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Quote Originally Posted by skiop: Why did this not happen in any other city who didn't have a home town participant? Too boo and revel in someone's failure as they did was completely classless Around this time last season, Diamondbacks fans booed Prince Fielder at the All-Star Game's Home Run Derby for not picking Justin Upton on his four-man team. |
Asomugha | 27 |
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4-2 (+1.83)
1 to win 1 Tx RL +115 LAA RL +110 Pitt +154 NYY +111 (x3) Wash +103 Sea un 6.5 -125 |
OrangeCrush07 | 2 |
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1-1 (0.00)
1 to win 1 Oak -142 Ari -110 Stl +105 Lad +120 |
OrangeCrush07 | 1 |
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0-0-0 1 to win 1 Wash ov 6.5 +105 Phil un 7 -125
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OrangeCrush07 | 1 |
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Betting on "rested-2 days or 2 in 5" dogs in March/Second half of the season is a no-no |
TRAIN69 | 107 |
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If you are going to use "systems" for Statfox, it might be wise to reference them.
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PitchBlack2011 | 95 |
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GB will be a DD road fav @ KC
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PrimeTimeBoys | 372 |
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Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:
Thats a crazy number........................I bet that DD road favs have a dismal record over all....................
Since 1989, DD road favs are 52-70-4 (57.3% fade) and 0-5 ATS this year. 1-12 ATS L13 |
PrimeTimeBoys | 372 |
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Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:
Some things ive been looking at for the Thursday game: Mike Tomlin & the Steelers are 1-8 ATS as a double digit home favorite...............
After their 2008 superbowl, the following year they went 0-5 ATS as double digit favs & this year they are 1-3 ATS.............
Thinking of trying for a middle, since I got it at -13.5, will wait & see if it moves up, if not, I will buy a 1/2 point..............
Steelers are great in 10 point teasers but some of the trends ive seen are making me the Ravens on the other hand have lots of things favoring them, trends, systems & the fact the Colts wont repeat what they did to the Pats.
Also, I read that the public percentages are 1-11 ATS on Thursdays this season.............. 0-6 ATS on side plays & 1-5 on totals. So from what it seems, the public is getting pounded on Thursday.
This is not being indecisive, but rather not wanting to lose money so why not try for a middle.............
I will pound the Giants on Sunday night, there is no way I will back off the Giants..............none!
Mike Tomlin and the Steelers are 7-4 ATS as DD HOME Fav and are 1-1 this year. Mike Tomlin is also 2-1 ATS against the Browns as DD Home favs. Since 1990 the Steelers are 19-16 ATS as DD Home favs. Since 1993 are 0-8 ATS on the ROAD as DD favs. 0-2 this year.
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PrimeTimeBoys | 372 |
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Quote Originally Posted by ZonaCats:
Did u know that DD dogs are 15-9 (63%) this year and historically has been ~60%? Closing DD dogs are 13-10-1 this year. And 372-338-15 (52.3%) since 1989. Closing home DD dogs this year are 5-0 and 70-52-4 since 1989. Dogs of 17 or more are 20-6-1 since 1991 and has lost a cover since 2002 |
PrimeTimeBoys | 372 |
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Quote Originally Posted by metalbill:
tryin to remember the last time i seen -16.5 in the nfl! Keepin that number under 17 for a reason.. Favs of 17 or more are 6-19-1 ATS since 1991. Yes that is right. There has not been a 17 or more favorite since 2007 and low and behold, NE was 0-4 ATS in all of the 2007 games. AFC conference favs of 17 or more are 2-11-1 ATS since 1991
Note... Key number is 17 Favs of 16 or more are 25-33-1 ATS since 1990 AFC conference favs of 16 or more are 11-20-1 ATS since 1990 Patriots are 4-4 ATS as 16 or more favorites but 0-4 ATS as 17 or more favorites GL |
Csabika25 | 36 |
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You need to back test this more than 9 weeks of a year, over 50 games is hardly significant. I am assuming any positive trends you are seeing will eventually regress and level out regardless of public support or not. For instance, while I can't back test your public %'s, I can do those that are trending regardless of public support.. "Home favorites win 60% of their games, regardless of backing-Zone 2 – Spreads between 4.0 and 9.0" 2011: 23-15-0 ATS, 60% 2010: 37-40-1 ATS 2009: 34-41 ATS 2008: 37-42- ATS 1989 to present: 815-868-29 ATS "Away dogs win 73% of games regardless of amount of public backing.Zone 3 – Spreads between 9.5 and 12.5" 2011: 7-3-1 ATS 2010: 7-10 ATS 2009: 15-13 ATS 2008: 10-9-1 ATS 1989 to present: 222-224-8 ATS
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Howard_Jughes | 8 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Theone324:
Broncos +8 -110 System: Play on a team who is playing their division rival on the road after losing their first game at home to this same team. I am not sure what the exact numbers are as I do not have the time to track it but I know it has been highly profitable over the years. GL This situtation is 258-225-12 ATS (53.4%) since 1989 Last year it went 11-7 ATS (61%). It has had some good years, for instance, 70% ATS in 2008 and 80% ATS in 2001. From 2000 to present it is 58.1% ATS. But long term=medicore success, unstable and will regress. gl |
Theone324 | 8 |
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Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:
Now this system has me thinking because I do like the Chargers, check it out: Teams that are undefeated (3-0 or more) coming off the bye week & will be a favorite (Packers) are 18-1 ATS since 2002, thats 95%
Hmm......might lay off this game now.
This is accurate with the lone loss coming with Sea v Stl in 2004. Overall this system is 34-14-1 ATS since 1990.
gl |
PrimeTimeBoys | 111 |
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Quote Originally Posted by tafter12:
How about how teams do after they've had two consecutive Turnover Free games? How teams do after two TO-free games ......... Since 1989....... Overall: 172-153-4 ATS Road dogs are 53-35-1 ATS (60%) Since 2006 Road dogs are 20-6 ATS (77%) Play on road dogs after two consecutive TO-free games. |
tafter12 | 107 |
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Quote Originally Posted by tafter12:
teams that turn the ball over 4 or more times in their previous game teams on a two game win streak or more that less have a win margin of 10 or less total for their previous 2 games. Can you look up NHL also? There is no statstical significance with those two. They need to be tightened up. NHL...I have no clue about that sport. sorry.
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tafter12 | 107 |
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Quote Originally Posted by tafter12:
Where can we go to find these stats? also, Orange Crush, is there a site that we can see NFL TO's from week to week? tafter, if you have a particular angle regarding TO's or anything else that you want checked into let me know. OC
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tafter12 | 107 |
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Quote Originally Posted by tafter12:
Last year, someone posted a play that got me using these plays each week. He said FADE any team that scores 30 points or more and gives up 12 or less for TWO straight games. This system went 3 - 0 last year, and had been said to be a lifetime 78% winner. Whoever gave you this, it absolutley correct! In this situation, these teams are 9-28 ATS since 1991. And since beginning of the 1999 season these teams are 4-20 ATS!! The situtation went 4-0 last year with the NE/NYJ Div game. Great FADE situation! |
tafter12 | 107 |
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How teams do in thier next game after losing by over 30, with normal rest. Since 1989...... Overall: 104-74-6 ATS (58.4%) Home teams: 60-42-4 ATS (58.8%) Road teams: 44-32-2 ATS (57.8%) Favs: 26-19-1 ATS (57.7%) Dogs: 78-51-5 ATS (60.4%) DD Dogs: 13-3-1 ATS (since 2005) |
tafter12 | 107 |
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How teams do in thier next game after losing by 40 or more points, with normal rest. Since 1989...... Overall: 16-12 ATS (2-0 this year) Home teams: 13-5 ATS (1-0 this year) Road teams: 3-7 ATS Favs: 10-1 SU and 7-4 ATS (2009 last play) Dogs: 9-8 ATS (2-0 this year) 30 or more coming up
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tafter12 | 107 |
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