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Quote Originally Posted by Bereal60: Ucf marshal and northeast all covered, there is no capping, anyone out there can do this, pick first half home dogs to cover 1st half and win 7 out ta 10.. this guy can't even start a new thread daily because he is a toaster, still has Syracuse football for first post, if he is so good why does he try so hard to pump himself up How is he trying hard to pump himself up? Don't see how you came to that conclusion? They have not all been 1st half home dogs...did you read the thread? I see your so good, you had to create a new alias just for his thread huh? Trying to remain anonymous? |
L-Jay | 1256 |
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L-Jay great jobs on the picks!
There must be something in your angle to cause you to always post your play only 15 min before game time....maybe waiting on line movement? Otherwise why say "I have a play at 1145" more than an hr in advance. If you know the play at that point why not post? Just an observation. With that said, keep up the great work! |
L-Jay | 1256 |
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Quote Originally Posted by TheGoldenBoy086: Do you have any reasons to back Ohio? UMASS is hands down the better team across the board. I see no value on ohio here getting one point. While lucky upsets happen, if this game is played 10 times UMASS is going to win 9. If this was the Ohio of two years ago I'd see a valid upset potential. This Ohio team hasn't shown me anything this year. While Umass has played a tough schedule, has the experience, talent and is all around the better team. I think UMASS rolls here by double digits and anyone taking ohio is getting hosed on this line. This line would be -8 to -10 if it were at Umass. I have to agree....anyone care to explain why you would back Ohio in this spot? Seems to me they should at least getting more points... |
PyRish7 | 13 |
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seems like a really fun competition! never been apart of something like this...what is it called? seems kinda like a streak survivor competition?
is this amongst friends, or do you find it online? also i assume your just picking winners SU and not ATS since Pitt was a winner for you over KC. |
FadeOnly | 83 |
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I believe one of the previous winners is from Canada, or at least lived there when they won the 100K. And they had no problem collecting, and you probably get way better tax breaks too! GL
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aidan_superstar | 28 |
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replied to
one of the strongest plays ytd (read the line...spot the trap system part II)
in College Basketball
recently found your threads...very curious to see your write up's for today.
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clutchshot | 21 |
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Blowout!!
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__RAMBO__ | 779 |
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cant believe i almost forgot about this song where Masta Ace is reading a page from his diary, in which his diary is pretty much talking shit to himself. So much deeper and so much more thought than anything Cham. has done.
Dear Diary |
Iw1nBets | 396 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Iw1nBets: "Im pulling out the driveway..had to take off my shades so my eyes can dilate.. she told that if im late that she gonna kill me i guess im gonna die late" I show up when i wanna gonna get in that tummy like i was an organ donor... not later gonna b sooner like i was from oklahoma..neva been a simpson so she cant play me like a homer wow! do you really think these are good lyrics. that is some simple minded shit. Cham. is a crossover wanna be mainstream H.I.P. P.O.P. artist geared towards the 12 to 20 year old demographic. I guarantee most people commenting on his clips are in that range and maybe you are too i dunno. Me, I grew out of that wanna be hardcore shit along time ago. IMO, the best rapper hands down is Masta Ace. Been doin it since early 90's and he's way more clever (not even close) and actually raps about stuff way more meaning full. Theres a story in every song. If you wanna hear grown man rap check out: Feel Good Track Metaphor Song Dopest diss song ever Uses every letter in the alphabet All time calssic Uplifting The list goes on and on, about 20 years worth of hits that dont get old. |
Iw1nBets | 396 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Aalon: Trent Dilfer made the pro-bowl. He can be considered above-average. Think long and hard about it this time. Perhaps you missed the point, but all of the decent to great Qbs I listed had decent to great days against the Colts except Warner. Brady smoked them. You'd like to see ratings below 80. Looking good for Brees. Did you think about it long and hard when you just compared Trent Dilfer's whole career to current Por Bowlers? lol I think you missed my point... Like you said, you like to see #'s below 80% yet you posted 67.1, 82.6, 110.7 and 87.8 .... Ok, Brady torched em w/ 110.7 but 82.6 and 87.8 is not exactly stellar and barely over your benchmark of 80% Plus a combined 8/7 TD/INT. Not looking good for Brees.... |
THEU2000 | 91 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Aalon: Colts have faced only three good QBs all year: Kurt Warner - 30/52 332 yards 1/2 67.1 rating Matt Schaub - 32/43 311 yards 2/2 82.6 rating Tom Brady - 29/42 375 yards 3/1 110.7 rating Matt Schaub - 31/42 284 yards 2/2 87.8 rating
Considering Mat Schaub is still only considered above average, the Colts shouldn't be laying -6 to a 15-3 team with a great QB in Brees. The Saints will not play it conservative against the Colts.
If those stats are correct, the only thing jumping out is the fact they all went a combine 8/7 TD to INT ratio... Also, just checked and Matt Schaub made the pro bowl this year, so unless making it to the pro bowl is just above average.... I think you just disproved both of your points there.... |
THEU2000 | 91 |
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Quote Originally Posted by outlaw96: Everyone should think that there bet is the winning wager, or that they are good at capping sports, if you are not sure of yourself or confident why would you risk your hard earned dollars MERRRY CHRISTMAS Well put! |
placeholder | 29 |
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Quote Originally Posted by alecboyh: If San Diego is that of a better team, why not a -7 line or even a -6 line (2 FG) ... why a -5 or -4 line??? , that's what is so strange here, but i think we all agree San Diego its the better team, but they arent elite anymore, remember they only beat Raiders by four as a 10 point favs ... I'd rather put my money on the homedog this time ... Your right San Diego only beat Raiders by 4, but did you forget KC lost to the Raiders at home just 5 weeks ago. Not to mention they just got their 1st win of the season against a terrible team. Yes they have covered the last few weeks but that trend will end at some point soon. Its SD or no play for me. |
nycfrotter | 38 |
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Quote Originally Posted by LarryWayne10: $850 on the C bet and win $500. It's just a fiIter I use, JM makes up filters all of the time(especially after he loses). Also you're telling me that you have never placed a small personal wager for fun? I highly doubt it. Good luck with your plays. another way to look at it with this system is you are betting that no team will get to 0-6 SU & 0-6 ATS but it doesnt become a play until (A) 0-4 SU & ATS, (B) 0-5 SU & ATS or (C) 0-6 SU & ATS. your version would be to wait until a team is 0-5 SU & ATS then bet large? Doesnt sound like a good filter, not to mention it probably wont happen very often. |
KongKiller | 273 |
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Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Here's the problem with a chase system like this. When you lose just 1 time it will take many, many wins to get back just 1 loss.
Depending on which bet you win, the A bet, B bet or C bet will determine how many bets you need to win to break even off just 1 loss.
For example, they way he advised you to bet, A $100, B $250, C $650.
1 loss and your down $100 dollars, 1 A bet win at -110 would net you $91 profit, therefore you'd need to win 11 A bets to score $1001 or a wopping $1 profit.
If you win 11 games and lose 1 that's a 91.7% wininng rate. If you lose 1 time you dont need to win many many times to get back just 1 loss, you need to win bet B which is simply a continuation of A. Did you read the system or any of the previous posts? |
KongKiller | 273 |
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Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: 1 loss and your down $1000 not $100 as posted above.
B bet would reguire a 88.9% win rate to score a $16 profit.
C bet would reguire a 83% win rate to score a $205 profit.
Now granted, you won't win all A bets at once, you'll win a combination of a few A bets, a few B bets and a few C bets, but the info shows your not going to score much profit off this chase system.
Your best bet would be to win more C bets because that bet produces a larger profit, but who wants to go to the last game of the chase and have a ton of money riding on that.
The other thing to remember is the info is based on betting the point spread at -110, what happens when you buy .5 and lay -120 or -130 to buy up to +3. What happens when you bet the ML and lay odds like with Carolina this weekend, now you lose even more when you lose or you win less which means your win percentage must be better than above to score a profit. I think you are confused. you are not profiting any more off of the C bet than you are the A bet. You are simply increasing your bet if you lose bet A and B to cover those losses as well as win the initial wager and hopefully you never get to that point. If you win bet A then end of story. |
KongKiller | 273 |
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no way!!!!!
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AtlFader | 705 |
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please no backdoor cover for Col. now...please 1 stop
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AtlFader | 705 |
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holy shit!!! i cant believe it. TD
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AtlFader | 705 |
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ahhhhhhhhhhhhh....god dammit that was a dick tease!!
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AtlFader | 705 |
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