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Quote Originally Posted by JimboBobbins: How many picks did you make last year to hit 75% and what were the average odds? The record is mute if you were playing big favorites. But if that was achieved against the spread without buying points at the standard -110 odds or better then job well done. There is no way you can maintain over 75% once you past 25 play total at -110 or better odds. Even if you achieve that in the first 25 plays, it will regress. Even the greats like bettingresource 10 unit picks and the famed covered poster Scalabrine are not maintaining over 75%. If you are maintaining over 70% with big sample size, then you can join the hilton contest and easily win the million dollar prize.
Not even a little bit true what this guy said madden.Buying points,betting only favorites or what not.If you found a winning trend stick with it.I had a 22-5 record like 3 years back and no one believe until I showed them my bovada betting slips.Good for you man,keep it up. |
Madden21 | 55 |
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My heart says Green Bay will cover the 8.But with an 80% chance of rain that scares me and makes me think
It's going to be a low scoring game.Then it would be hard to cover that 8...What do you think?
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bwrobes | 4 |
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wow,congrats on getting that line under 10...I cant find it anywhere...Maybe ill be on the halftime bet.
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strippersnbens | 5 |
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Love your GB halftime bet.They just dominate in the first half of every home game...I'm with ya on that bet.I also grabbed gb -8 full spread early in the week...
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PapaShango | 32 |
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I got Green Bay at -8 and they most certainly will cover...Gurley is decent but is not at good as Lynch or Charles...And Gb shut them both down.No reason to think Gurley will do any better.
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eastcoastkid | 4 |
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I don't mean to sound to confident as I know this is the nfl and anything can happen but I feel good about this one!!!
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cdubz34 | 10 |
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Yea I agree they will.Dont worry 2 weeks ago everyone was giving me garbage for taking Gb-7 against the Chiefs.People on here were saying that the Chiefs might win outright blah blah blah.If you bet against Green Bay at home your just stupid plain and simple...The bet is Gb at home or no bet,Gurley isn't enough to keep the score close.Everyone is looking at there wins against a sub par Seattle team so far and a Cardinal team who hadn't played any competition until last week.(not to mention it was a rivalry game)I see Gb winning 31/17
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cdubz34 | 10 |
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I got Green Bay at -8
I'm super excited I got them this low.Had to pay -110 but I'm more then ok with that!!!
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cdubz34 | 10 |
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Love the plays except the Stl pick...This is clearly a Green bay or no bet spot...Every week since week 2 people are against Gb at home n they keep losing there fools off.A-Rod will be lights out that we can be sure of.And Nick foles,not so sure about. Maybe they can keep it under double digits if Gurley has an awesome game...Bol though hope you win big this week!!!
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EastsideBangers | 2 |
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9 points is a lot,although I think they will cover my bet will be the halftime line at -5.5...Green Bay is just phenomenal in the first half at home!!!
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LETGOPACK1234 | 37 |
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Yea the site use to be really good.Now they don't have the lines come out till Thursday games.They also lock certain games if a lot of people are betting one game...I deposited money on the site 1 month ago with the intention of sports betting but have yet to make a bet because they post there lines so late.
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jredmond | 2 |
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My guess is the Green Bay line is going to drop by a half a point or even one by the middle of the week.Its at 10 right not so it's definitely not going to go up.Ill wait until Thursday or Friday and hopefully the line will be down to 9 or 8.5.
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broller | 7 |
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The line on 5dimes has dropped from 5.5 this morning all the way down to 4 as of right now...Eveeyone must be pounding the Texans???
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EuroPro | 3 |
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The question I keep asking myself is if over 70% of the public is on the cards why has the line dropped by half a point or stayed the same??? Very fishy to me,maybe ill make a halftime bet instead.
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budwiser | 24 |
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Quote Originally Posted by totallypsycho: rams if they couldn't even score a td against a big-ben less steelers they aren't keeping this one close unless palmer throws 4 picks. that offense is putrid and good luck trusting foles not to throw picks (possibly pick sixes) against the no fly zone I agree with you 100%...But everyone knows this and everyone is taking Arizona,and yet the line remains at -7???
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DegenCurtis21 | 20 |
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I think everyone is going with the cards...Over 70% of the public is on them and the line still stays the same?Im leaning a halftime bet instead of the full spread for sure.Who knows maybe I'm
Overthinking this one and it's just a gift???
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MilsBest | 5 |
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I don't know many people taking Stl and the 7 points this week so why is the line holding steady at -7.Arizona has one of the best D's in the league and there O is on fire as well.On the other side Stl is struggling on Offense and there D is the only thing that is keeping them in games so far...So what am I missing here,is this a trap game?
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MilsBest | 5 |
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Any idea why this line is-7 only???It seems to good to be true so I'll just take the -3.5 halftime bet...
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LVTruck | 17 |
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Quote Originally Posted by BetFriends: THANK YOU Every time the books post a line that's too low, like they did tonight, the board is flooded with these idiotic 'sucker bet' and 'sharp/public' threads. According to the majority of posters here, being 'sharp' means taking the + side of a game when the stronger team is favored and a few people on Covers have posted that they like them. The said thing is, these same idiots won't have learned anything tonight. Instead of GENUINELY HANDICAPPING a game, they'll be back with the same bullsht next week. And those of us who simply are taking the better team and taking advantage of the bookmakers' mistake will have to hear it all again next week, too. The true irony is that if such a thing as the 'public' exists, it is made up entirely of these pseudo-sharp morons on here Couldn't have said it any better myself!!!
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LETGOPACK1234 | 36 |
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Quote Originally Posted by NinjaNight: Lmao OP got owned hard. Wonder if he will disappear forever now I doubt he's gone forever...That is unless he bet the farm on this game.Which by the way he was talking I wouldn't be surprised...
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Tha_Underdogg | 35 |
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