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Anytime you're fading a huge public play like the Cavs...better to wait to last minute for best line available. If you like it at 2, you should add @ 3...
I tend to agree with Raptors play tonight.
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toktok | 7 |
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Kings are horrible on the road. This trip is a shitty 5/7 ending up against a Bucs team who just righted the ship and play pretty well at home overall.
Also wondering where you got 4.5 as it wasn't available on any sportsbook today. Strong lean the other way on this one...just not getting enough wood to consider Sac on the road. some of the lines you're positing seem a bit off on the whole. What book are you using?
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toktok | 7 |
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The games are completely different animals.
And I'll only waste one sentence on the people here claiming online is rigged. It's not. The end. Live poker invites both larger opportunities for long term variance as well as larger opportunities to lower variance in different aspects of play. If anyone uses HUD here, you all understand just how valuable a tool it is, and what it can help you to achieve online. Online there is always a much larger sample of hands played with your opponent. Whether you're playing a single MTT with him at a table for 2 hours or if you've logged 50,000 hands with him over the course of a year. There is a wealth of information just waiting to be tabulated. You can pick up on opening %s, 3bet %s, 3bet/fold tendencies preflop. Defend %s and so much more. When you have this information available at your fingertips it's a lot easier to decide what to do with these marginal spots you find yourself just about every single MTT. So for online poker, you're able to play more hands with players...and play more MTTs per session obviously...two terrific ways to limit luck's influence on your ROI. Live is a LOT less hands obviously. A LOT less MTTs you're capable of playing per year. So players without a strong plan in place can go broke MUCH easier live then online. Even the truly gifted players who enjoy ridiculous lifetime ROIs. The best player in the world can go on months-year stretches of downswings simply with a little run bad. These swings are frustrating to the best of them and crippling to the the rest. However, within live poker...there is a terrific opportunity for the strong players to read their opponents and table play well enough to garner a competitive edge. Due to the lack of hands, a little well placed aggression coupled with strong observational skills and a keen memory can really separate the men from the boys at the table. You can find yourself playing a live MTT and not having placed every last chip of yours at risk once until the FT. Chipping up is MUCH easier to accomplish live then online now. Back in 03-06' a lot of innovative players decided to change the game online and really showed everyone how to pick spots to chip up online...but as a result, those spots are seemingly rarer and rarer these days. There's just too much information out there and too much high-level play. Online poker basically evolves itself every six months or so now...want proof? Go back and try to remember when everyone was opening 3x for all their opens...and how often simple 3bets got through with zero play back online. How infrequently a 4bet pre didn't take down the pot right there. These days you're seeing 5 and 6 bets pre from aggro players that are calculated against other player's tendencies and aggression. Go google Pokerstars WSOOP FT feeds over the years and watch the play deltas. Both games are terrific and pretty in their own ways. Both games can be profitable. It's up to you to decide. BOL
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tomhawkmissile | 36 |
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obviously it looks like colluding...
obviously it's a horrible fold barring extenuating circumstances... obviously his quote in the box pretty much confirmed that... That being said, there is no such thing as 100% of the time. -A player could get sheepish and incorrectly folds to save face from a horrible starting hand that he opened with. (In this case, no punishment or comments are needed...he was playing straight up and his mistake is fair game) -A highly aggressive chip leader's play that's incorrectly valued the opportunity to push players around due to ICM implications could've decided he'll keep the guy around. That the 12-33- potentially 50% (22) chance he had of winning a pot of X was worth less then the free chips (X+y) he would accumulate by continuing to open and stealing blinds and antes. (In this case, no punishment or comments are needed...he was playing straight up and his mistake is fair game) He could've mis-clicked and is trying to save face by saying he didn't want the guy to advance...which sounds stupid of course but some guys are both liars and idiots. (In which case, no punishment or comments are needed...he was playing straight up and his mistake is fair game) But when you're accusing someone of colluding online. You make your case and the server starts evaluating his play and most likely continues to let him play until they notice an emerging pattern. Generally nobody will ever get banned for a first offense like this. Even in more egregious situations like Satty bubbles. I promise you that he wouldn't get kicked out of the Kennel Club or Hard Rock or Isle or any other poker room in Florida. Nor any north-east poker room. They all have the same policies in this situation and a first offense would never mean a ban or surrendering your chips in a tournament. BOL guys
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CRob44 | 14 |
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