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Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Thunder have a 77.3% chance of pulling out a win. This season, Oklahoma City has come away with a win 22 times in 24 chances when named as a favorite of at least -357 or shorter on the moneyline. The Pelicans are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City. The Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played on a Wednesday. Dunkel's Pick: New Orleans (+7.5). |
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MINNESOTA is 25-12 ATS (11.8 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons. INDIANA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights in the current season. LA CLIPPERS are 11-0 ATS (11 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games in the current season. |
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The moneyline set for this matchup implies Dallas has a 59% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. This season, Dallas has come away with a win 31 times in 41 chances when named as a favorite of at least -144 or shorter on the moneyline. Los Angeles is 5-13 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 27.8% of those games). The Mavericks are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games. The Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home. Dunkel's Pick: Dallas (-2.5). |
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The Phoenix Suns are 8-2 ATS this season when coming off a loss of 12 or more points. |
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The moneyline set for this matchup implies Denver has a 74.1% chance of walking away with the win. This year, Denver has won 31 of 35 games when listed as at least -286 or better on the moneyline. Los Angeles is 15-21 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 41.7% of those games). The Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played on a Monday when playing on the road. The Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. Dunkel's Pick: Denver (-7.5). |
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The Milwaukee Buck have been the favorite in 22 of its last 24 games against the Indiana Pacers. |
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The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 51 percent according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup. The Red Sox are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games on the road. The Pirates are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games against an opponent in the American League East Division. Dunkel's Pick: Boston (-103). |
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CHICAGO is 14-5 Over (8.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% - 2nd half of the seaso... SACRAMENTO is 19-4 Over (14.6 Units) off a blowout win of 20 points or more as an underdog since 1996. |
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Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Sacramento has a 54.5% chance of pulling out a win. This year, Sacramento has won 31 of 50 games when listed as at least -120 or better on the moneyline. The Kings are 10-4 SU in their last 14 games played on a Friday. The Pelicans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games at home. Dunkel's Pick: Sacramento (-1.5 |
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The Chicago Bulls were 1-7 SUATS as a favorite versus fellow playoff teams this season |
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CINCINNATI is 343-264 Under (52.6 Units) in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1996. OAKLAND is 28-56 SU (-33.6 Units) in home games in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons. LA DODGERS are 198-151 SU (31.9 Units) in all games in the last 3 seasons. |
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The moneyline set for this matchup implies Golden State has a 57.8% chance of walking away with the win. This season, Golden State has come away with a win 33 times in 45 chances when named as a favorite of at least -137 or better on the moneyline. When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +116 or longer, Sacramento has gone 6-12 (33.3%). The Warriors are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games against Sacramento. The Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State. Dunkel's Pick: Golden State (-2.5) |
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BALTIMORE is 69-40 SU (27.1 Units) vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. SAN FRANCISCO is 81-91 SU (-19.1 Units) in road games in all games in the last 3 seasons. COLORADO is 63-41 SU (17.9 Units) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the last 3 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 37-30 SU (4 Units) in home games when the total is 8 to 8.5 in the last 3 seasons. NY YANKEES are 64-94 SU (-39.4 Units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 in the last 3 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 64-44 Over (15.6 Units) when the money line is +125 to -125 in the last 3 seasons. CLEVELAND is 14-23 SU (-13.1 Units) in road games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. SAN DIEGO is 95-69 Under (19.1 Units) in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons. CHI WHITE SOX is 61-36 Over (21.4 Units) in home games revenging a 3 game sweep at the hands of their opponents since 1996. HOUSTON is 32-9 SU (22.1 Units) as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. ARIZONA is 126-88 SU (29.2 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons. |
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BALTIMORE is 69-40 SU (27.1 Units) vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. SAN FRANCISCO is 81-91 SU (-19.1 Units) in road games in all games in the last 3 seasons. COLORADO is 63-41 SU (17.9 Units) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the last 3 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 37-30 SU (4 Units) in home games when the total is 8 to 8.5 in the last 3 seasons. NY YANKEES are 64-94 SU (-39.4 Units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 in the last 3 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 64-44 Over (15.6 Units) when the money line is +125 to -125 in the last 3 seasons. CLEVELAND is 14-23 SU (-13.1 Units) in road games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. SAN DIEGO is 95-69 Under (19.1 Units) in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons. CHI WHITE SOX is 61-36 Over (21.4 Units) in home games revenging a 3 game sweep at the hands of their opponents since 1996. HOUSTON is 32-9 SU (22.1 Units) as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. ARIZONA is 126-88 SU (29.2 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons. |
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Fenway Park has always been a hitter-friendly ballpark, and for the last three years, it has ranked second in park factor, only behind Coors Field. That is where I love backing a guy like Crawford. The park doesn’t matter as much when guys are not hitting the ball, and when they do, it’s a soft ground ball. Crawford is a pitcher I’m looking to back as much as possible before he fully ascends into the ace discussion. His xERA was 3.25 last season and he has demonstrated those expected metrics early this season. His fastball was terrific last season, but the addition of his sweeper has dropped his hard-hit rate below 30%. He has allowed just one barrel all season and is yet to allow an extra-base hit. Boston’s bullpen has performed well so far this season, but I’m still unsure if I fully trust them. Cleveland is the better team and its lineup is deeper and more reliable. However, I am betting on Crawford’s continued ascension. Back Boston on the first five innings to get out to an early lead Monday morning, as the Red Sox celebrate Patriots’ Day at Fenway Park. BOS F5 -132 |
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OAKLAND is 28-56 SU (-33.6 Units) in home games in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons. SEATTLE is 234-160 Under (58 Units) in home games after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games since 1996. LA DODGERS are 73-59 SU (17.5 Units) vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game over the last 2 seasons. |
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CLEVELAND is 14-23 SU (-13.1 Units) in road games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. BALTIMORE is 122-84 Under (29.6 Units) in home games when playing on Monday since 1996. SAN FRANCISCO is 41-54 SU (-18.4 Units) in road games after a loss in the last 3 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 206-193 SU (-6.3 Units) in home games after a loss by 4 runs or more since 1996. TEXAS are 17-3 SU (13.7 Units) in road games after allowing 8 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. LA ANGELS are 10-1 Over (8.9 Units) in road games when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons. TORONTO is 13-39 SU (-29.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons. NY METS are 25-38 SU (-24.8 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons. SAN DIEGO is 122-80 Over (34 Units) in road games when playing on Monday since 1996. CHI WHITE SOX is 13-35 SU (-25.5 Units) in home games after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more in the last 3 seasons. HOUSTON is 97-80 SU (9 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons. ARIZONA is 126-88 SU (29.2 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons. |
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The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 49.5?cording to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup. The Cubs have won in four of the nine contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year. The Mariners have been favorites in six games this season and won two (33.3%) of those contests. The Cubs are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games against Seattle. The Mariners are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the National League. Dunkel's Pick: Chicago Cubs (+102). |
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