Profile | Entries | Thread Author | Posts | Activity |
---|---|---|---|---|
season=2015 and p:runs=0
then to expand outwards in a chase you change it to season=2015 and pp:runs=0 and p:L and just keep adding the appropriate number of "p"s for each chase level
|
jay1234 | 23 |
|
|
i wouldn't rely too heavily on this; i think what you're seeing is short-term variance. so far this season, if you were doing a 7 game chase, there would be 1 loss. last season there would be 3 losses. that's per sportsdatabase.com
|
jay1234 | 23 |
|
|
Thanks Dan. I got +110 on it, so I took it.
|
Danrules24 | 207 |
|
|
Also, I have sea/tex over 7.5. Do I play that? Or do you have another suggestion? Thanks.
|
Danrules24 | 207 |
|
|
Is that NY bet Mets -1.5 or Yankees ML? I have the same odds on both.
|
Danrules24 | 207 |
|
|
for what it's worth, i see KC -102 and SD 100. but i agree, it doesn't look like a very good day.
so, question: i've been using sagarin ratings to play underdogs, and i wondered if anyone else uses it. because the ratings aren't (as far as i know) archived daily, to begin the season i used the info through the end of last year. in the last couple of days i started looking at this year's info. the first 7 days using last year's info were great, and the last 4 days not so much, while the last 4 days using this year's info have been 50%. has anyone actually used the system and tracked it? i'd feel a lot more comfortable with the 6 picks i see today if i had some historical basis for it. thanks for any help you can give. i appreciate it. we can survive this rough patch. i'll be going conservatively today though, for sure. good luck to everyone.
|
Danrules24 | 207 |
|
|
yesterday was horrendous all around. i'm chalking it up to just a bad day. let's get this. bol!
|
Danrules24 | 207 |
|
|
Cool, thanks. I've been doing really well with the early games so far, but I was off last night and for some reason didn't check to see when the games start. One thing I haven't been able to get into yet is over unders, so I appreciate the recommendation. Thanks dude. I'll never do this again... hopefully. Lol
|
Danrules24 | 207 |
|
|
Crap, I just woke up. Do you have any other recommendation for system 3? Thanks.
|
Danrules24 | 207 |
|
|
nice win. great day.
|
Danrules24 | 207 |
|
|
i can't believe the yankees just retied it up in the 16th to give us the system 3 win. sweet. as for mm strategy, i have a lower bankroll than all or most of you guys, i'm sure lol. i've been spreading out the chases between all of my plays, and because i did well the last few days i started over today. later in the season i'll probably play out each of the chases, but it's so early. last year i got behind early in the season and never fully recovered. i'm doing well so far, and i'd like to keep it that way. as long as kc can hold on to win, i've got a 46% roi day. it helps that as soon as oak went up 3-0 on sea, i hedged it -2.5 at -135. i'll take the winning day and up all of my bets tomorrow to compensate for the other system losses. gl to all.
|
Danrules24 | 207 |
|
|
hey nice start. i've been tailing. nice job.
|
JoeMahirap | 167 |
|
|
nice win on the grand slam for system 3 lol
|
Danrules24 | 207 |
|
|
ah ok, cool. sorry if i missed something, but which dog spreadsheet?
i'm probably going to run the strongest away team (fave or dog) parlay anyway, along with your parlays, at least for a little while. i know it works for the first 2 weeks, and i'll backtest the rest of it in the next few days. in case anyone is interested, it's CLE & SF today.
|
Danrules24 | 207 |
|
|
hey, i know your parlay systems aren't the 2 strongest away teams like you did with nhl, but have you looked into doing that for baseball as well? i just started backtesting, but haven't gotten very far. i didn't know if anyone else had backtested it and it didn't work. but so far (according to killer sports) for 2013 & 2014 through 4/12 (like i said, not far)
A 9 B 3 C 2 F 1
|
Danrules24 | 207 |
|
|
Quote Originally Posted by Ordinaryday6: on the totals parlay, what are your parameters? i'd be happy to backtest it for you if you have a specific way of handicapping it. definitely looking forward to tailing you this season. good luck to all! also, will you start on this tomorrow?
|
Danrules24 | 207 |
|
|
on the totals parlay, what are your parameters? i'd be happy to backtest it for you if you have a specific way of handicapping it.
definitely looking forward to tailing you this season. good luck to all!
|
Danrules24 | 207 |
|
|
why do you even bet (chases, nonetheless) if you can't handle losses? what a loser. in more ways than one.
|
Danrules24 | 677 |
|
|
awesome win. huge. i was going to cut it off after this and the nashville game, but i may stick it out.
question though: i see where TB is at home on 4/9, but i only see one more game after that: 4/11 vs BOS, on the last day of the regular season. i thought the system required at least a 3 game homestand? are you assuming playoff games?
|
Danrules24 | 677 |
|
|
great win. i think i'm also done for the year with this. thanks dan. see you for baseball. :)
|
Danrules24 | 4273 |
|
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.