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Pro Football > Dallas at St. Louis (09/21/2014) > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by echelon1:
Is that the same sucky Cowboys' line that paves the way for the current leading rusher in the NFL.

Line as in the spread

Pro Football > Dallas at St. Louis (09/21/2014) > View Post
This lines stinks. St. Louis is capable of stopping the run and putting heat on Romo. They should be in a good spot at home in the dome while catching Dallas off a win as a dog while on the 2nd of B2B away.

It's a a trap. Books want you to see a small number and back America's Team against a 3rd string QB.  The Rams can play an ugly, low-scoring game and have Legatron boot massive FGs to put them ahead.

St. Louis will focus on stopping the run and chase Romo into mistakes. I'd recommend the Rams and under for this one.

Nascar > Loudon > View Post
Kurt looks like the best value IMO. Should practice good and be half his current price by the weekend.

Newman at +3800 is worth at least a small try even if he's the consensus dark horse.

WNBA > WNBA Tuesday > View Post
Aussie, big fan of your WNBA work. Your threads are a daily read for me.

I took the Lynx ML +105 yesterday for a fairly big play. The line strikes me as more of a fake out. Minnesota was outplayed by Phoenix and should be embarrassed and motivated to treat LA like a punching bag.

The Sparks are wounded and in a tailspin worse than Minny's. The Lynx are the better team and need to start out the upcoming 3 in 4 day grind on a high note. My only worry is that Minnesota could be looking ahead to tomorrow night with their rematch against the Mercury. All of the recent press is about Minnesota's slump so you'd think they'd be motivated to come out and win a game in which they're the better team.

Nascar > Phoenix Plays > View Post
Johnson +500...
Hamlin +725...
Edwards +1600...
Harvick +450...

Hamlin -130 vs Ky Busch...
Newman -105 vs Logano...
Newman -130 vs Biffle...
Harvick -130 vs Gordon...
Ambrose +100 vs Menard...
Stenhouse Jr +110 vs McMurray...
Almirola +100 vs Ambrose...

1.15 Units on the day...
2.85 On the weekend...
-.4 YTD

Glad to make back what I pissed away on Daytona.
Looking forward to Vegas next weekend.

Nascar > Phoenix > View Post
GL stats, good to be on Harvick. Should be the car to beat. Wish I had your faith in Tony.

I'm on Stenhouse over McMurray. Hope you win them all but that one LOL

Nascar > Phoenix picks > View Post
I'm on Harvick over Gordon too. Easy play IMHO

I ended up on Stenhouse Jr over McMurray. JamieMc has never been great at Phoenix. Stenhouse beat him H2H last year and has better equipment so that's my logic. Either way, good luck today...except with  McMurray LOL

Nascar > Phoenix Plays > View Post
Played Busch +170 yesterday and hit a winner. Moving on to Cup.

Put these plays in Wednesday...

Johnson +500
Hamlin +725
Edwards +1600

Almost added Harvick at I think +800 on Wednesday but held off.

Ended up adding him this morning...

Harvick +450

No way I could leave him out after he ran so well in practice. Still can turn a profit if any of the 4 hit and I like them all.

All H2H entered on Wednesday.

Hamlin -130 vs Ky Busch
Newman -105 vs Logano
Newman -130 vs Biffle
Harvick -130 vs Gordon
Ambrose +100 vs Menard
Stenhouse Jr +110 vs McMurray
Almirola +100 vs Ambrose

First race playing H2H plays and I'm hoping that history repeats itself in regard to how I picked my plays. Good luck to all especially those of you who have the same picks.

YTD I'm -3.25.U

Nascar > Opinion's Wanted!!! > View Post
It's not too hard to figure out who A and B are. Either way, B is easily the better driver IMHO.

Your top 3 races are spot on. I can't think of any others that really come close. Bristol night race would be my 4th, but it's more about the novelty I think.

I think that most guys would list the 500 and home track as their top 2 wanted to win. Lone exception may be Stewart who has a love affair with the Brickyard, although he'd probably give a lot for 1 win at the 500.

Nascar > Daytoner > View Post
Played Ryan Newman and Kurt Busch in all their matchups. (5Dimes)

Kurt 20-1
Newman 28-1
Hamlin 10-1
Stewart .5u 17-1 (fan play)

Nascar > N.wide > View Post
I like the plays. Think I'm going with Kenseth as my only play.

Hit Kyle 2-1 in the trucks last night after a great finish. Playing with house money today.

College Football > Mississippi at Georgia Tech (12/30/2013) > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by BigFavsShark:
Ole Miss -3

Story here is Miss DC Wommack was fired by Johnson a couple years ago. He'll have the troops ready.

Johnson has a poor record in bowls. Extra prep time helps opposition.

SEC > acc

This guy gets it. 

Pro Football > San Francisco at Washington (11/25/2013) > View Post
San Fransisco is free money. Their losses have come against good teams and they've won by a large margin against bad teams.

And, yes, I consider the Colts at home with Reggie Wayne a good team. This play is one of the best of Week 12.

Grab -4 while you can. This one goes up tomorrow and will likely be -6 before kickoff.

College Football > Marshall at Tulsa (11/14/2013) > View Post
My personal number makes Marshall an easy play here. However, I'm well aware of how the Thundering Herd suck on the road. It's like night and day with this team. I'm going to hold my nose and take Marshall -13. This will be a small play and I'll add another small play on the over.

College Football > Buffalo at Toledo (11/12/2013) > View Post
I'm not looking much into the line move.

My decision was Buffalo yesterday and I'll gladly grab a couple of points extra.

College Football > Southern California at California (11/09/2013) > View Post
USC is free money. Remember what Oregon St did to Cal? Marqise Lee will torch the Golden Bears the same way that Brandin Cooks did. Never look a gift horse in the mouth. USC by 30.

College Football > Louisville at Connecticut (11/08/2013) > View Post
I'd save my money for tomorrow.

College Football > Marshall at Middle Tennessee (10/24/2013) > View Post
This Marshall team has a ton of experience and outclasses MTSU in just about every meaningful category. The 9.5 does bother me. But I capped this one at 13 so I'll still back Marshall against a very underwhelming group of Blue Raiders.

College Football > Kentucky at Mississippi State (10/24/2013) > View Post
Save your money for Saturday. This game smells. I lean MSSt but 12's are showing up and they're not worth it.

Pro Football > Carolina at Tampa Bay (10/24/2013) > View Post
I see the best play on a 6 pt tease. That puts Car -.5 and under 46. Even in TB keeps it close, Car will win SU and this one should be a low-score snoozer.

Pro Football > Minnesota at New York (10/21/2013) > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by bouncer07:
Giants first win of the season!!!!... Chosing the better QB here to win it. Cassel looks like he's not N-sync with his recievers. Hopefully with a loss here to the troubling GIANTS, they will put Freeman in for WEEK 8 vs Packers..

I'm "Chosing" to fade you on principle. It saddens me that we won't be "N-sync" this week.

College Football > Brigham Young at Utah State (10/04/2013) > View Post
BYU's QB can't throw. Keeton one of the best mid-major QBs out there. Utah St will focus on stopping the run and let Keeton do his thing. Gladly swallowing the points on Utah St and taking the under as well.

College Football > Nevada at San Diego State (10/04/2013) > View Post
I will likely stay off this one but lean SDSt. Both teams are bad. But SDSt has played quality opponents in Okie St and Oregon St. Nevada has had a hard time stopping bad teams this year. SDSt shouldn't have any trouble moving the ball. On the flip side, Fajardo is Nevada's best player and working on a gimpy knee. He'll be in a brace for this evening.

You're looking at 2 bad teams. I give a slight edge to SDSt based on them being at home and Nevada having no D. Way too many points to swallow for any real play. Either nothing or half unit on SDSt. Probably a no play just so I won't be tempted to watch this bad football game.

Pro Football > Miami at New Orleans (09/30/2013) > View Post
I'm going to lay a little juice and go with the 7 pt tease where I'm getting NO -.5 and Over 40.5. Teasing the Dolphins isn't bad either. But I like the idea of taking Saints SU over Miami not getting throttled at some point.

I can't really come up with a scenario where Miami wins, though I won't be shocked if they hang in and win late. Both teams have enough defense to make some plays but NO has the edge on offense with much better quarterback play and general experience.

Pro Football > New England at Atlanta (09/29/2013) > View Post
Have fun arguing on the side. Atlanta is the better play but just a lean IMHO.

I'll take my hard-earned money and go large on the over.

College Football > Hawaii at Nevada (09/21/2013) > View Post
Hawaii is one of the better plays this week. The line has been dropping since it came out, with a moves of Hawaii +10 to +7 over the past few days. All of the posts above made all of the same points that I'd want to make. Hawaii is in good shape to win this game outright. I'm on Hawaii +8 large with a sprinkle on the ML. Good luck Hawaii backers!

College Football > Utah at Brigham Young (09/21/2013) > View Post
Nobody has mentioned how a Utah fan ratted out BYU LB Spencer Hadley for partying in Vegas and his subsequent 5 game suspension. BYU will be highly motivated by this and will aim to rip some heads off. Already locked in -7 BYU. I expect an easy win and cover.

College Football > Week 3 Picks > View Post
OK, things turned around some but still not a great weekend.

Went 5-3 on the later games bringing the weekend's total to 6-6.
+4U in later games brings total +.5U as well.

Not what I had hoped for but I'm always happy to make a profit.

Actually added A&M and Vandy 1U to personal plays so I came out even better with online and local.

I'll be back next week to see if I can do better. Good luck to all on NFL and for next week CFB.

College Football > Week 3 Picks > View Post
Brutal start. That's what I get for getting cocky about my Boise prediction. Hopefully things can turn around and get some of it back.

As of now, 1-3, -3.5 U.

Losing my big play on Bowling Green hurt. I clearly overvalued them. Still, they'll have value down the road for some MACtion.

And I don't know what I was thinking laying so many points on West Virginia. Should've known that they'd do just enough to not cover. I blame this one on drinking and capping after midnight.

Good luck!

College Football > Week 3 Picks > View Post
Not to toot my own horn, but this is what I posted on the AirForce@BoiseSt forum earlier. I've had a good season so far.

Originally Posted by Voltanic:

I don't have much faith in either side.

But I will put a play on the OVER.

Another idea to consider is a tease on AF and the over. That gets good numbers on both.

AF is junk, but don't think they won't gain yards on the ground and be good for a few TDs.

42-21 Boise

My bad, I said 42-21 and the game was 42-20.
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