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[Quote: Originally Posted by Irisheyez] Philly is capable of shitting the bed....especially on the road....but Indy can't run the ball!!! Historically, Philly plays the run much better than stopping the pass.....both QBs can get unconsciously hot, but Foles isn't as sharp, or arguably as experienced as Luck.....big home game in a spot for Indy that can't afford to start 0-2......P
Yo Irish what up man. I am back again this year, at least until I get my behind kicked enough to bail on the season. Not bad so far this year but too early to feel good. I almost hate writing my thoughts cause when I do the losses usually start to pile up on me. I have to disagree with the Eagles being good against the run in the past. I am Philly born, raised, and still live here. I used to be a fan until I started seriously gambling. And I remember sitting there watching the games and screaming why cant they tackle anybody? The only LB names I can remember are Mark Simoneau, Carlos Emmons, Barry Gardner, and that beast with a guitar Dhani Jones. Trotter was tough for a year or two, but the run defense was weak even when their defense was considered pretty good. The secondary was all they had for many years in the early 2000s, while the middle was soft and got gashed constantly. And they had a pass rush then too. When Jim Johnson died and Andy's era ended, it all really fell apart and hasnt been rebuilt that well since. I really cannot see this being a low scoring game unless both teams' offensive units are totally flat and inept. The Eagles secondary is garbage and the Colts will not need to run the ball. Andrew Luck will do all the running they need to keep moving. The Colts, who ARE historically terrible against the run, should get gashed by the run tonight even with a patchwork offensive line leading the way. The Eagles fast pace should give the Colts a few more possessions than a normal game too. I cant pick a side, the last with the ball will probably win and cover. If i had to I would take the points. I really hate that the line movement says stay away from the over. It also seems to say to take the Eagles. Current underdog trends say Eagles too. But I only think the Eagles win in a high scoring game, and I can see a 30-27 final. Can it get to at least 27-24 with either team going on a final drive to tie or win? It could be there by the 3rd quarter. Guess thats why its called gambling. I will take the public side and am going in on over 53. Good luck |
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mid 30s no rain or wind tonight in Seattle.
https://www.weather.com/weather/hourbyhour/graph/Seattle+WA+USWA0395:1:US?pagenum=2&nextbeginIndex=6 If it was an ugly windy and rainy Seattle night I could see taking the Seahawks here. But I can buy NO to +7 here so I will, just seems to be more value to me. Read often but dont post much, great work to some of you, but a bunch of you guys are douches. Fun to read though so keep that garbage up you degenerate people. good luck to all |
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Quote Originally Posted by Pricetopher:
I am absolutely IN LOVE with this line dropping so fast! So much so, I'm throwing the 2nd largest bet of the season down on it! $3k - Ohio (-15)
I haven't booked it yet, I'm hoping it somehow makes its way down to -14 or so. This game and dropping line is an absolute gift... especially at home!
Good luck dude, but no such thing as "gifts" doing this shit. For years I thought the same and played as such, and though I hit some and felt real smart, the ones I lost were bigger and much worse. Anytime you love an obvious favorite a ton and then the line plumments in your favor you should be cautious or even worried.Anybody who spends time reading shit here and elsewhere knows that. Especially knowing your side hasnt covered as favorite in last four and does in fact have that sandwhich game scenario in play. Still could hit but plenty of factors should tell you to be a bit more careful, cause in the long run, pulling the trigger on games like this will cost you more than it makes you. Good luck either way to all you crazy fuckers on this one, Im goin with the NFL game over 41 tonight. SD cant really keep on suckin this bad on Off against KC Def at home, and Cassel and Charles should both have ok games for KC after being shit on the last 2 weeks. Will prolly come down to last 5 mins to hit but I think it happens |
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this one says they werent that important and prolly have little to no impact - https://irish.nbcsports.com/2011/12/21/seminoles-short-three-after-felony-arrests-academics/
still goin with the irish buyin the half and how about the part in the story how the idiot stole an ipad and he was gonna get a 450 dollar best buy gift card for playin the game a few days later- |
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i didnt watch much notre dame this year except for one game, and all i remember is that fucker floyd catching and runnin all over the place and i was on the other side. 2 florida st dbs arrested and another I think D lineman not playing- not sure if they are iimpact players or not- maybe one of you people know and can tell us- I bet they bomb to floyd all day and as much as I hate notre dame Im still gonna buy a half and get it at +4 - and for what its worth im on here a bunch but barely post and usually lose when i do - what up Irish and sharp- always checkin you dudes out good shit - peace
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replied to
Say it aint so!! People are betting on Peyton and the Colts AGAIN in week 16......
in NFL Betting
yessir, and sorry to fly off the handle, it happens to me sometimes readin through here, and right back at you brother, good luck with all your plays
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TRAIN69 | 111 |
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replied to
Say it aint so!! People are betting on Peyton and the Colts AGAIN in week 16......
in NFL Betting
Would rather be lucky than good all day brother, and not a simpleton or clown at all. I know I cant match some of the higher intellects around here, but I do ok. But other people read stuff from the supposed "sharps" and take it as gospel, when we are all doing the same thing- gambling. And sometimes you end up outsmarting yourself. And numbers of posts to covers does not equal intelligence either my friend.
and waasnt a lucky win either- was in the bag early, and the score would have been larger too if Peyton had kept running at the end. Was a good pick. Recent history tells you the Colts win that game-, hating Peyton Manning and over analyzing tells you that Oakland hits |
TRAIN69 | 111 |
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replied to
Say it aint so!! People are betting on Peyton and the Colts AGAIN in week 16......
in NFL Betting
and i wasnt speaking to the owner of this thread, more to the other idiots that chimed in along the way with no real thought process-
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TRAIN69 | 111 |
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replied to
Say it aint so!! People are betting on Peyton and the Colts AGAIN in week 16......
in NFL Betting
just lookin over this now, and I was on the colts and got paid nice for it. I read one post that said it best- Peyton and Indy vs Oakland, and The Colts are out if they lose, how can you not take the COlts? Stop overthinking shit man, sometimes you can follow those trends, (NO +2 last night), but you will always need talent on your team to make it work. Oakland was overmatched, pure and simple. And all of your line watching and genius Vegas insight means nothing when it is Peyton vs Oak with a spread of -1. Cmon man, you guys just like to be different than the perceived "public" and "squares", and probably dont even have money on the game, just on here talking shit. So just shut the fuck up, thank you and have a great day
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TRAIN69 | 111 |
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laid off three leans the last two days, boise, sd state, and pitt under. Kickin myself, but at least I am learning that you dont gotta pick everyday man, coulda went the other way too, marathon, not sprint right man
also was wrapped up working on my internet radio show, details for that are on my profile page taking Tulsa +10 today, I guess the line means they could get blown out, and every favorite has hit so far, but I gotta roll with the dog today. even if Hawaii were to handle em all game, quick scores late could easily cover the number, and Tulsa is capable of it. They could just as easily win outright, so I'm on the dog. have a feeling it will stay under too, but have no balls to put loot on it, so will just roll with the dog good luck mofos |
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crazy ass comeback fuck yeah birds
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WinSumLoseSum1 | 3 |
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troy smith dope, confusing the smiths imagine that |
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I dont know man, been watchin a ton of 9-10 point home favorites cover lately it seems like, I've been on the good end and bad end evenly I would say, could this be like Hou@Phi, Cin@NYJ, Sea@NO, and Den@SD games in the last 3 weeks? Overmatched road teams in bad spots and this seems to fit the trend in my opinion. I would think SF is better with Gore than Westbrook, (though I'm a huge Westbrook fan, probably my favorite Eagle ever along with Dawkins), and I dont like SF at Green Bay at all, could be a really bad day for Alex Smith if SF gets behind quick, I think I will load up on GB. Also willl load up on what seems like a sucker bet with Chicago -4 bying a hook, but dont give me Drew Stanton man, how can you not go against it? Kinda like Brian St-Pierre and Rusty Smith right? I think you hit spots like this at least 7 out of 10 times, so I'm all over it too., And fuck it, give me the dirty birds by a field goal to keep winning over fraudalent tampa bay. I hit pretty good yesterday so I may be due to get slammed hard today, but I'm feeling pretty good about these, so good luck mofos |
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I live in Philly, weather is typical shitty and cold, but it aint exactly Green Bay either. People say cold can affect a southern team, but I dont think its bad enough here and now to affect professional athletes. having a hard time with this one, feelin like the total is set about right, any lower than 50 and it would be pounded to death, they could have set it at 55 and crazy money woulda came in too, so fuck it, I'll stay off that Eagles D aint like the defenses of the past except in two regards- not so great at stopping the run, and very inconsistent. Show up nasty one day, then get ran over, get all these turnovers, but then get torched at any given time. For all of Vick's flashy shit, and it is all pretty cool, that Washington game was a fluke, and it happens sometimes. How about when the Eagles had crazy red zone offensive opportunities that that blow? Coulda cost em that Indy game for sure, and last week at Chicago was a prime example. Settle for field goals, and then throw the pick that changes the game at the end of the first half. With all that being said, stupid bipolar Eagles could crush Houston, but my thought would be that it will either be close all night, or that Houston will make it close in the second half, Eagles D will let em move at some point, they dont have 60 minutes in em in my opinion. Waiting on the line to get as high as possible and hitting the Texans, also gonna get on Arizona St +5, good luck mofos, and by the way, whenever I take time to write all my thoughts, I get slaughtered and look retarded, so maybe Eagles is the play after all? hahaha |
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well took a beating here, good call to all the Nevada bettors |
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I've been on Boise about 5 times this year, and hit each of em, so I personally have no reason to go against them, I'll be up on them for the season even with a loss. Will probably put 3 of those wins on this one here. I think Nevada would need to score a minimum of 31 to cover here, or hold Boise in the 30s and keep it close. Nothing in this past season shows that as being a good assumption to me. And I would watch taking that over too, if Boise defense holds true to form, you cant rely on Nevada to score towards it. Get it under two touchdowns for the worst case scenario 4th quarter BS touchdown, and Good luck this weekend mofos. Also took small MAc favorites today, Ohio and Toledo, kinda likin Bama and Southern Miss also
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lucky hit on the over here
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Quote Originally Posted by lookingtowin:
WHATS THAT OLD SAYING ANY GIVING SUNDAY. HOW MANY TIMES HAVE I BEEN BURNT BY THOSE THREE WORDS.
and it almost fuckin happened here again man, was just sittin here thinkin here we go again, lucky for us Balt bettors the Carolina practice squad QB gave us a pair of back to back pick 6s, whew, fuckin a
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took Balt -10 earlier in the week large, glad I pulled it early though it probably wont matter, but always that crazy stupid chance off a dumb loss especially knowing that shit is crazy in the NFL sometimes, but you have to pull the trigger heavy here right? Also reversed that with GB -3, gonna get on Jax/Cle over 43 and Dallas -6 as well. Looking at ATL/STL over and TB for the afternoon, and PHI or the PHI over tonight. And now that I posted all of my picks they will all now lose as usual for me here, so you all should just fade each of them to make money today. Good luck |
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Quote Originally Posted by AceMackenzie:
dont like the spread on this game - can go either way Jax at home can be tough , if the right Jax team shows up both teams , defense sucks , over 43 ! (Damn good bet)
fuckin a to that, my thoughts exactly |
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