Qncyk1

Member Since:August 2011
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Qncyk1
Gaming Industry - US > Just got insane ammount of CC fraud - deposited only on 5dimes > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by rzagza:
Welcome to what has happened to literally everyone at 5dimes in the last 5 months. Do yourself a favor and check your credit report and make sure no cards have been opened in your name. Because that's next. Get a fraud alert put on your credit report while you're at it. Trust me.

can you check your pm request?

Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > Lauzon Robbery > View Post


i dont have the time to dig up the new ufc judging criteria but tds are now being valued less especially if no damage was done 

with that being said, only a rookie with little if any mma capping experience would claim "robbery" when miller landed signfigantly more punches and at a higher connect percentage rate in two of the three rounds

http://www.fightmetric.com/fight-details/e15b393a27c07043

for future reference, these are what robberies looks like

http://www.fightmetric.com/fight-details/f079cb2db8dbbf04

http://www.fightmetric.com/fight-details/e60e53bdc614a0af

Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > Can someone please explain... > View Post
i live bet serrano at +300

fight couldve gone either way even though fightmetrics tells a different story

Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > UFN 89 > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by sawman:
I would never question your picks. You know your stuff. I find it hard not to get swayed sometimes though 
Your
Have to credit cowboy. He's had a couple quick loses to formidable opponents. But he keeps knocking down whatever is in his way. At the same time fighting twice as much as the average fighter. Maybe 4 times more than a veteran like him. 

i thought that this was a fight cowboy could get old overnight. six fights in a year and a half span, getting ktfo standing after coming off what most would believe to be a loss to benson and his wild lifestyle. i lost two units on the play and never questioned it and still dont. you shouldnt be gambling if youre doubting your plays after they lose. 

cote was somewhat competitive with thompson who would just wreck cerrone

Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > UFN 89 > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by sawman:
But I am choked I didn't scared off Cerrone from you and Q!

i see some people on other sites looking back on their cote pick as being bad capping but not me. cerrone was pretty much coming off a tko loss, standing, and jumping to a higher weight class( donald claimed to weigh 176 on fight night) against a prior 185 with an iron chin and ko power. donald has also not done well against pressure fighters(barboza was beating him until he was kd and submitted by a jab) and fighting in canada was probably going to lose a close fight if it went to decision with cote being at plus money. 

sometimes fight history and metrics dont correlate with results

Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > Hammer: Patrick Cote > View Post
i bought him at +157. have action plays on the ko prop 1,2 and 3 also

Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > UFC 198 > View Post
well done, jim

take a look at john jackson next weekend. hes a very live dog at +790. i was on the dallas jr play as well and luckily hedged with the draw at +2800

Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > Yamasaki > View Post
the only way to end eye pokes and fence grabbing is to give an immediate one point deduction and on a second occurance a dq.

the eye poke in the mitrione fight shouldve resulted in a dq




Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > Thompson? Yeah...No > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by NickCapone:
Lol set my self up for that one. But in my def Mendes was a short replacement barley had a camp and time to prepare. He  did dominate the 1st round with his wrestling tho. 

a month before the fight mendes was in one of those iron man type competitons i believe in lake tahoe. i thought he took a big adrenaline dump right before round one and thats why he had nothing left. 

im on hendricks tonight and might live bet thompson after johhny takes him down. these ufc judges are just garbage right now and i could see hendricks getting robbed if it does go to the cards



Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > Thompson? Yeah...No > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by NickCapone:
Thats enough to win fights. All Conor has is striking too.

In same cases yes.. But not when your matched up against an NCAA All American division 1 wrestler

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chad_Mendes

Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > Thompson? Yeah...No > View Post
agreed.

taken down five times by matt brown who does not possess the on punch power that hendricks has nor the wrestling pedigree

Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > Who won? Condit or Lawler > View Post
i had larkin and no problem with that decision. was even able to hedge out some

the lawler decision was just horrible.

lawler himself admitted in the postfight interview that his corner said that he needed to win the last two rounds and there is no way robbie won the fourth round visibly hurt from a condit left hook followed by a carlos right hand behind lawlers left ear which threw off his equilibrium

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=APw2P5qK7rA

fourth round saw robbie land 6 of 18 to condits 47 of 98

http://www.fightmetric.com/fight-details/f079cb2db8dbbf04






Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > Who won? Condit or Lawler > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by StackMyLoot:


LOL UFC don't judge the fights the Nevada State Athletic Commission does don't you think if the judges was on UFC payroll their would be alot of corruption going on if you had to worry about Dana White being your boss?

LOL what does the NSAC have to do with the fact that lawler statistically did not win the third round...the whole premise for those that are trying to justify that robbie won the fight?

lawler opened as a +400 to start the fifth round

what do you not understand about that?

or i guess you want to make some stupid presumption that you know more about probablilties in live betting than the traders at williamhill and bet365



Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > Who won? Condit or Lawler > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by sawman:
All the judges were all thinking the same thing. The only round they disagreed on was Rd 3.
1 Carlos
2 Robbie
4 Carlos
5 Robbie



the people that think lawler won are grabbing at anything to justify the bad decision

unless there is a knockdown/td or a fighter is visibly hurt, said fighter should not lose the round(third) when he throws three times as many punches(octogon control) and lands twice as many signifigant strikes

before the fifth round started, robbie lawler was offered as a +400(bet365 traders being the smartest guys in the room) and got bet up to +600. with one round remaining, these type of odds suggest a minimum of a two point round or a lawler finish in order for robbie to win or push the fight, both of which did not happen


it was another bad ufc decision




Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > UFC 195 > View Post
http://www.fightmetric.com/fight-details/f079cb2db8dbbf04

condit outhrowing and outlanding lawler by  a 2-1 margin in rounds 1,3 and 4 with no td or kds by robbie in either round

lawler has no case for winning any of those three rounds and his only argument in that the rounds he won were 10-8 rounds which is also ridiculous






Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > UFC 195 > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by Ferrari29:
Terrible outsrikes a guy 4-1 and losses!!!!

not 4/1 but definately outthrew and outlanded at a significant number

i had it condit 1,3 and 4


Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > 2015 Betting Results Summary > View Post
well done, jim

Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > Huge play - UFC 194 > View Post
nice hit

rockhold got as high as +400 in live betting in the first round 

Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > Huge play - UFC 194 > View Post
i am going to wait until after weedman takes rockhold down in the opening three minutes before live betting on luke



Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > UFC 193 > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by Ferrari29:
esparza is a very small 115 and valerie is big at the weight. took 135 davis the distance. if she can get joanna down, like claudia was able to, she has a chance.and with live betting. there might be a hedge possibilitiy when getting +1350
I like Valerie BUT she fought Davis 8 years ago, isn't close to Claudia's TD game, and Penned who is a ground girl couldn't sniff it against Joanna. Tell me how a striker by trade is suddenly gonna change??? I think Holm has a better chance!!!

i think holm has far less a chance as rousey standup is as good or better.

its completely unknown how much joannas ground game has improved and if she can even beat the bigger letormuea on the ground if the fight should get there

laying -2000 on a fighter with an unproven gorund game is nuts

Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > UFC 193 > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by Ferrari29:

Because of her opponent this line is huge. I disagree about her TD defense, it looked solid against Esparza!!!

esparza is a very small 115 and valerie is big at the weight. took 135 davis the distance. if she can get joanna down, like claudia was able to, she has a chance.

and with live betting. there might be a hedge possibilitiy when getting +1350





Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > UFC 193 > View Post
i think joanna is one of the best strikers in all of mma but there is no way she should be a -2000 

unlike rousey, her td defense and punch resistance is still not confirmed

Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > UFC 192 > View Post
im trying to figure out why shawn  jordan is not the favorite and i have no idea why he isnt

this will also be ruslans first time fighting in the US

Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > Weekend MMA > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by JimGunn:


I bet Newton because I like the value at +350. But these tournament fights are first two rounds followed by a significant rest period and then three rounds for the final.

no wonder the line is as high as it is. i thought this was a five round fight

Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > Weekend MMA > View Post
i cant believe the newton line movement. davis has zero five round experience. 

Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > UFC 191 > View Post
when did you get mir in play at +293? the highest i ever saw him was +175 on the euro books at any point

they shut the line down in the third round at three of my books and that was before mirs takedown that nobody credited him for. 

the best i got was even money on mir at an exchange to hedge out. 

i thought that td might have won mir the fight

Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > UFC 191 > View Post
nice pics

no you have to try and get in to the ring with one of the guys



Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > 191 live thread > View Post
probably has a five inch reach advantage when taking into consideration the height and he decides to stand and trade. 



Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > 191 > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by hradekbr:
While I think laying -700 is obviously not smart, I still cant see him losing what so ever

if rumble decides to stand and trade he could get caught. jimi throws very straight and technical punches, every bit as so as johnson albeit with less power and with the lessor chin and manuwas left hand(hook and jab) is arguably better than rumbles

imo, johnson should mix his stand-up with tds and fight to a safe decision or late stoppage but i dont think that version of rumble exists

hes going to come out and trade from round one and that is manuwas only path to victory.

Qncyk1
Mixed Martial Arts > 191 > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by sawman:

PEDs are an interesting consideration. But I guess you could say that about almost every fighter if they're cracking down more than ever. 
I don't see this fight going the distance. I think AJ finishes him inside 2 rounds. He has looked great vs everyone but Cormier, but DC will take out pretty much everyone 

I jumped on 500 early because it's going to be 700 by fight time. And Felder too. Jumped on that early because 300 will be 500

nice call

-700 at pinny

i have no idea whose laying -700 on johnson here

thats just dumb. 
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