ashylarrymp

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ashylarrymp
Covers Help > server error > View Post
Same trouble from my note 4

ashylarrymp
NFL Betting > phixer's nfl > View Post
music matt, a man that truly knows how to win 

ashylarrymp
NFL Betting > phixer's nfl > View Post
powerEE.. great post. well said.  even greater picture lol.. WOW

ashylarrymp
NBA Betting > phixer's nba > View Post
good luck 

ashylarrymp
NBA Betting > The National Cappers Association's NBA season thread. > View Post
im going 

SA Spurs -6

TOR Raptors -8

UTA Jazz +6

going reasonless.. see how it works lol.. really cause its early in season, and this is how im feeling

ashylarrymp
Website Promotions > Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how > View Post
bad format brainhussla.. this isn't preseason anymore :)

ashylarrymp
MLB Betting > Mavin's MLB Contest > View Post
so you didn't lose reds -1.5 tizzy?

ashylarrymp
MLB Betting > Mavin's MLB Contest > View Post
AshyLarryMP 55-48-2 +$74

LA Angels -.5 first 5 innings -125

Under 7.5 LA Dodgers - ARZ Diamondbacks -120

MIL Brewers ML +105

i'll trust that the angels will be able to put some runs up on jordan lyles.. about 3 runs should be good enough for CJ to hold down the fort, if angels aren't relieved to play the astros their worse than i thought..
feel this game will go under cause it has 2 pitchers that seem to make the game over.. yet 7.5 is favored to go under.. being today is tuesday i will fade the public and take the under, both these pitchers have great career era vs the opponent, and dodgers lineup banged up, big ballpark, see more of a 3-2 game.
brewers because they just got swept and i wont jump off the home wagon.. as simondog said, they usually win 2 out of 3 at home.. and texas in a bad spot here after traveling yesterday from CHI. think brewers bats get going here.

ashylarrymp
MLB Betting > Mavin's MLB Contest > View Post
clearly buchholz pitches better when his arm is glistening.. should have known, lesson learned haha.

ashylarrymp
MLB Betting > Mavin's MLB Contest > View Post
lots of us on under 6 sf-phi.. seems to be the consensus play for the day.. GO PITCHERS DUEL!

ashylarrymp
MLB Betting > Mavin's MLB Contest > View Post
AshyLarryMP 54-46-2 +$229

BOS Redsox -.5 First 5 Innings -140

Under 6 SF Giants - PHI Phillies -115

SF Giants TT Under 3 -105

taking buchholz at home after a tough trip in arlington.. feel boston should be happy to see worley tonight over darvish.. first 5 is kind of what i do now a days..

under 6 here because this is bumgarners year.. maybe cy young year, and his #'s at home lifetime 3.03 era and both pitchers have GREAT LIFETIME #'s vs their opponents.. bum 14ip 3er lifetime.. cliff lee 4-0 2 CG's 1 SHO 43ip 3er 0.68 era lifetime vs SF.. WOW.. why i like the under 3, and pagan is out of lineup for us again, he's our catalyst and without him on bases might not be anyone for pablo and posey to hit in.. i can see this game being 2-1 3-2 max for either team.. i lean giants, but that's because i love the giants.. really this game is a toss up..

good luck to all! and remember.. lets discuss our losses tonight, learn from our mistakes so we can grow, i know i have!

ashylarrymp
MLB Betting > Mavin's MLB Contest > View Post
agreed matt! analyzing your losses is far more important than discussing your wins in my opinion..not just getting frustrated that you lost money, but really analyzing it and discussing what you could do to avoid same scneario in future..
another thing.. lines matter.. the way their set and how they move, it's all on public perception.. if a line is set really low or really high, it's for a reason 

side note: royals game is a prime example of why i dig first 5 inning bets.. no bullpens necessary

ashylarrymp
MLB Betting > Mavin's MLB Contest > View Post
i'll start bigdaddy.. what you think about the SF-PHI game? any thoughts at all? 2 good pitchers going under 6?? giants playing sunday night going to affect them at all?? how bout PHI traveling across the country overnight?? i lean under in this game and giants.. anyone elses thoughts/ rebuttle?

ashylarrymp
MLB Betting > Mavin's MLB Contest > View Post
Thanks guys! glad giants won for us late backers! 

matt cain looked solid!

today's board looks grim, might be a light day, not a whole lot is Wowing me


ashylarrymp
MLB Betting > Mavin's MLB Contest > View Post
Yup that Tigers game was a gift across the board.. vegas knew it -260 on a road team?? they were dreading paying people out 

with that said gifts from vegas are few and far between, won't be very many games/matchups like this one all year..

stay humble on the wins, and learn from the losses.. were 0-0 tomorrow.. GO GIANTS!

ashylarrymp
MLB Betting > Mavin's MLB Contest > View Post
giants game seems scary, i like giants but cain hasn't really shown any reason to back him lately, and ryu throwing well.. pagan out of lineup most likely for giants as well.. i lean under more than game.. but i honestly side with giants cause were missing pagan, they're probably missing adrian gonzalez along with hanley so their more depleted, and cain's due right??

and with my post earlier.. to add on sun-tues have always been tough.. for various reasons.. gonna keep it light these days

ashylarrymp
MLB Betting > Mavin's MLB Contest > View Post
thread hasn't been filled last couple days.. wonder if some people gave up.. we'll turn it around Big Daddy!  we just gotta have more discipline.. feel we got to stop betting things because of the great value and ask yourself, do i/would i you feel 100% confident betting $100+ on this game.. felt halladay was way too much juice today.. verlander warrants high prices, halladay doesn't lol..  
i know hindsight's 20/20 but reds ML seemed safe, as did bluejays in my opinion, wish i would of put them on but got blinded by verlander lol..hope the high juice don't bite me today if so never again.
 but April's over with, teams are settling in, i expect better #'s from us soon, we're already starting to see who's contenders and who's pretenders and what trends matter etc.
and i'm liking first 5 inning bets you either have a win/tie option..or if you do -.5 team only has to be up, as opposed to having to win the game by 2.. i know less innings to score, but you just bet the games you trust the starting pitcher your backing and at good value (-130 or less) or verlander haha... never 5 inning bet an inconsistent pitcher 

thanks for listening guys! just offering my thoughts not criticizing i promise! just bored lol..really really want all of us to be successful, and i dono i feel good bout my picks lately, on a little roll with musicmatt's help, musicmatt deserves a lot of praise, he's made a lot of money and takes time to help more than just me i know that, he knows what he's talking about..


good luck for the day men! and go tigers! hope i can see some more plays by people.. like doing my readings 

ashylarrymp
MLB Betting > Mavin's MLB Contest > View Post
AshyLarryMP 51-46-2 -$71

DET Tigers ML -260

HOU Astros TT Under 3 -145

DET Tigers -.5 First 5 Innings -160


ALOT OF JUICE LAID TODAY BOYS!! but this is the only game all year i'll do this again i swear!!!i fully expect to go ATLEAST 2-0-1... even worse possible scenario i lose first 5, win ML and tie TT.. astros will not score 4 off verlander!! they didn't vs fister and porcello... 

i took -.5 over ML for value purposes as i feel tigers have to score1-2 off humber thru 5 for me to get this.. verlander might give up 1 fluke hr.. or else he should be on point..

once again! lotta juice and if it kills forum records IM SORRY AHEAD OF TIME!! but i've told myself 100 times im 100% willing to lay $260 to win $100 on verlander over the astros and phil humber... this is not the astros @yankees where astros magically stole one.. its verlander vs humber off a 17-2 win.. before that 17-2 win tigers looked sloppy and still won first 2 games.. 
  this game is exhibit A of why you don't lay the juice EVER if this DET ML loses.. today will be a test.. thank you!

ashylarrymp
MLB Betting > Mavin's MLB Contest > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by natalieportman9:
I like the approach today Ashy and nice 3-0 yesterday!  The push aspect of your picks is nice, but even a 1-1-1 day will be a loss.  Just be careful on the juice you lay for 1st5 inn. bets.  BoL!

thanks man!.. and noted on f5 bets  gonna roll with it till it burns me..
and side note.. twins were 2-1 vs lefties going into kazmirs start.. saw some RLM on this game.. so musicmatt's  onto something there.

ashylarrymp
MLB Betting > Mavin's MLB Contest > View Post
AshyLarryMP 49-45-2 -$131

STL Cardinals ML First 5 Innings -125

MIA Marlins TT Under 3 -140

WAS Nationals ML First 5 Innings -140

what i like about these bets is i have a tie option to all 3 of them.. i know gallardo is bad vs STL.. but i focus on wainwright.. 134ip 1.98 career ERA vs MIL.. that's kershaw vs giants #'s!! ownage is ownage and i can't deny those #'s.. why i bet first 5 because i trust wainwright, not cardinals bullpen.

marlins bet i feel they have 0 chance of scoring 3 off of hamels.. marlins are 1-9 this year vs lefties, feel hamels is licking his lips at this matchup.. i can see this hedging which is fine by me.. but only way marlins score 4 is if cole only goes 6ip and bullpen blows it.. take my chances.

nationals first 5 because i get the leading/tie option.. and strasburg usually doesn't go deep into games.. but i do trust him to make a statement today, he's due.. and i didn't forget his last time in Pitt. (debut 7ip 14 k's) don't think he forgot either.

ashylarrymp
MLB Betting > Mavin's MLB Contest > View Post
AshyLarryMP 46-45-2 -$431

SF Giants TT Under 3 -135

Under 6.5 SF Giants - LA Dodgers -110

LAD ML First 5 Innings -140

As Music Matt said.. kershaw's dad died few days ago.. his first start since is today.. lifetime vs the giants: 127Ip.. 1.81era 134 k's.. HE OWNS THE GIANTS!! KERSHAW IS THE GIANTS DADDY.. i like ml first 5 innings cause it's a win/tie option since i think zito will throw well at home.. this will be a very low scoring game.. i'd bet a lot of money the giants don't score more than 3 tonight, that's at least a hedge.. 
giants could win if the game is 1-1 in the 8th inning.. but if zito doesn't throw a gem giants don't take this.. but i think zito does go 7ip 1-2 er.. so this game will be good till the end.. i got LAD 3-1..

ashylarrymp
MLB Betting > Mavin's MLB Contest > View Post
agreed tizzy! good outlook, tomorrows a new day 

ashylarrymp
MLB Betting > Mavin's MLB Contest > View Post
AshyLarryMP 44-44-2 -$531

TOR Blue Jays ML +112

PHI Phillies -.5 First 5 Innings -135

MIA Marlins TT Under 3 -130


i believe the bluejays have everything it takes to win this game.. i don't trust dempster, he's good to give up 3-4 atleast!.. happ is capable and bluejays bats advantage today with no ortiz in lineup for BO SOX.. feel line is set too low enticing redsox bettors, setting the trap since JJ was suppose to start, but i think happ throws well today.

phillies first 5 because id rather lay this than the -1.5 for the game.. i trust kendrick, been saying since preseason that he's out for a big season, marlins coming off a series win and a loss last game, i'll fade them on the road, hope phillies can put up atleast 1-2 thru 5 for me as they've been scuffling lately, but no doubt they win this game.

i'm not going to overthink this one, the marlins are a AAA team.. maybe a AAAA team on offense, i'll be generous, kendrick should overmatch them.. if phillies did lose i feel it'd be more sanabia threw well keeping them in it, rather than their bats putting up 4-5 on kendrick.. feel pretty good about this being a hedge at worst! which i'd be ok with.

ashylarrymp
MLB Betting > Mavin's MLB Contest > View Post
AshyLarryMP 42-43-4 -$616

Over 8.5 TOR BlueJays - BOS RedSox -115

Under 7.5 CLE Indians -  PHI Phillies -105

Under 4 First 5 innings CLE Indians - PHI Phillies -115


feel this bluejays total is set very high.. and i know buherle shouldnt be able to hold down this redsox team to 3er or less.. i see him giving up 4.. and buchholz is hot but don't see him throwing a sho here.. feel jays bats are hot and will put up runs today.. another 6-4 kind of game today, jays have a shot at winning this one, just liked over more.

really feel trevor bauer should throw well today, phillies haven't seen him before, therefore he should throw well first few frames around the order, think this time when he's called up he'll be more prepared for what hes about to face and more confident... and i trust cliff lee vs his old team, kind of like shields vs rays yesterday, the team will be motivated to play D behind him.. making the under 4 first 5 a good play.. i'll trust the bullpens to hold it down for me last few innings.. i can see indians winning this game 3-2, 4-2 kind of game.

side note: like the diamondbacks to win tonight.. atleast like them the first 5 innings.. don't see lincecum sweeping them in their house, it'd be nice, but dbacks should touch him up a bit (goldschmidt vs lincecum:8-14 lifetime 5hr's)



ashylarrymp
MLB Betting > Mavin's MLB Contest > View Post
i like the over too matt.. giants bats are clicking and bumgarner not great #'s lifetime @ arz.. and arz off a loss should be hungry.. my prediction, giants and the over 

didn't bet though.. so not 100% on it, but i watch every game 

ashylarrymp
MLB Betting > Mavin's MLB Contest > View Post
like those picks matt! and we knew one of the pitchers in the was-atl game was gonna get touched up.. we were just hoping it was huddy not gio lol

ashylarrymp
MLB Betting > Mavin's MLB Contest > View Post
love that over wash-atl GG.. goes back to what musicmatt's been saying when 2 aces face off, 1 tends to not show up.. lets hope it is huddy! nats gotta beat the braves sometime! lol

ashylarrymp
MLB Betting > Mavin's MLB Contest > View Post
AshyLarryMP 40-42-4 -$722

SEA Mariners ML +100

CLE Indians ML -101

TOR Blue Jays ML +106

all 3 lines are way lower than they should be on the favs.. orioles started at -125 and have dropped down near -110.. mariners playing well and as musicmatt pointed out, o's on their 5th straight game of a west coast swing, fatigue may be setting in..

indians as well, feel people are down on them lately, but a return home may be just what they need, i like mccalister especially at home.. halladay may be turning the corner but he's not all the way there, i expect inconsistency from him.. indians lineup has the potential to rip him, good spot for them here.

another line i feel is too low, lester has been dealing and the redsox are rolling.. off a sweep feeling good etc.. perhaps feeling too good? like the yankees were yesterday off a sweep? the bluejays need this win and morrow wants to get back on track.. the high o/u 8.5 -123 tells me there will be runs this game.. i expect lester to not be as sharp today and jays bats prevail here.. one of those 6-4 kind of games.

my picks are very similiar to musicmatts! but we've been discussing a lot and i think we're on the same page today. like his nationals bet as well. tuesdays have gone against the favorites so far.. see if this continues.

also think tb-kc, stl-cin, nym-mia all smell kinna fishy.. lines just seem to be enticing favorite bets.

ashylarrymp
MLB Betting > Mavin's MLB Contest > View Post
aleiverson02... sometimes ignorance is bliss lol.. i'm the opposite, i know a lot about baseball, but very limited in NBA, yet i had a much better basketball record this season than baseball.. best at NCAA and probably least knowledgable there lol.. and just using the phrase, i know were not ignorant, just not experts i guess..

and natalieportman..
i definitely have thoughts on the 19 inning game in oakland.. not sure how the outcome will be though, we know the managers will want their pitchers to go over 100 pitches tonight whether their throwing good or bad, with parkers struggles so far, 2 offenses clicking that'd lean over.. BUT all the hitters could be sluggish after not going to bed till almost 4 am.. so perhaps the hitters aren't coming out swinging tonight? 
i'm probably going to stay away, but am VERY interested in seeing the outcome.. saw one person said bet over, seems logical but not a lock to me.. and keep eyes on the nym-mia game as well.. went 15 innings, and with those bullpens, had to have an effect. 

ashylarrymp
MLB Betting > Mavin's MLB Contest > View Post
Natalie Portman  some impressive ones there sir, wade a fade on a monday
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