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I follow this forum a lot but rarely post as there is enough posts about picks and who we all should take. I consider myself a decent capper generally hitting 55-58% of my pics after a season is over. This question however is regarding a 7 team parlay I have going. I have hit 4 legs out of 7 with these pics right & ones still in play:
Seattle +10 vs SF. Win Oregon ML vs Arizona ST Win St Louis ML vs SF Win Detroit tigers +1.5 vs NYY (cancelled bet, it was the day the game got postponed) Mich ML vs Michigan ST pending New Orleans ML vs Buccaneers Pending Oakland Raiders ML vs Jax Jags Pending I wagered $10 to win $197. Since its a small investment do I let it ride? Or should I flat bet every game trying to still initiate a $75-$100 profit? My book (5dimes) has parlay still alive with that cancelled play. Wouldn't payout drop to 6 teamer if the game was cancelled? Thanks for your time |
Wngdwheel44 | 3 |
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Go RedSkins!
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Statsational | 297 |
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Stats, You're doing quite well after 3 weeks, well almost 3 weeks. I tailed the JAX, ATL, BAL picks. Unfortunately 2 of those were losers but you have been hitting! Keep up the good work. I look forward to seeing your picks every week. So washington at +3.5 is still a play?
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Statsational | 297 |
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Hey dude, get outta here! Your garbage!
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Wngdwheel44 | 5 |
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I believe NFL is easy to overanalyze and make bad picks. I believe it is way tougher than NCAAF to predict. I hope you do well this week!
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Wngdwheel44 | 5 |
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I haven't posted this year yet but will begin too:
YTD Record is: ATS (7-7-1) O/U (1-1-1) Week 3: DET -3 (1 Unit) I'm not saying Detroit is the best team in the NFC North this year but I do believe they will continue to produce. This is a big divisional game with Stafford & Company putting up a decent showing. I expect Detroit to struggle after coming off a KC win. I do think that Detroit's Defense wins this game. I like Detroit 24-17. JAX +3 (1 Unit) Everybody can't stop talking about Cam Newton and how good this guy is going to be. I agree he has been impressive but don't be fooled: Carolina will compete but not win many games this year. Jacksonville should rebound in this one. I like Jacksonville 21-20. ATL PK (1 Unit) I think this may be one of the easiest games on the board this week but will tread lightly as it is the NFL. I do think TB is a decent squad this year and they are at home but I don't think ATL sits down after winning a big one at home last week. I like Atlanta 31-24. BAL -5 (2 Units) This is ultimately my play of the day as I'm doubling up on this one. I think Baltimore is by far the better team here. Even though Baltimore has a few key injuries doesn't St. Louis still have some questionable players? I just don't think St. Louis has the weapons on offense other than Sam Bradford. I like Baltimore 28-13. BOL to everyone!
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Wngdwheel44 | 5 |
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Guys,
I normally just follow all you guys on here but I want to get your guys insight on my 2 plays for today: I'm leaning Under 9 in TB/NYY game at +113. I like the value there. Also I haven't decided on DET over 4.5 (-110) or OVer 10 (+105) for the DET/KCC game. Brad Penny scares me every time he pitches. Plus whos knows anything about Mendoza? |
Wngdwheel44 | 2 |
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Lets Go Wings!
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Dangerbay | 114 |
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And the Wings win!
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Dangerbay | 114 |
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I know theres still 2 game 7's tonight before the playoffs are over but what do you guys think of the Western Conference Semis? Nashville/Vancouver & Detroit/San Jose. I'm a Red Wings fan but am quite worried we drew San Jose instead of Nashville. I know the Red Wings have been dominated by both in the regular season including Pekka Rinne's excellent goaltending along with Neimi. I also think that Vancouver got over the hump and should outlast the Preds a little easier than the Blackhawks.
So I'm going with: Detroit 4-3 Vancouver 4-2 I would like to hear your guys thoughts. Go TB & Boston!
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Wngdwheel44 | 1 |
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stevewolve I gotta think that playing o/u of 5's in a parlay has a lot more benefit with the over because i would think one of those bound to push, unless you really see both games as 2-1 or 3-1 games. I wish you goodluck though. Just not sure about that TB/PITT game.
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stevewolve | 4 |
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NYR/WAS Under 5
NSH/ANA Under 5 BOL to everyone
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Wngdwheel44 | 2 |
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well I was a little off guys but the time has come. Let's do this. Playoff time
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Wngdwheel44 | 20 |
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pinballwizard, I would like to acknowledge those stats but can you check both of their career playoff records because this one is as close to a playoff game your going to get. It's playoff game #1 for the Hurricanes for 2011 and it could be the last, BOL
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pinballwizard | 4 |
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Scouts.... Haha thats good
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Wngdwheel44 | 11 |
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keep it going, like the Atl/Mil over, leaning that way as well
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kinggeorge27 | 37 |
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That's how I see it. As long as it's 0-0, 1-0, 1-1 after 1 I think it will cash
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Wngdwheel44 | 11 |
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Tigers +105 (1 unit)
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pscott31 | 6 |
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Nice work Bodio, you know what you are doing!
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bodio | 37 |
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And the Red Wings finally clinch the Central again!
With the way they were playing I thought Nashville had a good chance of stealing it from them. I'm a huge wings fan but the way the season has gone I see a 2nd round exit with the fierce western conference. Anyways onto the pick of the day: BOS/NYR Under 5 +100 This is clearly the play as 9 out of the past 10 have seen 5 goals or fewer. I like my chances and think at worst a push here. Also Thomas: 9 Shutouts vs Lundqvist 11 Shutouts. BOL to those whose teams are pushing for one of those last spots in the east and west!
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Wngdwheel44 | 11 |
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