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So I want to create an excel formula for what I would have to bet to win that amount. For example, If I want to win $25.00. I want to put in what the line is and have it spit out what I would have to bet. Anyone have any idea how to do that?
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LuckysDad713 | 4 |
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So May I ask a question as I just found this. If I want to do units of 10? All I have to do for example is just add a zero to what your saying and follow it everyday? So for like Columbus go 28.80?
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ProfitMachine | 174 |
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I am just wondering, do you do one post for your NFL Picks? Looking forward to NFL Season!
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AFNfootballnerd | 278 |
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Dodgers as of now are falling in line with the RLM trend, however, I would wait before jumping on this closer to game time as I can see it swinging back towards Arizona.
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AFNfootballnerd | 702 |
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Just for the record, if you notice the picks I've pointed out when AFN wasn't around because of work have all won.
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AFNfootballnerd | 702 |
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I'm his follower and guess what, I went with the Cards yesterday...
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AFNfootballnerd | 702 |
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Quote Originally Posted by dbasports: definiteky will, but the trend is your friend so ride it while it's hot.
Personally I feel like all the reverse line movements will start losing eventually and we'll be back to square one, I like the sqdl approach a lot more then reverse line I don't trust it lol maybe on key games but not every game |
AFNfootballnerd | 702 |
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Last minute movement towards Atlanta!
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AFNfootballnerd | 702 |
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How is he their closer?
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tribulations | 2 |
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I went 2-1 tonight with RLM. Won Tampa and Giants, lost Toronto. Toronto had every opportunity to win that game and I can't get too upset when something like that happens. They stranded base runner after base runner and I don't feel like I made the wrong choice with Toronto, opportunity was there, just didn't happen.
I was watching that Giant line since last night, I had a feeling about it and I was right. I jumped on it at the last minute and it worked out. I wish I would have pounded Tampa harder, man, it was major movement from when it opened until it closed. I work nights so the rest of the week will suck, as I'll only get to get in the 7pm games, unless I catch a break at the right time.
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AFNfootballnerd | 702 |
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Tampa line just moved more in their favor, let's do it
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AFNfootballnerd | 702 |
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Quote Originally Posted by The_Extremist: probably just waiting till gets a little closer to game time keeping an eye on the line
what do you think about the Rays? line opened +115 and now is -108 |
AFNfootballnerd | 702 |
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Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd: my biggest problem is I work in a casino and start 7pm EST so I miss a lot. Heres another nugget I noticed after the allstar break.....If you follow the RLM on a game and its steady throughout the whole day Example...... Cardinals open -120 Rays +120 The line reverse moves to Cardinals +120 Rays -120 throughout the whole day as stays steady the whole way then 15 minutes before the game starts the line moves back to Cardinals -120 or above you better take the cards ive never seen that movement I just explained lose all season after the allstar break. Heres the dam problem when your at work you cant catch this line movement. Be nice to sit at a casino all day while retired Thanks for that tip, will keep an eye out for it. Here's my question, when do you know to put in the bet for the line movement? You can't anticipate that last minute change?
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AFNfootballnerd | 702 |
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Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd: thanks for the insight. Big line movement in Rays/Royals already. Find this fascinating, thanks for sharing.
RLM has been hitting at a decent rate enough to make a profit this season. When I noticed this trend after the all star break I decided to jump on it quick! What I ultimately wanted to do is combine the program I use to decide what RLM games I should play. Reason being is obviously not every RLM game will hit its a matter of picking the right RLM games. In the process I wanted to utilize the program for non RLM games as well....but it become obvious that picking non RLM games are at best hitting 50% basically a coin flip. Why wake up at 3am? reason being I start 5am for work so I gotta do all this research before work......compare the starting pitchers quality start against lineup go down the checklist and see if theres a play. Notice a huge difference in Quality start in pitchers for example Matz with an era of 6.00 against Rodon of era of 3.00 and Matz pitches a shutout game. Plus the team I backed the program had all 8 of the checklist that determines what team to back gets shutout. Why even do all that research when you can simply let the books tell you who to take by simply checking your phone and monitoring line movement? Team opened up as a favorite then all the sudden they close as a dog? Hmmmm I wonder whats going on here? MLB throw out all the stats programs pitching matchups and pick your spots with RLM games and pick your spots with Dogs and you will profit at the end of the season |
AFNfootballnerd | 702 |
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Quote Originally Posted by YuBuuBuu: Quote Originally Posted by LuckysDad713: That is correct. Having said that, a lot ot games will feature Reverse Line Movement so you have to be selective. So while yes the phillies look like a good play due to the RLM i personally will stay away because 1.) its the phillies 2.) pivetta is bad 3.) the cubs are a much better team as of late. So in being selective i wouldnt play that particular one. Personally i like the Rays as wellSince I'm new to this, can you please explain it for me? I know I probably sound dumb, but I'd rather ask and learn. So betting reverse line movement, you mean take the team that was the dog as it gets closer to the line?So for example, looks like The Cubs opened at -200 and now are a -170? So that would be reverse movement, so take the Phillies today?I just want to make sure I get it, thanks. Even worked for the Phillies! |
AFNfootballnerd | 702 |
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Quote Originally Posted by YuBuuBuu: I was just checking out the Rays line, and although there was reverse movement, it then appeared to move back in the other direction? Am I correct? And what do we take from that?
That is correct. Having said that, a lot ot games will feature Reverse Line Movement so you have to be selective. So while yes the phillies look like a good play due to the RLM i personally will stay away because 1.) its the phillies 2.) pivetta is bad 3.) the cubs are a much better team as of late. So in being selective i wouldnt play that particular one. Personally i like the Rays as well |
AFNfootballnerd | 702 |
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Quote Originally Posted by YuBuuBuu: Thanks sir! Much appreciated.
That is correct. Having said that, a lot ot games will feature Reverse Line Movement so you have to be selective. So while yes the phillies look like a good play due to the RLM i personally will stay away because 1.) its the phillies 2.) pivetta is bad 3.) the cubs are a much better team as of late. So in being selective i wouldnt play that particular one. Personally i like the Rays as well |
AFNfootballnerd | 702 |
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Since I'm new to this, can you please explain it for me? I know I probably sound dumb, but I'd rather ask and learn. So betting reverse line movement, you mean take the team that was the dog as it gets closer to the line?
So for example, looks like The Cubs opened at -200 and now are a -170? So that would be reverse movement, so take the Phillies today? I just want to make sure I get it, thanks.
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AFNfootballnerd | 702 |
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Quote Originally Posted by The_Extremist: So the ones with the fire are the ones to play on Saturday? So if it doesn't hit day 1, then do you do what your loss plus what you want to win on day 2 and so on?
thanks man.. good luck.. so clear 2 today.. 3 going into tomorrow DIAMONDBACKS 300 TO WIN 250 BLUE JAYS 300 TO WIN 250 MARLINS 240 TO WIN 200 NATIONALS 200 TO WIN 220 PIRATES 260 TO WIN 200 |
The_Extremist | 91 |
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Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd: I did a roundy with these 5, made a few bucks! Thanks
Nationals Royals Whitesox Reds Phillies Program 45-27 ($20,050) Made profit thanks to the dogs. Liking the new structure and rules for the program now.... because those big juice lines took a hit to my bankroll. |
AFNfootballnerd | 702 |
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