Splooge

Member Since:September 2007
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Date Post Entry Posts
love the breakdown, analysis, and knowledge behind it all..  Cybermetrics aside these games come down to more than these stats which so many of u new guys rely on.  Not hatin on analysis just saying u guys have to try and separate yourselves from hard core #'s View
NYG +1.5 4U@ Philly...beason back defense the difference Gints by 10 View
not garbage ......S H I T....WTF LET IT BE SAID View
ytd 2-1 +4U

Cincy -2.5
vs ne.......4 U.  don't understand the line for the life of me this has the looks of statement game for Bungholes having shit the bed so many time when it comes to stepping up but this team is loaded and Pats are a dead team.....send it!!!!
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LW 1-0    YTD 1-0


CINCY -7 vs Tenn....line is soft this is the best defense in NFL and this one's for fun folks!

HOU -1 @ nyg....again Giants in disarray wrs don't know what routes to run let alone in tune w eli this is a train wreck season and i'm capitalizing on these crazy lines on Giants games all year until somebody wakes up and realizes this team is fragmented w/ 21 new players, new system plyrs having trouble adapting to and zero cohesion from play call to snap nobody knows what's going on how is this line anywhere near a pick it blows my mind I give Giants a 10% chance of winning this game with planets and stars aligning!
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Fantastic off season spent 90% of it playing golf and poker as I usually do come Feb but it's time to get back to the side gig!

4U  ARIZ -2.5 @ nyg.....yeh... yeh ...west coast teams traveling east 1pm games whatever this Giants team is fragmented, clueless and beat down on O line where once again Eli will feel heat early and often.  He has zero chemistry w/ his receivers outside of TE who looks to be only bright spot in this new offense otherwise this is a major and I stress major work in progress.  As some know I am a diehard Giants fan......I've been to their camps for years on end and have seen the lack of cohesion offensively since July.  Defensively they are fine particularly against the run so not worried there outside of JPP status secondary is better than last week's effort although Stafford looked better than I've seen him in a while.  Of course we can't go week to week in this league as far as analysis just sayin.  Would love to be wrong here and a bet that never hurts to lose but spread just doesn't figure. Giants are a total mess offensively and Zona too strong defensively not to cause Eli problems.  BOW......more to come.
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why do u idiots get into stupid comparisons with the greats of the game. U r going to seriously compare Manning to Brady to Marino?? What's the basis?? You can make a case for either one depending on what you base your criteria on it's pointless.  View
Peyton is an all time great hands down 1st ballot hall of famer regardless of this game.  Unfortunately for him he will go down as the greatest regular season QB all time w/ Marino but that shouldn't take away from his legacy.  He ran into a juggernaut of a defense last night and his receivers were literally scared to death over the middle it was obvious.  Don't bash Manning just give credit where it's deserved....Seahawks will go down w/ the Bears as one of theee greatest D's we have seen in a SB bar none, end of story, amen! View
QUOTE Originally Posted by peter10:
Why don't you just be honest there is no mystery or hocus pocus with your picks , your just looking at the concensus and going against the public , why you aren't up front in your post and just tell  the people that's what your doing  says alot about you . 

nope I think Mac looked at the game and broke it down like the pro that he is...quit cryin already biatch!  
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Mac well done brotha!   View
simply awesome!!!    again to the winners of 2014 have a great off season!  I Love the NFL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! View
....to all on board w/ the easy onboard assessment congrats brothas!!! today we celebrate  View
Harvin over 46.5 yds for .5 U for fun  

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yeh preseason games....really dude??  View
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totally agreed...he's the best reg season qb in history but playoffs another story View
Mac, Skip 

Ok for the writeup.  What I believe will be the biggest factor in this game by far will be Seattle's ability to apply pressure with their front 4.  Let me bring you back to week 6 when Denver faced Jacksonville with their defense ran by ex-Seattle D coord. Despite major lack of talent they frustrated Manning to no end holding Denver to 14 through 1st half  at home during the time when they were on fire averaging 42pts per game.  It was 21-19 late into 3rd qtr.  Jags blitzed Manning on just 2 of 42 dropbacks got plenty of pressure w/ their front 4 and played physical press coverage on the perimeter......sound a little like Denver's opposition Sunday night? DT 3 for 78 no scores, JT 4-22-1 and Decker 5-50 against a shabby D.  Seattle is vastly better and will play the same way as they have produced the most pressure/sacks stats in NFL w/ their front 4 and have bar none the best secondary in NFL by far.
Denver's wrs will not get clean releases in to their routes and nothing frustrates Manning more than disrupted timing w/ his wideouts.

From a Seattle offensive perspective they can and will play smash mouth.  Everybody is saying how good Denver's run D has been lately but stats are misleading when you look at how they grabbed early leads in those 2 playofff games making them one dimensional.  I wouldn't count on the same thing against Hawks.  Going back to final 5 reg season games Denver gave up 4.25 yds per carry.  Seattle top 4 NFL in atempts and yardage.  I feel they are gonna steamroll Denver's soft D front and if they stack the box more the better as Cromartie and Bailey are old, slow and very vulnerable.  I have no doubt Wilson will make at least a couple really big plays down field.

The greatest regular season QB in history but far from it post season will find it tough going under the most pressure he will probably feel in his career at 37 w/ time running out for that elusive 2nd ring .

so Seattle +111 for 8U it is!

will be back w/ a few props for sh*ts and giggles. 


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Love it...GL Mac!   View
Chmp Week 1-1 +1U
Playoffs 5-5-2 +4U
YTD +10U


Seattle +111...First gonna go over the overwhelming #'s and why I think Hawks are the play then gonna come back and finish writeup at another time w/ xx's and oo's 

In 21 games since 2011 as a dog Hawks are 17-3-1 ats, 9-5 SU in last 14 as dog. 

NFC won 4 of last 6 SBs going 5-1 ats in process.  

The best defense in the league as far as points allowed has made the SB 15 times going 12-3 

Underdog won 4 of last 6 SBs going 5-1 ats in process

The last 3 times a QB playing in his first SB went against a QB that had been there before, the first timer won

Hawks 10-0 ats 2nd half of season vs teams that allow 24+ ppg winning by an average of 20 points per game

Manning 8-10 in his career playoffs in cold weather games <40 degrees which it will be by gametime

Seattle forced 22 turnovers in last 10 games to Denver's 10.  It's going to make as difference this time.  Denver has won the last 2 creating no turnovers but that was vs significantly weaker defenses than Seattle's

back w/ more.....



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Denver -4.5 8U vs ne...nice run pats...i dont care how bad denver's D is right now they are going to cut Pats D to to ribbons.  Have a feeling Belichik will come out and beg Denver to run the ball so a lot of Moreno today to start out.  If the weather was an issue today I would seriously consider playing the Pats but 60 degrees w/ little wind I think will kill the Pats and their ability to stay in a game like this.  Broncos large!    View
Herbie69  BOL bro!  View
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with you on 9ers. BOL!  View
Love it Europa....you won't need the hook!  BOL  View
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doublem9, Europa, skipster  

sf front 7 is as good as I've seen in a long time.  They are able to take the heat off their average secondary which on occasions can give up big plays but most of the time there is too much heat on QB and I don't think Seattle has the weapons to exploit them.....Denver on the other hand is a whole other story but bad weather for SB will be nothing but a benefit for SF.  SF/Den matchup I would guess SF small fav 1.5 to 2.5.  I wish people would wake up and stop looking at last two SF/Sea meetings in Seattle.  The current 9er team doesn't resemble the team that was last there and Seattle has taken a step back imo.
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LW 2-3-1 -4U    Playoffs 4-4-2 +3U    YTD  +9U


SF +3.5 7U @ Sea...I don't like what I'm seeing on offensive side of the ball w/ Seattle.  I thought for sure they would pile up some points last week against a suspect D but they couldn't get out of their own way. With Percy doubtful they are once again limited.  SF resembling that model of a team you can easily see run the table the way they are rolling especially on the road.  They are a team made for the road with their ability to shut down an offense and run it w/ Kaep  they can be a problem for any defense even Seattle's. I do think Seattle D Backs will again try and get away w/ their physical play but I like Boldin/Crabtree/Davis in a physical matchup.  I watched Graham  last week pretty much quit against Seattle's secondary not wanting  any part of it and that totally affected their offensive flow 1st 3 qtrs. I don't see any quit w/ these 3 and I think refs will be cognizant of holding/interference, Harbaugh will make sure of it.  
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SD +285 5U 

SD +8.5 additional 15U

chasing like a drunk degenerate but this one feels too easy to pass up.  Let it f'in ride!!!!!! 
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CAR +2   15U  vs sf..................POW!! View
wow thought I stole one there but will accept the sister kisser.  Shoulda, woulda, coulda last night pulled the trigger early w/ the 7.5 i had in 2 of my 3 books but got greedy and procrastinated waiting for what was not to happen. I thought New Orleans did nothing in this game and if anything Seattle underachieved especially offensively.  Last score was your typical back door bull sh*t just glad it was only for the push as that would have been painful sorry to those who lost w/ the hook or more....ugly game.  Let's go Indy you have it stacked against ya in a lot of ways especially public perception but I believe!!!  View
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