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Maybe I'm wrong, but this isn't the same old UCLA of the past few years when Rick Reuheisel (god awful coach) was running things. The past 2-3 years they've had QB contraversies, rotating guys in and out all year. They had no identity. They've been riddled with injuries year in year out as well. I think this is the first time in two years I've looked at UCLA's injury report and have not seen 2-3 starting OL on there. For once, they seem to be able to field their actual starters.
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Manowarfan1 | 21 |
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@ joshk, Southern Miss put up 20 on Nebraska, Rice put up 24 on UCLA. Both UCLA and Nebraska scored 49. So UCLA "should be able to lay even more on" as well. Hundley isn't going to be beating Nebraska with his arm, I assure you that, because Jim Mora won't make him. Nebraska struggles against teams with mobile QB's. I don't think they have the lateral speed at LB to handle someone like Hundley. They sure didn't last week against Southern Miss when Anthony Alford was at QB. |
Manowarfan1 | 21 |
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In regards to your bet on the Nebraska game.....if you're not too confident in it, why even make the bet? If you feel like it's going to be a 3 point game, why not take the dog, or not bet it at all? As for the Florida game, it seems like the public perception is that Florida isn't that good. But why? Just because they only beat Bowling Green by 13? Idk if people are taking into consideration that fact that their playcalling was very vanilla. Only threw the ball 21 times the whole game. Rotated QB's as well. This week Muschamp named Driskel the starter and now knows he's the guy. They didn't run the ball poorly either, averaging over 5 ypc. They were also penalized 14 times for over 100 yards. My feeling is that Florida is way underrated. |
Manowarfan1 | 21 |
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@ MannyDaMammoth, I'm not really concerned about what the line ends up being. I see it as a blowout, getting pretty ugly, so even if it goes past 7, I would still feel good.
@fumble_rooskie, TY, and good luck with your parlays |
RealUnger | 4 |
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Last week I was on Tenn, for a multitude of reasons. Glennon looked bad, had a lot of pressure in his face, made mistakes, and the secondary got beat.....bad. So, with that said.....I will most likely be on NC State -4.5 this weekend. Turnovers kill. Mike Glennon had an uncharacteristically bad performence last week, throwing 4 pics. They also didn't have as balanced attack as they would have liked, throwing the ball 16 more times than they ran it. That happens when youre playing the whole game from behind. N.C. State is still a fast team with some solid skill players. This presents a bad matchup for UCONN. They simply struggle to defend the pass. Last season they had the Big East's worst pass defense giving up 281 ypg in the air. I look for Glennon to capitalize on this, and get NC State up early. Their offensive line is better than it looked last friday night too. UCONN isn't a team that's going to be bringing a lot of extra guys with blitz' and generally likes to pressure the QB with it's front 4. I see this as an advantage with UCONN's DL being a bit more thin this week. They will most likely be without starter Sharmar Stephen, and senior backup Ted Jennings. I'm not factoring in much from UCONN's opener against UMass, but I think one thing that should be looked at is their offense, and particularly the play at QB. First time starter Chandler Whitmer really didn't look good. 15-25 for 219, 0 TD's and 2 INT's. This against UMass......I really don't see a big time play maker at any skill position that NC State will have to key on. Another thing that kind of surprised me was the run game. As a collective unit they only averaged 3.4 ypc in the 1st game. They should have a more difficult time running the ball this week against NC St. and the ypc should decline. I see UCONN getting themselves in a situation where they could be behind 3 scores early and need to throw the ball. Look for NC States defense to be the turnover machine it was last season with an inexperienced QB in Whitmer making his second start. |
RealUnger | 4 |
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I would have capped the Oklahoma State, Arizona game at somewhere around OSU -17, and only that low because theyre on the road. I'm probably pretty dumb though.
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Capper007 | 46 |
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Interesting that you see Arizona putting up 31 on Oklahoma State. I see this as Oki State's best defense in quite some time. Linebackers and Secondary are real solid. Arizona breaking in a new offensive system with Rich Rod against an experienced, oppurtunistic defense? |
Capper007 | 46 |
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Could people just be overreacting to Nebraska's win over Southern Miss? Taylor Martinez looking like a QB for once? RB's running all over unconditioned D-Linemen? 1st year head coach for Southern Miss trying to find his teams identity in a new system?
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fumble_rooskie | 46 |
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I can say the same about the offense of Nebraska. Southern Miss simply doesn't have the personnel defensively to adequetly judge how good Nebraska is either. Seriously, Taylor Martinez threw for what equals 17% of his total passing yards from last year against Southern Miss, and threw 5 td's. He only threw 13 all of last year.
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ianrod19 | 15 |
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Nebraska is solid at RB, but they NEED Burkhead. Imani Cross is the only big back they have besides him. He looked good against Southern Miss but he's still a freshman. And I'm not sure that a 180 pound Ameer Abdullah will be able to carry the load in what should be a physical game against UCLA. His 15 carries last week was more than a 3rd of his total carries all of last year. I think there are 2 things people should take into consideration when looking at this game. 1. The depth at defensive line of the opponent Nebraska is facing. Last week they played a Southern Miss team who lost 3 starters on the DL from last year, and it looked like a serious downgrade. They also seemed not to have capable backups (or enough backups). The whole game the entire DL looked gased with theirs hands on their hips. It's no wonder they were able to rush for 278 yards. This week they play a UCLA squad with 6 of their top 8 defensive lineman back. The good thing about this? Depth. UCLA runs a 3-4, so it will be easier to rotate in experienced guys. Having 6 of 8 back in a 3-4 system is better than having 6 of 8 back in a 4-3. Simply more bodies. 2. Type of offense they will be facing. Nebraska typically doesn't fare well against mobile QB's. Wisconsin (Russell Wilson), Northwestern (Dan Persa), and Michigan (D-Rob), all gave Nebraska serious problems last year. And the trend seemed to continue against Southern Miss last week. Southern Miss was rotating QB's last week, which sucks, but every time Anthony Alford was in the game, they moved the ball well. He ended up rushing for 85 yards. The difference this week is, Brett Hundley @ QB for UCLA. I think everybody saw he has wheels, taking the opening play for a 72 yard run. But even more, he can throw the ball. 21-28 for 202 in his debut aint too shabby.
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ianrod19 | 15 |
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best of luck to you too sir.
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RealUnger | 23 |
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Washington St +12* (1 unit) FIU +3* (1 unit) adding both games Final Card Mich St -7* (1 unit) Ohio St. -23* (1 unit) Tennessee -3* (1 unit) Troy -6* (1 unit) Washington St. +12 (1 unit) FIU +3 (1 unit) Best of luck everybody |
RealUnger | 23 |
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Leach also inherited a team that is well suited to run his offense. They were starting to make some strides last year too. Close loss to UCLA and an overtime loss to Utah, if those games went the other way, they would have been bowl eligable. They also had the lead in the 3rd quarter against Oregon in Eugene. Lotta upside for WSU this year. |
dford202 | 30 |
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I like your point about Mike Leach not getting blown out. His last 3 years at Texas Tech, he's only been on the losing end by more than 14 points, 3 times. 1 being against Oklahoma in 08 who went to the National Championship. Another being to the Chase Daniel led Mizzou team in 07 who finished 7th in the country. The only teams that BYU beat by more than 10 last season were San Jose St, Idaho St, Idaho, New Mexico St, and Hawaii. |
dford202 | 30 |
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NCState2008, the whole Amerson having 13 interceptions last season is all well and good, but won't happen again. My argument is that the defensive front 7 pressuring the QB forces bad throws and makes the QB make bad decisions. So, could it be a product of the front 7 last year being solid more so than Amerson being THAT GOOD? It is a fact that NC St. lost 4 of their front 7 from last year to the NFL. Those 4 players also accounted for 17.5 sacks and 41 QB hurries. Also take into consideration this new, far less experience front 7 of NC St is going up against the Tennessee offensive line that not only has the 3rd most returning starts in the country, but only allowed 18 sacks all season. And that's playing against Florida, Bama, LSU, Georgia, South Carolina. Bray will have a lot more time to throw than Glennon. With that, Amerson might not be as much of a factor as Bray will be able to go through his progressions. Also keep in mind that Senior CB, C.J. Wilson will not be playing for NC St, due to eligablity issues. NC State is only returning 6 players on defense, and with the loss of Wilson, move that down to 5. Yeah NC St. had a better record last year too being 8-5, whereas Tenn was only 5-7, but the +14 turnover ratio is really the biggest reason for that. They were outgained LY in 7 different games. Turnovers = short fields = better chance to score. They also had 6 TD's scored by defense and special teams. Stats like that are going to be hard to replicate. Quite frankly I don't think they have the talent to do it again. |
RealUnger | 23 |
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@ QBoption, yeah FIU would be my top dog along with Washington St., but I can't pull the trigger until gameday when my local gives me his actual lines.
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RealUnger | 23 |
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Maybe put your being a fan to the side, and look at things objectivly Best of luck though.
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RealUnger | 23 |
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I will give NC St an advantage in the secondary, but Tenn has it's entire unit practiaclly in tact as well. Also at the RB position. But I think Tenn has a clear advantage at QB, WR, OL, DL, LB, and Special Teams. WR, maybe not as much now that Rogers is gone.
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RealUnger | 23 |
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Yeah, 15 of the sacks were in the first 4 games. But against Liberty, Wake Forest, South Alabama, and Cincy. It was Bray's first season as a starter last season as well. Only sacked 10 times in the 5 games, including games against Florida and Georgia. Got hurt in the Georgia game though. And still had almost 2000 yards and threw 17 TD's. I still give the OL and QB advantage to Tenn.
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RealUnger | 23 |
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dgsports34, have you taken into consideration that Texas was in it's first year under a completely new offenseive system last year with a freshman and sophomore battling for a QB spot? Both Ash and McCoy tried to do too much all season making big plays on their own, and the system OC Bryan Harsin has just simply doesn't call for that. David Ash made huge progress in the offseason and looked sharp in the spring and fall. Add in Malcom Brown, Joe Bergeron, Johnathan Gray @ RB. More experienced recievers, and a solid OL. Looks like a recipe for a lot of progress from the offensive side of the ball. A.J. McCarron won a N.C. managing games last year with a great running game and defense. Not saying UT defense is that good, but it's a similar formula, and upsetting Oklahoma could put them in a place to get there. |
MoneySRH | 34 |
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