemes and don't forget about special team play. And also don't forget about that "Tom Terrific" quarterback. He is determined to win that fourth superbowl for his coach and himself joining where now only two QB's and single coach now sit. He can carry that team to victory. He is that good.


It is going to be a great, great game. Good luck to all.


bigcat33
Pro Football > New York at New England (02/05/2012) > View Post

oh yeah, I agree with several posts - the under is the best bet.


Good luck to all.


bigcat33
Pro Football > New York at New England (02/05/2012) > View Post
I think the G-men match up well on both offense and defense. Special teams may favor the Pats. It should be a hell of a game with two all star QB's and two very good coaches. Who's going to make the big mistake late in the game? That's your loser.

bigcat33
Pro Football > New York at New England (02/05/2012) > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by LoCarbMonster:

As a las vegas resident, and a fan of the lowly rams, i'll offer a few thoughts on this game - as an impartial observer!  The current line is new england -2.5 and the total is 54.


The patriots have the worst defense, statistically, of any superbowl representative.  The giants overall defensive #s aren't that great, but they've had significant injuries.  They defeated the pats on the road, now they are a 'dog on a neutral field?  Something doesn't add up!!!  I haven't really seen any patriot posts on here that provide ample reasoning for a new england victory.  The giants are now healthy, have been winning on the road...should be able to get pressure on brady, and should be able to put up 30+ points this sunday.  I'm taking the Gmen ML and the over (down to 54, will most likely go back up since the public loves betting the over).  Additionally, gronkowski will not be at full strength...could even aggravate the injury during the game forcing him to the bench...the only thing that worries me is that it seems like "everyone" is on the Giants in this.  However, as my buddy says, sometimes "it's just that obvious."  Can someone give me a reason to bet the patriots other than "it's tom brady and the hoodie is coaching."  ????????  Thanks!


 



The above make sense to me. But nobody is talking about Special Teams and I believe the Patriots may have an advantage in the special teams. Actualy were not this years Conference Championship games decided by Special Teams?


Even at 54 I am taking the under.


Good luck to All


bigcat33
Pro Football > New York at New England (02/05/2012) > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by moxton:





wow.  this could be the most ridiculous thing i have ever read.  Black eyed peas played at last years bowl and peas are green, so green bay won?  holy cow man....



So based on your fact basis I suppose we could also assume the following:



* This years Super Bowl is being played at lucas oil field.  Oil is black.  the giants have more black players than the patriots.  Giants and UNDER!  



Maybe we could also assume the below, using your extremely advanced and calculative methods...



*Madonna will be performing the halftime show. madonna was a big popstar in the 80s. She once wore a silver cone bra. Eli's head is shaped like a cone.  Giants !



*Tom Brady has 2 kids.  Santonio holmes had 3 illegitimate kids before he left college.  He wears a green jersey.  Tom Brady has green socks.  Patriots!!!



Gonna be a tuff game.  my $ is on Pats.  Last play of the game.  WHo would you rather have driving down the field?  My money is on Brady..no matter how many kids he has!!






The Back Eye Peas - ?????


Oil is black - ?????


Madonna wore a silver cone bra - ????


Tom Brady is wearing green socks - ?????


 


I'm laughing and crying at the same time.


 


bigcat33
Pro Football > New York at New England (02/05/2012) > View Post

It is hard to believe that G-Men are getting 3 points. You don't even see it going down to 2 or 2.5. - ??


NE only played two winning teams all year and lost them both. Gronk is hurt and with it being a high ankle sprain how effective will he be? O CHO going to be the savior? I don't think so. The money is going to the G-Men


Can anyone make any sense of this?


bigcat33
Pro Football > New York at New England (02/05/2012) > View Post

My gut tells me that Giants will win. G-men defense will perform better than Ravens frustrating Brady. He will have no chance to go deep while Eli will run the ball, throw deep and short - racking up the score. Ravens should have won last week but self destructed.


G-men offense will be better. Brady will press and there will be mistakes. It's all good until game time.


bigcat33
Pro Football > Cincinnati at Houston (01/07/2012) > View Post
I would like to see Cincy win, but don't see it happening. Houston is at home and Cincy has a rookie QB. I suspect more that forty points will be scored.

bigcat33
Pro Football > Atlanta at New York (01/08/2012) > View Post

I like the Giants giving 3 - Atlanta outdoors in the cold - not good.


I also like the under. Guessing the total score will be 41 to 43.


bigcat33
Pro Football > Detroit at New Orleans (01/07/2012) > View Post
Both very good teams....and...10 pointsis too much. Take the points. I also don't see a record 60 points being scored. The odds are here.

bigcat33
Pro Football > Pittsburgh at Denver (01/08/2012) > View Post

Locally it's Stillers -8 1/2 and O/U of 34.


I think Ben R is playing a little game witht he media about a setback in his injury. Supposedly he reinjured it in the 3rd QTR of the Browns game. What I saw was Ben missing receivers in the first half and improved in the second half even though there was a few drops bu recievers. Take som attention from Tebow and say Ben is not 100%. Gaming Denver and the media. Stillers up early and then the defense scores on a clueless Tebow.


Give the points and take the over.


bigcat33
Pro Football > Pittsburgh at Green Bay (02/06/2011) > View Post

Been hearing / reading about GB's 5 wide receivers and AR's quick release. GB may line up 4-5 receivers and have Rodgers move around in the pocket to throw and possibly run it.


Interesting thought and I am sure we will see this at times GB has the ball. Steelers must run and control the clock keeping it away from GB's offense. Of course this is not an original thought.


Yet no one is talking about special teams. I see this as a big advantage for GB - unfortunately. 


bigcat33
Pro Football > Pittsburgh at Green Bay (02/06/2011) > View Post

Currently I am still thinking it will come down to who makes the least mistakes. On Monday we might be talking about this fumble or that interception cost Packers/Steelers the game.


Still looking for +3 for Steelers. Spread percentage favors GB 77 to 43 percent.


Be talking at ya!


bigcat33
Pro Football > Pittsburgh at Green Bay (02/06/2011) > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by FleshGordun:


Watched the GB CHI game again (recorded) and amend my statement about GB. Despite a good running game ( CHI fans sorry, Urlacher cant get off blocks anymore) Rogers was completely ineffective unable to find open recievers. I have to ask is the CHI D better than the PIT D equal?  GB needed to score, was trying to score and was completely blanked drive after drive. Conversely Haini haney WTF his name is drove his team repeatedly into GB territory eventually throwing INTs.


Observations: Rogers is extremely accurate putting the ball where only his recievers cna catch it. However, GB recievers were unable to get seperation and or Rogers was unable to find the open one. Again is the PIT D at least equal to CHI?


DEF GB has a fine pass rush but they are poor against the run particularly short yardage.other wise there excellent.


It has been mentioned that GB during the season was unable to generate come form behind victories where as PIT has. Except for ATL I cant see evidence of this supposed juggernaut spread offense when its really needed. IMO PIT D is better than ATL at least equal to CHI. PIT 3-4 D has better LB's across the board and more complicated in disguising coverages. From 09 to 10 PIT has changed there CB play from a large cushion 90% to tighter man coverage vastly improving the short to medium pass defense, however leaving them vulnerable to the long pass (JETS game).


Both PIT and GB offenses have seemingly lost momentum in the second half of there last games and now have 2 weeks off, I havent reviewed the PIT NYJ game, but right now I am thinking of waiting till the public pushes the # up and playing the under.



Flesh, I like the analysis. Looking forward to the anaylsis of the special teams, especially Steelers.


 


bigcat33
Pro Football > Pittsburgh at Green Bay (02/06/2011) > View Post

QUOTE Originally Posted by LRpisano:


BigCat, IF indeed the line goes up to +3 for Pittsburgh & doesn't rise anymore, you were saying that you HOPE  it would go to +3.5. IF, it doesn't, just buy a half point. Buying that half point is HUGGGGGGE!!!! I've done it before, many of times & I'm very thankful that I did!!! So, IF it just goes to -3 & stays there, I would buy that half point. Just a suggestion to you, my friend. Good luck to you : ) !!!


 


Thanks LR


bigcat33
Pro Football > Pittsburgh at Green Bay (02/06/2011) > View Post

Looking at these two teams, it's a tough call. Green Bay looks good and could possibly cover. I think it may come down to that old adage - "The team that makes the least mistakes will win."


WIth the spread money favoring GB 55% to 45%. it possible to see the line go to +3 for the Steelers. I could only wish for +3.5 - Then I would bet the Steelers.


But currently teasing 'lers and the over/under looks better right now.


bigcat33
Pro Football > Pittsburgh at Green Bay (02/06/2011) > View Post

What a storied match up this is. So many NFL titles between these two teams - Makes it a CLASSIC!


Green Bay is favored as it should be. They have a very good special team play versus rather poor play by the Steelers.


A lott of negatives for Pittsburgh;


- A rather suspect OL - Will Pouncey even play?


- Suspect seconday even with Polamalu.


- GB won't come out Flat as NYJ.


But BUT! The Steelers have Ben and that Defense. 


bigcat33
Pro Football > New York at Pittsburgh (01/23/2011) > View Post
I think Jets played their Super Bowl last week. With a slight let down by them and very good offense and defense by the Steelers - Steelers win and cover.

bigcat33
Pro Football > Seattle at Chicago (01/16/2011) > View Post
I got the Hawks with 10. I still feel it's shakey, but 10 points is still a lot in the pros.

bigcat33
Pro Football > New York at New England (01/16/2011) > View Post

Like Pats and over. Belichick will stack the line to stop the run making Sanchez win the game. I don't think he can against Pats. Sanchez will make mistakes that lead to points.


I would like to see Jets win..... just don't see it happening.


bigcat33
Pro Football > Miami at Oakland (11/28/2010) > View Post
Henning will play, but I hope home field other Finn injuries will see the Raiders cover with the under.

bigcat33
College Football > Michigan State at Penn State (11/27/2010) > View Post
I am a big Penn State Fan, but have to be realistic. PSU has not won a game against a ranked opponent all year. In fact...got blown out in those games. Getting 1 - 2 even at home sounds like an opportunity to give the points and take the money.

bigcat33
Pro Football > New Orleans at Dallas (11/25/2010) > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by Spytheweb:



Talk about dream worlds, mark my words, come July Dallas will again to picked to be favored to win the NFC east despite the fact they have not done anything in the last 15 years.




I could not agree more. And Dallas cowbillies are always getting probowl selections such as 11 in 2008. And they never do shit!


Remember they were being touted to be the first team to win the Super Bowl in their own stadium. This is before they played a single game.


I don't fault the players...it's the media. Every time this team wins two in a row, the media starts talking about AMERICA's TEAM and that they are going to win the super bowl and all that other crap!


 


bigcat33
Pro Football > New Orleans at Indianapolis (02/07/2010) > View Post
That's why they call it gambling

bigcat33
Pro Football > New Orleans at Indianapolis (02/07/2010) > View Post

I like the Colts giving the 4.5 even 5.5. The weather will be good, Manning  will be playing with determnation just as in his previous Super Bowl and the game against New England that year. That's why I think he will score early and often and will not let up. I am thinking 35+ maybe over 40. The Colts defense will stop and slow Brees and the Saints often enough to allow Manning to operate. The Saints won't be as successful at stripping the ball as in the Vikings game. The Ravens are noted for stripping the ball and it did not work against the Colts. I think you might see a few roughing the QB calls against the Saints, thus slowing them down - again favoring Manning.


Predicting Colts 37 - 24 or 28.  Looks like the over also.


Good luck to all.


"That's why they call it gambling."


bigcat33
Pro Football > New Orleans at Indianapolis (02/07/2010) > View Post

Anyone know the weather forecast for Sunday?


Manning scored 29 points against Chicago in a torrential downpour.


bigcat33
Pro Football > New Orleans at Indianapolis (02/07/2010) > View Post

At first look, the Colts seem likely to win. They are the betting favorite, better defense, Ravens could not make them fumble, ala the vikes, and Peyton Manning. That said, there are two weeks to prepare. While Peyton Manning can handle the blitz, he has lost when playoff teams employ the "zone blitz" plus the Saints are gonna score and keep the ball from Peyton. It will be an interesting thread leading up to the game.


 


bigcat33
Pro Football > New York at Indianapolis (01/24/2010) > View Post

 


I still think the storybook season ends for the Jets. Indy to cover the 7.5

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