Profile | Entries | Thread Author | Posts | Activity |
---|---|---|---|---|
Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble: With all due respect - I disagree with some of this. B2W's system clearly states that teams must have no significant injuries. Votto is a significant injury. In addition, it also states both teams must not be going in opposite direction in the W/L column - so that implies streaks. So I defer to B2W on the OFFICIAL plays - but we technically do not follow blindly even if there are injuries - there is a bit of semi-capping going on in the system. The way I see it it a system is a generic form of capping - taking teams with certain criteria and placing a wager. Individual flat bets on games may create a small win but implementing a chase - increases that win%. Injuries, streaks, etc are simply filters to prevent losses - the idea is to identify the correct criteria and incorporate into a system to increase Win % to a level that will overcome losses and vig. Yeah, you're right, B2W's system definitely has those qualifiers in it and I jumped the gun a bit. I personally don't cap at all past the RPI spread, I just trust the numbers and let it fly! |
bettor2win | 2965 |
|
|
Quote Originally Posted by speedemon: Hey guys any thoughts on CIN b game? Votto is out and Cueto is bothered by blister. Cincy is dependent on votto's bat. B2W are you sure about this chase? The RPI is a system, which means you don't handicap specific games and/or series. You simply play the numbers each and every time and trust that the statistics and numbers you researched will continue to play out. Short answer...if the RPI spread meets either the 35/H or 42/A criteria - you play the series regardless of pitchers, injuries, streaks, etc... Hey, it makes sense to be wary of the Reds now that they've lost Votto for 3-4 weeks, I get it. If I were just handicapping individual games I would definitely take it into consideration. But it has nothing to do with how you play a series chase in the system. |
bettor2win | 2965 |
|
|
@lapi7
Basics: 1.) Before a slate of games look at every matchup between two teams. 2.) If the RPI spread is where you need it to be to chase (40-42/50 threshold) you chase starting with the A game. 3.) Don't look at the RPI again for that series - it doesn't matter, the only RPI spread that mattered was the initial one before the series started. Don't worry about the confusion you might receive from other posts, the RPI chase is very straightforward. Now, if you want to add your personal capping to the chase, then by all means go ahead but just realize that you aren't chasing anymore - you are capping. |
bettor2win | 2965 |
|
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.