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It's pretty hard to think about backing a team with a defense as bad as Auburn's. Go back and look at their results since early October.
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Covers | 33 |
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Waiting until halftime on this one. Seattle has been crushing people in this building but I want to watch a half of football.
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Covers | 138 |
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Quote Originally Posted by TheQuadYeah: Hmmm, interesting...... let me think........ odds of you being a total D/B - - Zenyatta style 1/9 odds of you being a banned "repeat offender" with your "joined yesterday" and your brazen "18 posts" (including this one) - once again - 1/9 Now....... Odds of the persona "winthedamngame6" posting anything past week #4 of the NFL season?? ehhhhhh 1/9 Odds of you saying something to me in retaliation to this particular post? Ehhhhhhh - No Action!!!!!!!! I await your futile reply...... So many others have come and gone....... I've almost grown tiresome.......... ALMOST!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! This is hilarious ...
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Covers | 138 |
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Just want to point out that no one talking about KC's 3 loss run has mentioned that those losses (and consequent defensive breakdowns) came against Denver, San Diego … And DENVER.
As a guy who's always looking for the "weird" lines, I'd be willing to agree if this wasn't Washington. Kansas City really needs to get their defense back on track and get a win and the Washington offense is just what the doctor ordered.
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Covers | 49 |
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This is coming from an Eagles fan ...
I'll be looking at the 2nd half over.
Usually, these Thursday night games are ugly and play under the game total. So I just do that and stay away from the halves. But the Eagle defense has given up 20 points in the 2nd half of both of their games this year, probably because of the time they've spent on the field. The 2nd half total will probably be around 24.5. Good luck all |
Covers | 82 |
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This is how right on your assessment it degen ...
After the game against Memphis, Kurt Rambis said if he was a scout coach assigned to break down the Lakers offense, he wouldn't know what to convey to his team because they don't run anything. And James Worthy said they could literally go to the Parks and Rec department and find guys on the playground that are running the same stuff the Lakers are. And defensively, half the time they look confused, and the other half, like they don't care. A couple games ago D'Antoni, to back his decision to bring Gasol off the bench, actually said: "we have to get smaller ...." With that line-up?!?! Wrong coach, wrong system for this roster and frankly, wrong OWNER in Jim Buss, who's decisions make it obvious that he doesn't have the same eye for the game his old man has. Every now and then the Lakers will still beat teams without as much talent this season in playground games, but every time they've come up against a well coached team that plays with any kind of consistency, they lose ... and for the record, this season, the Utah Jazz has been one of those teams.
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Too many points.
Nothing about past history between these teams, Flacco's recent consistency and Ray Rice's tendency to scorch New England suggests this is more than a one score contest. Baltimore might even be ready to win this game. Getting more than a touchdown, I'll take the points.
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Covers | 166 |
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Quote Originally Posted by BreakaBookie: I'm on ATL Dome game plays to the Falcons strength.... they offense is fast paced while Seattle is more of a grind it out team. ATL's D-block gets no love. Their defense is great even with Samuel banged up. Their linebackers are tops in the league and they are stingy against the run. If ATL gets up early it will be ugly. I have superbowl futures on Seattle, but I can't see them getting passed a rested ATL on the road, 2nd cross country travel, vs. a 2nd tier qb when he doesn't lose at home, with 2 ridiculous wideouts, and 1 of the best TE's of all time in his last stand. I may be nieve but I think they can contain Lynch.
ATL -1 I'm also looking into an alt line for ATL.... no reason why they can't put up 30+ at home. Seattle better come out firing on all cylinders, if they start flat like last week they will never catch-up.
GL TO ALL! The Atlanta run defense was actually 29th in yards allowed per carry this season (4.8). Who do they get today? Marshawn Lynch. That run defense also gave up 394 rushing yards in two games against Cam Newton's read option offense and another 129 to the Redskins. Who do they get today? Russell Wilson. The Seattle defense was 1st in the league in points allowed, has given up 17 or fewer in it's last 3 road wins, and they actually do have the kind of secondary (size) that can handle the Falcon wideouts (although Tony G is a problem for anyone). In my opinion, 30 + points is far from a lock. All of the wildcard teams that have run to the Superbowl in recent years have overcome all of the above problems you listed and travel didn't seem to be an issue for Seattle last weekend, so I wouldn't be so quick to lose excitement for your futures wager partner. I happen to think you were onto something when you laid it down. One could argue that Matt Ryan is due to overcome his tendencies in this situation, as are the Falcons ... but are they really? Isn't Tony Romo ready? Every single time? Weren't Marv Levy's Buffalo Bills? How bout Andy Reid's Eagles .... ? If the Falcons were hosting the Redskins, or Tampa Bay, I'd feel a lot better about their chances, but they're up against a Seattle team that's beating people up in all three phases of the game.
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Covers | 182 |
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Quote Originally Posted by TheQuadYeah: Falcons -1?!?!?!? are you kidding me?!?!?!? FALCONS -1??!?!?!? Last time I checked, Matt Ryan ain't playing on no gimpy leg....... They showed the stats last game - - last road playoff victory for the Sea-Turkeys - - and yes, I'm saying Turkeys now - - was 1983...... When's the last time they won 2 road playoff games in a row?????????? Never?!?!? Where's W8's bravado when I need it? You know what F*** it........... FALCONS LARGE!!!!!!!!!!!!!! EXTRA LARGE!!!!!!!!!!! WITH WHIP CREAM AND SLIVERED ALMONDS........... No disrespect Quad, you're a veteran poster here, but your reaction to this line is exactly the one the bookies are looking for. Why the hell did Atlanta open as only a one point fav? At home. With the best record in the NFC and all those weapons at their disposal? |
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Quote Originally Posted by degengambler34: People are forgetting that if rg3 didn't reinjure that knee last week that seattle loses that game out right. It's not hard to look "dominant" on defense when the other team is running a read option with one or two wr patterns and the qb is no threat to run at all, in fact it's very easy to look "dominant". I know seattle has been dominant for weeks now, and if they were at home i would friggin pound this game with a vigor regardless of the spread. But i'm telling you guys the sharp money absolutely pounded atlanta in this game when they released the -1. For me it's a pass. All due respect degenerate, what I saw in that game was that once Seattle absorbed the early 2 touchdown run by the Skins, they established superior line play on both sides of the ball and dominated the final 3 quarters of the game. I don't disagree that RG III was unhealthy and that it impacted the game. Because it did. But the Seahawks had just as much fun sacking the dude from Michigan State as they did RG III.
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Covers | 182 |
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Seattle feels like the team that's been going on the road in the past few years in the NFL and making it to the SuperBowl, so I have some $$ on them at 4 to 1 to do that, but if they don't, I don't think the Skins will be the team to stop them.
I loved watching Washington this year and had them last weekend, but like Easypics, was disappointed that they didn't dominate that game with their consistent style of play. Despite the fact that the Romo debacle was ... enjoyable ... I didn't think we'd need it for the cover. And I don't think they can win against Seattle in that fashion. RG III is a hell of a play maker and displays a calm that's impressive for a rookie, but he's not completely healthy. We saw that last weekend. And Russell Wilson is actually having, arguably a better season. Seattle has been scoring in all 3 phases of the game, but their offense has been getting consistently better. Putting up 50+ on anyone in the NFL is impressive, even if the competition was soft, and if they had just done it once, you could call it a fluke, but Seattle did it twice and then put up 42 on San Francisco, which is clearly, not an easy thing to do. The Skins won the division and gutted out their big win of the year, but Seattle is the better team. If RG III was healthier and making more explosive plays downfield they'd have a better shot, but winning this game in the trenches probably isn't going to happen. I admit I liked Seattle better at -2.5, but still like them -3. |
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Quote Originally Posted by lookingtowin: WTF I love this post. It can't be real. It doesn't even matter. I mean look, the fact that someone would actually spell out the mispronunciations .... and that dance move will NOT be tested by yours truly. Still ... I don't know if I laughed harder at the initial post or lookingtowins reaction. As far as the game goes, the trends pointed out by Mr. Lawrence point to Green Bay and it is, I agree with Rock40237, a Packers line ... but ... AP has over 400 yards against the Packers this year and I believe a guy like Ziggy who's been watching that line play all year. So this game is probably a no play for me ...
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Covers | 90 |
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Doug Martin going against a run defense that gives up 5 yards a carry?
And the Bucs sport the league's best run defense?
If the way to win football games is to run and stop the run the Bucs are the pick, despite what their secondary hasn't been able to do. And for some reason, I don't think Matty Ice is a lock to have a rebound week, especially if he doesn't have as many drives to work with. Josh Freeman - 16 TD's to 3 Picks run ... the Bucs on a scoring run... Atlanta looking inconsistent... And the line, to me, suggesting the bookies want Atlanta . I gotta go with the Bucs +1.5, and at home here |
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Everything about this smells like a come on. I agree with everyone's analysis that points to Tampa absolutely dominating, but why, on God's green earth, isn't Tampa Bay favored by at least 3.5 in this game?
It simply makes no sense. That +1 to +1.5 home dog number is usually the definition of a come on for the fave. Maybe I'm wrong, maybe it is a gift, but staying away from games like this has saved me some cash over the years.
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Covers | 58 |
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Clippers for sure.
The Lakers are not ready for this game. They have no clue about that offense yet. It'll happen, but not by tonight. And they're also not as deep as the Clips. The Lakers had problems with the Clippers last year, remember? There's a reason those games chippy. In terms of the timing, I just think the Clips are way more ready for this game. Can't wait |
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Wow. Is there really THIS little interest in baseball? When Covers hasn't updated the MLB page since the Braves were still playing?
The Carlos Beltran issue is a big one tonight. You'd think someone over here would at least slap something up on either the home page, or the baseball page.
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I can't believe there's only one other post on this game. Kind of a shame.
Despite the fact that the sport is basically handcuffed by tradition, baseball is still a beautiful game. Should be an awesome day of it. Tough to handicap a game like this. Hell, it's tough to handicap any baseball game, which is probably the strongest reason for the absence of posts here. But with Latos and Cain up there, my strongest lean is on the under because Latos knows that team really well and I do think Cain rebounds from that game one start. As far as a winner, I'd be afraid to go against experience and the way the Giants have rallied. Also, Dusty is what? 1-8 in this spot? Smaller play on the Giants Bigger play on the under Good luck all |
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Arizona, by the eyeball test, looks clearly like the better team.
So why aren't the Rams getting more than a point here?
History? Trends? Jeff Fisher? This feels like either an Arizona come on, or somebody knows something I don't about how good the Rams are. |
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I'm hearing that Reggie Bush is questionable?
I agree this feels like a come on, but if you've watched Miami, Reggie Bush kind of IS their offense. If he's not playing, I'd stay from Miami.
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Backing the Saints would really scare me in this game.
I'm a Razorback alum. and have profited, big time, from losing a coach. I think what the Packers offense went through last week, in being tested by a SICK Seahawks defense, will have them ready for this game. I thought what they did in the 2nd half was actually pretty impressive. They started running the ball. With success. Which opened up the short passing game. And they had the Squaw defense back on it's heels. The Saints defense has been on it's heels all season. I'm not sure I'll bet the Packers to cover, because that's still a lot of points, but I do like the Under, because if this game is a blow-out, I think it falls under 53. The public is going to be all over the over, given who these teams are. But something's wrong with the Saints - in the exact same way that something's wrong with Arkansas. You don't just replace a really good head coach. I see something like 40 to 10, Green Bay.
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