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Help with this MNF middle opportunity
I think you are incorrect.
Your exposure is:
If the Giants win by 4+ and the total points are 44 or less he wins
Regardless of who wins, if the total points are 51 or above you win.
I don't know if it is the closest without going over or just the closest to the total at which point, he wins if the total points are 45,46,47 and you win if 48,49,50,51+
I don't know how much you put in, but you have to protect yourself in the event of a low scoring game. It all depends on what you played to get into the contest.
If it were me, Id put something on the under 50.5. You have three options:
1) Do nothing and let it ride;
2) Bet enough on the Under to get back what you put into the contest. So you don't lose anything. For example if you put $100 into this contest, then bet $110 to win $100 on the under. Thus, if the Giants win by 4+ and the game goes under, you don't lose anything.
3) Bet enough on the under to guarantee that no matter what happens you win. For example, if you put $100 into this contest, then you would bet $440 to win $400 on the under. If you win the teaser you win $800 and if the under hits you win another $400; If you win the teaser and you lose the under, then you win $360; if you lose the teaser and you win the under you get $300 ($400-100).
You can do the math and find the optimum that no matter what happens you win the same amount. But the Ideal would be to win the teaser and hit the under.
Good Luck with whatever you do.