Profile | Entries | Thread Author | Posts | Activity |
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Denver -7.5 (2x)
Dallas +4.5 Miami +4.5 Balty -1 Jax +10.5
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Pottleade1 | 1 |
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Value Plays to win through round 2
Bill Horschel 10/1- Already won a tournament this year so monkey off back. 31st in Driving Accuracy, 34th GIR, 17th Putting. Ranks 19th in third round scoring so will likely put up a good number today. Steve Stricker 10/1- 13th in Driving Accuracy, 2nd in GIR and 13th in putting. Sick stats that are needed at Merion. This is however in a limited sample of 6 starts this year and he has never won a major. Charl Swartzel- 25/1- Some books left this out there during this mornings round so I grabbed it once he birdied 18. May be something you want to look at in the future with delays. Not sure its still around though so may have to shop around to find anything decent. GIR 24th and Putting 32nd so respectable. Driving accuracy is 93rd so not ideal. Not sure grabbing it at 12/1 is profitable long term at this point. Hunter Mahan- 30/1 Really like this one. Got it same scenario via Charl above. I still see some 25/1(sportsbook.com) out there which is decent value. 32nd in both DA and GIR and 29th in putting. Buyer Beware Phil- 160th in Driving accuracy. I know they are using irons a lot here, however, he is only 44th in GIR too, which is worse than all above so see no real value in Phil at 3.5/1. Rose- His ball striking is topnotch, however, 156th in putting and 130th in 3rd round scoring average don't equate to 7/1. Donald- Like Rose he hasn't shown the ability to win a major and started to slump a little yesterday. GIR is the most important metric for winning this tournament and Donald ranks 149th so I'll pass on watching him scramble at just about any odds. Other Notes Live Wagering- If you have multiple outs you might want to look into scalping opportunities in the final round especially with Tiger. When he hit it in the water during the Players some books had -110 to win while one priced it a +150. Intersting Stat- On Gil Alexanders betting dork Golf Podcast Steve the Punter noted that in 17 of the last 18 years the US Open Winner has come from a golfer in the top 6 after 36 holes. Your probably wondering why I took Mahan and Charl then?? Value was too good to pass up. I guess it could be argued whether or not there really is value then when looking at that stat. Below is The punters in play blog if your looking for more US Open info. https://betting.betfair.com/golf/the-punter/us-open-2013-the-punters-in-play-blog-140613-167.html |
Pottleade1 | 1 |
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Does Anyone understand this line? My power rating put it at 7.5 to 8...opened 4 and just keeps going down. Something is up...I know its a crappy game but there is still opportunity to make money....If anyone has an idea let me know....
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Pottleade1 | 1 |
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Adding Philly -2.5 |
Pottleade1 | 8 |
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Love Philly in the spot. Why is no one talking about Philly's stout D? Letdown spot for the Giants. Just finished a full writeup on it at my blog. https://sharpsides.blogspot.com/
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Charlie_M | 13 |
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Thanks. Just added a writeup for Miami +6.5(locked it in early in the week) |
Pottleade1 | 8 |
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Interesting I hadn't looked at the lines this morning. It is down to a pick on my book as well. Thanks for the info. I will update it for this. Any known reason for the move?
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Pottleade1 | 8 |
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Cincy -2.5 and Carolina +7.5. Just posted stats and trends for these to my blog. More plays to come(2-3 more plays). |
Pottleade1 | 8 |
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thanks for continuing to share your plays with us each week...was at the game last night...I can't figure out if our d is just that bad at tackling or if Ellington and Boyd are just that good...maybe a little of both
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Boom_Boom | 130 |
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BigEastExpert | 133 |
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Anybody had any issues with payouts at this site recently? I wanted to know before making another deposit. Any help would be greatly appreciated.
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Pottleade1 | 10 |
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The line has moved to 3.5...which means the real sharps are hitting this hard toward philly...
Spurs 4-8 on the road and due for a loss....sixers 13-3 at home....there is nothing smart about this bet....
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smartbets | 314 |
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BEE anything for the probowl? Slight lean?
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BigEastExpert | 122 |
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TigerBlood,
Next time you "rush your picks, because your busy at work" please advise before I throw a quarter of my bankroll on your plays....
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TigerBlood21 | 11 |
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BEE,
Thanks for once again saving my day with Vtech!
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BigEastExpert | 147 |
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Boom,
Don't you think Clemson does work on Wake Forest this weekend? 16.5 seems like a slam dunk
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Boom_Boom | 289 |
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Boom,
Love your picks and what you do...been tailing you all year...do have a bone to pick with you though...how many times you gonna get burned by Baylor before you stop picking them?
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Boom_Boom | 253 |
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Anyone know where you can get a college football push chart?
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Pottleade1 | 2 |
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good job cliff!
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cliff8380 | 38 |
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Been rolling all year making some good profits. I think I have all of this thing figured out, then all of the sudden a day like yesterday happens. 1-12 bankroll completely gone. I guess thats why they say its hard to make money doing this.
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Pottleade1 | 2 |
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