Last2thirst

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Last2thirst
College Football > Playoff Picture (after Week 8) > View Post
Candidates for the Championship playoffs to my estimation:
TIER #1

1. ALABAMA 2. GEORGIA

TIER #2

PENN STATE TCU CLEMSON NOTRE DAME

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------TIER #3         (playoff candidates...have to win out)

AUBURN     OHIO STATE WISCONSIN MIAMI


TIER #4         (must win some impressive games to climb) OKLAHOMA   OKLAHOMA ST.      WASHINGTON ST.

WASHINGTON MICHIGAN ST. VIRGINIA TECH

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------TIER #5 (no particular order/ can’t playoff but Top 20)

CENTRAL FLORIDA STANFORD   MICHIGAN   GEORGIA TECH SOUTH FLORIDA LSU MISSISSIPPI ST. NC STATE ARIZONA IOWA ST.


Last2thirst
College Football > On to Week 8: Early Lines + Value > View Post
Correction:

12-7-1 Week 8...............assuming the Cougars hang on -10.5


Season = 58.2 % W/L  ( 88 - 63 - 7  +40 Units)  

Last2thirst
College Football > On to Week 8: Early Lines + Value > View Post
RESULTS TODAY:
Iowa +1                  (2U)            -2U
Rutgers +8              (H)            +half
Syracuse +14.5      (H)            +half
UCF  -7                   (4U)         +4U 
Mizzou -14              (1U)         +1U
Lou Tech -3             (1U)         +1U
Ducks   +6.5            (1U)        -1U
Zona     -1                (1U)         
Alabama -34            (H)        + half
Okie St.  -7              (2U)       -2U
Notre Dame -4         (2U)      +2U
Wash St.  -10.5        (1U)      
Texas Tech -5.5      (2 U)      -2U
 Duke -8                  (2U)       -2U
Oklahoma -12.5       (1 U)       -1U
Marshall -2.5           (1U)     +1U
Notre Dame -3.5 (2 more Units)  +2U
Penn St.      -9.5      (2U)      +2U

Iowa +3              (2 more Units)  -2U

Syracuse +17.5    (1U)              +1U 

GTech   -4            (2U)              +2U

LSU      -7             (2U)              +2U

Not bad afterall....2 pending...... 12-6 today (+7.5 Units) 


Last2thirst
College Football > On to Week 8: Early Lines + Value > View Post

I am not sure why it did not post the rest.....will update later....its not good either way


Last2thirst
College Football > On to Week 8: Early Lines + Value > View Post

Results of Early Week and Sat Games at Noon:


Iowa +1                  (2U)        an_burningbagan_burningbag


Marshall -2.5           (1U)        moneybag


Rutgers +8              (H)          peace_5







Last2thirst
College Football > On to Week 8: Early Lines + Value > View Post

Late Week value:


Iowa +3  (2 more Units)


Syracuse +17.5 (1U)


GTech   -4  (2U)


LSU      -7  (2U)


 


BOL TODAY EVERYONE! an_cheers


Last2thirst
College Football > On to Week 8: Early Lines + Value > View Post
Adding;

Notre Dame -3.5 (2 more Units)
Penn St.      -9.5 (2 more Units)...waiting for this price and got it!

Last2thirst
College Football > On to Week 8: Early Lines + Value > View Post
Adding:
Oklahoma -12.5  (1 U)...Ertz  out and Sooners  still in the mix
Marshall -2.5  (1U)....Stillwell out .....time of the year when they shine




Last2thirst
College Football > Week 8 Money > View Post
Wahoo.....GL this week. I'm looking forward to your posted plays....I am still watching and learning and cutting out the noise.

Is Khalil Tate going to keep it rolling and Zona going as well. Bettors are onto Zona.....line is climbing to -3 ...Was that you banging one hard and Vegas taking notice ?

Last2thirst
College Football > Tico Joe's Final Post > View Post
If I go up to the search icon and type in my name, I can still find past posts? Can I assume you tried this Tico?

Last2thirst
College Football > Tico Joe's Final Post > View Post
Tico.....sorry you are pizzed. You are a helluva capper and a good dude. All the best .....wish you would stay and write some new history.


Last2thirst
College Football > On to Week 8: Early Lines + Value > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by WahooS:
you're on one of them, I'm not ready to give it out though, you have one of my large ones as a matter of fact , I haven't put it in quite yet but just be on the lookout for some heavy line movement next two days, my friends will throttle that line and it will certainly move, you got in early, just the right time 

#!  Pass offense going up against the #106th pass dee.....can Texas keep pace??

Not sure how Navy will keep pace with a team that destroyed Cinci on the road and Navy was all out to keep Cinci at bay. Also, UCF can stop the run....can see at least a few punts but I am not so sure UCF can be stopped offensively

Last2thirst
College Football > On to Week 8: Early Lines + Value > View Post
Adding:   Duke -8   (2U)

Last2thirst
College Football > On to Week 8: Early Lines + Value > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by WahooS:
you're on one of them, I'm not ready to give it out though, you have one of my large ones as a matter of fact , I haven't put it in quite yet but just be on the lookout for some heavy line movement next two days, my friends will throttle that line and it will certainly move, you got in early, just the right time 

Hope so....the Auburn game was a downer.....funny ebb and flow in that one so I am hoping to do well on my sleepers. If you notice, I am mostly pressing on middling games that are under the radar.

I am curious about the UCF line.....trying to not overthink this just like I snagged Zona for 4U last week and the Arizona Cardinals ML for 4 U today. I don't dare post my plays on the NFL tread.....too many sharks in the water.

Last2thirst
College Football > On to Week 8: Early Lines + Value > View Post
Adding:  Texas Tech -5.5 (2 U) 

Last2thirst
College Football > On to Week 8: Early Lines + Value > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by WahooS:
keep it going brotha 

Thanks. Whats your premier  pick this week? Still mulling? Or do you see a Vegas error? Thats all I am doing here in my mind. Some nice analysis last week Wahoo. I look forward to your posts.

Last2thirst
College Football > On to Week 8: Early Lines + Value > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by mrdish33:
bol 

Thx...U2  


Last2thirst
College Football > On to Week 8: Early Lines + Value > View Post
12-7  (+8.5  Units last week)

Iowa +1                  (2U)
Rutgers +8              (H)
Syracuse +14.5      (H)
UCF  -7                   (4U)
Mizzou -14              (1U)
Lou Tech -3             (1U)
Ducks   +6.5            (1U)
Zona     -1                (1U)
Alabama -34            (H)
Okie St.  -7              (2U)
Notre Dame -4         (2U)
Wash St.  -10.5        (1U)

Last2thirst
College Football > Week 7 Plays (Early Lines and Value) > View Post
Final Tally after Week 7:


Week= 12 - 7 (+8.5 Units)

Season Tally= 76 - 56  (+34.5 Units)...corrected 

Looking forward to the lines this week.....WEEK 8 promises to be an interesting Lines week with everything thrown up in the air with many key losses in the Top 20 !

Last2thirst
College Football > Week 7 Plays (Early Lines and Value) > View Post

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TIER #5 (no particular order/ can’t playoff but Top 20)

STANFORD   VIRGINIA TECH MICHIGAN TEXAS TECH   GEORGIA TECH` LSU UTAH SOUTH FLORIDA

WEST VIRGINIA SOUTH CAROLINA TEXAS AM

 


Last2thirst
College Football > Week 7 Plays (Early Lines and Value) > View Post
After WEEK 7----Top Teams/Tiers/ Playoff Picture

TIER #1

1. ALABAMA (will be #1 even if they lose)

2. GEORGIA ( spread would be +6 to +8 if on neutral field vs Bama)

TIER #2

PENN STATE (2 tough road games coming)

OHIO STATE

TCU


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TIER #3         (playoff candidates...have to win out)

OKLAHOMA ST.     WISCONSIN  NOTRE DAME OKLAHOMA


TIER #4         (must win some impressive games to climb)

USC   AUBURN      WASHINGTON MIAMI

MICHIGAN ST. NC ST. UCF

(notice these teams have the better QBs than the Tier above)


Last2thirst
College Football > Week 7 Plays (Early Lines and Value) > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by skoda:
Bama
Psu
Ok St.
Wisconsin

Of course a loss by either is possible but not this week for PSU who remembers  2016 @ Michigan

Is that your top 4? Seems somewhat legit......just about to put out my revised Playoff Tiers after today.

Last2thirst
College Football > Week 7 Money > View Post
Wahoo....only absorbed a 1 UNIT punch from Auburn. They shoulda won but I decided earlier in the season, I am going to be very selective about taking teams -9.5 or less on the road to press on them.....would rather do it with a home team....which is why I pressed on Zona because a run game does not all of a sudden become chit...

What happened in the Auburn game? Were they confused on offense....shoulda been running more and throwing less or vica versa?

I put my money on Khalil Tate and NIck Wilson at home vs a brutal run defense in the Bruins....and it cashed. I had already committed to 4 UNITS at -1 and should played some ML but hey.....its about maintaining the +Units at this point.

Thanks for your support and advice.

Last2thirst
College Football > Week 7 Plays (Early Lines and Value) > View Post
Mid-day and night plays:
Arizona -1 ( 4 Units )

Sparty -3 (2 Units)

Texas Am +3.5 (2 Units)

1 UNIT:

USF  -24.5

Tex AM +3

Georgia -28

Utah     +13

SD St.  -5.5

Ariz St. +18

Hawaii  -17



WEEK 7: 12-6....one pending (+9.5 Units on the week)


SEASON:     76 - 55 - 6  (37.5 Units )  


Last2thirst
College Football > Week 7 Plays (Early Lines and Value) > View Post
So far:
Troy -16.5 (2 Units)... 
Auburn -6.5 (1 Unit)  
GTech +6.5 (1 Unit)  
2 UNITS:
WVU -3            ...Great 2nd half!!
1 UNIT:
Texas +7.5      
Air Force -7.5  
1/2 UNIT:
Indiana +5.5     
GameCocks +2.5 
Navy +4               

TODAY: 5-4 (-0.5 Units)....10 plays pending

    

Last2thirst
College Football > Week 7 Plays (Early Lines and Value) > View Post
Adding Sat afternoon:

1 UNIT:
Tex AM +3
Georgia -28
Utah     +13
SD St.  -5.5
Ariz St. +18
Hawaii  -17




Last2thirst
College Football > Week 7 Plays (Early Lines and Value) > View Post
So far:
Troy -16.5 (2 Units)... 
Arizona -1 ( 4 Units )
Sparty -3 (2 Units)
Texas Am +3.5 (2 Units)
USF  -24.5 (1 Unit)
Auburn -6.5 (1 Unit) 
GTech +6.5 (1 Unit)  
2 UNITS:
WVU -3            ...Great 2nd half!!
1 UNIT:
Texas +7.5
Air Force -7.5  
1/2 UNIT:
Indiana +5.5     
GameCocks +2.5 
Navy +4
UCF -34
Arky +32.5        

Last2thirst
College Football > Clemson screwing Around with Their Motivation > View Post
Against every inferior team, they have struggled mightily at times culminating in this loss. I have seen this with Dabo's teams since he has been at Clemson. The powers that be will be forgiving because that Auburn win was huge!  I still think this makes Georgia an automatic now and opens the door to the Buckeyes....as much as I hate to say it. But, if the Buckeyes end up in the playoff....it will be a blowout for either Clemson or Bama against them. 

Clemson losing opens the door wide open for Washington so I expect them to be in the mix IF they don't lose along with Georgia.

This loss makes things a whole lot interesting.

Cuse has a habit of beating someone big almost every year....just didn't think it would be the Tigers

Last2thirst
College Football > Saturday // pod > View Post
Against a motivated defense.....NAH! Iowa St. was motivated and how do you think TEXAS is going to be in a major rivalry with blood on the floor? Oklahoma has dysfunction....and has to worry. The play is Texas or NO PLAY. 



Last2thirst
College Football > Week 7 Money > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by Upside:
You might be the only guy that might be able to give me a decent answer on this bro ?


I am serious in asking ...but it is a funky wager I made earlier in the year .


Can UCF play for the Championship if they win all their games ?


My wagers


Bet $ 1.00
to win $ 500.00


Result: Pending









College Football Championship Game - Odds To Win









Central Florida





01/08/18 19:00 CST







+50000








Bet $ 1.00
to win $ 2,000.00


Result: Pending









College Football Championship Game - Odds To Win









Central Florida





01/08/18 19:00 CST







+200000







Thanks Wahoo for any help , if possible ?


I'm finishing all my threads with ....


Remember Vegas ....be cool to one another ....

Upside, I am mightily impressed you are keepin on with the Peace and good will. Humanity needs strength from good deeds, since there is way too much false strength in this world. You are a good dude. People in country music are pure salt of the earth and so are you. Cheers
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