MuggsyBogues

Member Since:May 2009
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MuggsyBogues
Ultimate Race > Philadelphia/Sacramento pick > View Post
Tough luck, lol


MuggsyBogues
Soccer > Belgium's back four tomorrow > View Post
Over was the best bet of the tournament.

There was at least one, maybe two ungiven penalties (in favor of Belgium). On top of that, Wales got very lucky not conceding in the first 7-10 minutes. This was a COMFORTABLE over.

MuggsyBogues
Soccer > Copa America Thread.... > View Post
Big speech!..

Great players come through in great moments. Just watch Ronaldo the rest of this tournament. You'll be surprised, after he repeatedly 'choked'.

MuggsyBogues
Soccer > Copa America Thread.... > View Post
Higuain just happens to be the best striker in Italy at the moment.

Italy... have you heard of their national team? They are quite good, and they mostly play in Serie A.

MuggsyBogues
Soccer > Euro 2016 Thread.... > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by PapaShango:
GL, Van.

I have some nice futures left.  Let me know which you think have a prayer.  

Poland 50/1
Wales 80/1
Hungary 150/1
Belgium 11/1
Iceland 200/1
Slovakia 150/1

France and Portugal


MuggsyBogues
WNBA > Phoenix Mercury > View Post
Yeah, hope it works out for you. Maybe Moore injury is serious?

MuggsyBogues
Soccer > Euro 2016 Thread.... > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by soothsayer13:
 my Croatia + 1300 Futures  looking a lot better after today.  hopefully Modric recovers for the next match.

I'd be tempted to not play him. Hungry young guys > highly paid superstars.

MuggsyBogues
Soccer > Euro 2016 Thread.... > View Post
Belgium wins... so then Italy has every incentive to play a new XI and (hopefully) lose the game?

MuggsyBogues
Soccer > Euro 2016 Thread.... > View Post
That's the thing. There's no direction here. My thinking is, as Fomenko will be on his way out (to be substituted by, probably Andriy Shevchenko) as a coach, the team just may play better. 

I have also found out that we are officially eliminated from playoffs. Winning 5-0 won't change a thing. So, again, for this team - I THINK - it's a positive thing. They'll play a better game. And with the odds, it's hard to stay away from backing them.

One last time.

MuggsyBogues
Soccer > Euro 2016 Thread.... > View Post
Loss to the Irish was one of the most disturbing, gut-wrenching 'performances' I have seen as a fan. The fact I lost money on the game, and I'm being objective here, had very little effect on my feelings as a Team Ukraine supporter.

Their time here at the Euros can be summarized as: didn't get off the bus. While they played their game - Dynamo Kyiv style, Lobanovskiy style (absorb the pressure and take chances in counter attack) vs a semi-relaxed Germany - they looked ok. They looked good, actually.

However, against an opponent who was fully locked in and 'ready to die' out there to get a result, they faltered. On Thursday, this team collectively played as if this was the beginning of another 1.5 year long qualifying campaign, not a do-or-die game where losing just isn't a fu....ng option. 

Millions of people, including MuggsyBogues, screamed at their TV for a good hour. And as much as I tried, in the words of Chris Rock, 'turning that sh.. off', I couldn't make myself. 

It was a disaster that looked more like a certainly with each passing minute, ever since about midway first half. The +900 Northern Ireland were a better team for over an hour of play.

Konoplianka made some runs with little support but didn't do enough to create crosses and set pieces. With how little penetration he got going down his left side, Seleznyov starting was an obvious disaster as he can only score from within 5 feet of goal. It was almost like Konoplianka didn't bother to make runs, didn't want to get his feet wet. And I thought he would end up starring for Sevilla and maybe move to Real Madrid. Yeah, right.

Seleznyov - didn't get many touches, got frustrated, got a stupid yellow card. D-

Yarmolenko - probably our best player on the pitch - had exactly one clear strike on goal (that didn't particularly challenge the keeper)

The two 19-year olds were average. Very good start from #16 pressing the ball - he gave it all unlike half our players and had to be substituted in 2 half - but the way both guys shot the ball showed that, once again, almost no player on this team is ready for the really big stage. Not ready for the 'right here, right now'. 

Once the Irish absorbed the initial pressure and started going up a little more, our backs showed they aren't much better than the Portuguese defenders (what a bunch of clowns!), and the wet conditions didn't help because there was always a chance that the pressing Irish would intercept and break away - the ball was harder to handle. 

It was a team that never got off the bus, led by a coach who is (I believe) not tough enough on his players. They look like they are just here to collect a paycheck, not push themselves to something special. 

What I'm getting at, however, is that while this team can be crap in crunch time (see those half assed shots on goal vs Germany that the Russians, or the Romanians would surely convert? see those 'shots' by the otherwise solid, but unbelievably impotent upfront, Shevchuk?)... they are still a good team that can be a dangerous underdog.

I believe a big part of their collective impotency comes from inadequate coaching and not being focused at the right time.

Now that the responsibility is gone - and chances to advance are purely theoretical - I think they should be rated almost as highly - if not as highly - as the Poles.

I've locked in some Ukraine AH +0.5 and will be looking into making extra plays before game time when teams are announced. Expect Seleznyov to take his rightful place on the bench and both 19-year olds starting again and making life hell for the Polish back field, at least for the first 45 minutes.

It's time to start creating a team that will make noise in 2020. Was I certain THIS team can beat Northern Ireland 'here and now', in 2016? Of course I was. 

Will they surprise the world by beating Poland when it means, basically, nothing? 

I wouldn't be shocked if they do.

MuggsyBogues
Soccer > Euro 2016 Thread.... > View Post
You don't think Germany will be determined to keep defensive errors to the minimum and basically play a safe game?

Due to the 'tournament considerations' this really feels like a 0-0 HT, 1-0 FT type game. 

Poland should know better than trying to open up and challenge the favorite; playing it safe and getting a point here (and then a point vs Ukraine) seems like a pretty damn good strategic plan.

MuggsyBogues
WNBA > Phoenix Mercury > View Post
Right, that's if you can even find +800. 

MuggsyBogues
Soccer > Copa America Thread.... > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by Dubfire:

i would think losing to germany 7-1 as host country in 2014 would have motivated them.

Them? How many players from the 1-7 team do you think played in this shameful Copa and how many do you see playing in the 2018 campaign?

These are two different squads, a new generation.

MuggsyBogues
Soccer > Copa America Thread.... > View Post
The way Brazil exited this tournament, makes me wonder if they will be very motivated and worth some money during WC-2018 campaign, starting from the qualifiers and into the finals in Russia.

MuggsyBogues
WNBA > Sunday Ladies > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by AussieDownUnder:

When Griner came into the league, she was a beast at 6'8 and teams didn't know how to handle her. Now teams do. But also her personal issues have taken over her IMHO. The whole Glory Johnson saga is a mess. Their bench is very weak as well though. They have no big names coming off their bench compared to the Lynx who have Jia Perkins, Montgomery etc. With Griner not being her usual self, the D of Mercury is non-existent and they have the scorers to stay in games but just don't have the D or rebounders anymore to stay close against superior teams..

That, and she didn't have a long season in Russia just behind her. A season where she's getting paid five times the WNBA max salary, if not more.

What defense?...

MuggsyBogues
WNBA > Phoenix Mercury > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by rickybuckets:
alot of value on wnba futures +800.  its only a matter of time they get better

That price is fair. They will have to play at least twice in Minnesota in the playoffs (possibly three times if it's the Finals). Winning there is different to anything else in the WNBA.

Since 2014, both teams individual players aged ,but... Moore improved more than Griner has, Fowles addition was big, and Minnesota - unlike Phoenix - is able to execute their team defense. Even with some improvement from Phoenix - and some regressing from Minnesota - the spread has to get really high before I would consider backing the former against the latter.

MuggsyBogues
Soccer > Euro 2016 Thread.... > View Post
Good luck. It looks like I will be betting the draw between Belgium and Italy.

MuggsyBogues
Soccer > Copa America Thread.... > View Post
It was a good call. He does that ten times, he break's opponent leg and ends his career at least once.

Still from what I've seen, Jamaica was the right call. A very short highlight reel. Just the type of game you want if you have +0.5

MuggsyBogues
Soccer > Three 10 to 1 bets > View Post
Does he post here any more?

MuggsyBogues
Soccer > Three 10 to 1 bets > View Post
Mexico 
Uruguay

(to win Copa America, each)

Italy

(to win Euros)

What would vanzack do?

MuggsyBogues
WNBA > And your WNBA 2016 champions are... > View Post
not Chicago Sky

-340

BOOK IT!

MuggsyBogues
NBA Betting > Clipjoint > View Post
GL, if Spurs win I'll be 3 for 3 fading 'referee trends' this postseason.

MuggsyBogues
NBA Betting > The Unwritten Rule of Playoff Basketball > View Post

MuggsyBogues
NBA Betting > Atlanta -9?? Why is the spread so high? > View Post
As long as there is forum discussion and (more or less) even action on the two sides, the bookmakers have accomplished their goal.

MuggsyBogues
NBA Betting > The Unwritten Rule of Playoff Basketball > View Post
Do you have an excuse yet for the improbable scenario where the Clippers come back to advance? 

MuggsyBogues
NBA Betting > Those refs are on the spurs no question... > View Post
Spurs vs LeBron in the finals, yet again

MuggsyBogues
NBA Betting > What is the price on the Rockets vs Clippers series gonna be? > View Post

MuggsyBogues
NBA Betting > History Matters II > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by begginerboy:


Last year, Memphis was up in game 5 in the 4th at OKC, about to close it out, and they lose as Reggie Jackson hits some miracle shots. Then they come and lay an egg, lose, and lose Randolph for game 7. 

This year they are about to close out the Blazers on the road and allow them to come back and win. Now they are in the same spot as last year. I doubt they allow the same thing to take place against a team whose best player is already making plans for free agency.

Wait, what? Doesn't the Law of National Embarrassment clearly state that Portland is 90% to win the series after the unlikely comeback in GM4?

MuggsyBogues
NBA Betting > Will the Bucks be the 1st team in NBA history to win a series from 0-3 down? > View Post
You will be surprised at how much better Noah, and the Bulls, will play from now on... compared to the last couple games. I'm taking Chicago, Under, and MCW under points in game 6. 

I'm looking forward to conference semis and more of this:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XKwI6n1scZ0

MuggsyBogues
NBA Betting > Books still like the Cavs to win it all > View Post
Olynyk dislocated the wrong guy's arm. Should have gone for Kyrie.
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