GWarner27

Member Since:August 2007
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GWarner27
MLB Betting > GWarner 6/18 > View Post
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Minnesota ML (+180) @ Boston
-Gibson is scoreless in his last two starts, has been awful on the road but if his sinker sinks he could continue this. Lackey has been Boston's most consistent starter this year according to C David Ross, however his lineup is missing last year's magic and I don't think they can support such a number. Bullpen advantage to Boston, but not as big as you'd think. Series already in hand for BOS so it's possible they try to rest some guys as they prepare for a war in Oakland.

Should be all for today, will come back with SF reasoning shortly...

GWarner27
MLB Betting > GWarner 6/18 > View Post
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Texas-Oakland UNDER 7.5 (-110)
-Both sinkerballers and they often do well in the day. Not concerned with the last two high-scoring affairs and I played this last night speculating a price drop with Adrian Beltre sitting. Not sure it'll happen, but it'd be awfully nice.

GWarner27
MLB Betting > GWarner 6/18 > View Post
-0.4u

69-77-4 (47.3%) YTD

Yesterday: 1-2 -0.8u

High-water mark: +4.935u (6/5)
Low-water mark: -14.39 (5/18)

Locked in from the open:
San Francisco ML (+119) @ Chicago AL

GWarner27
MLB Betting > GWarner 6/17 > View Post
Well it did not end tonight, couldn't watch however Scherzer must not have had it...

OAK reasoning:
-Milone is at his best where his flyball tendencies can work, which Oakland is that place. Darvish has struggled in his career vs OAK, at least compared to other teams, and his squad has a terrible lineup so decimated by injury that they signed Carlos Pena today. I will back Oakland at this price everytime with any starter based on the awesome bullpen that makes me a huge favorite if we go to extra innings.

GWarner27
MLB Betting > GWarner 6/17 > View Post
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Kansas City-Detroit UNDER 8 (-115)
-Great under ump behind the plate in Tom Hallion, two SPs who can get people out and a hot streak with questionable bats that could end very soon.

GWarner27
MLB Betting > GWarner 6/17 > View Post
+0.4u

68-75-4 (47.6%) YTD

Yesterday: 0-1 -0.917u

High-water mark: +4.935u (6/5)
Low-water mark: -14.39 (5/18)

Locked in from the open:
Toronto ML (+173) @ New York
Oakland ML (+110) vs. Texas

GWarner27
MLB Betting > GWarner 6/16 > View Post
Jose-- hope things are good

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Baltimore ML (+118) @ Tampa Bay

GWarner27
MLB Betting > GWarner 6/16 > View Post
+1.3u

68-74-4 (47.9%) YTD

Haven't been posting, but I was hoping this would jumpstart my season that has ranged from as low as -14u to as high as +4.9

Monday leans:
BAL +113
Sea +112/u7
Tex +150
NYM +139/u8
MIA u7

On the radar:
Min o9

GWarner27
College Basketball > GWarner Final Weekend > View Post
63-65-2 (49.2%) YTD, add Kentucky -2: Been riding both teams who are still alive, think UK is better and their size will mean a ton tonight

GWarner27
College Basketball > GWarner Final Weekend > View Post
62-65-1 (48.8%) YTD, UConn +7 pending. Add Kentucky -1: Line will swell from chasers, size on perimeter will make Kaminsky a one-man team. Lost the last 2 against WIS, still 4-3 against them this season. Small guards will struggle shooting over 6-6, 6-6, 6-7 so it's all Kaminsky.

GWarner27
College Basketball > GWarner Final Weekend > View Post
Arch-- good health

King Louis-- long time no see, thanks for stopping in

62-65-1 (48.8%) YTD, add Connecticut +7: Wilbekin will have his hands full with Shabazz, think it'll be close late and UF doesn't make FTs

GWarner27
College Basketball > GWarner Final Weekend > View Post
SU winners: 24
OT record: 7-6-1
Record on the open: 13-14

Just an awful year, trying to make the best of the ending. Arizona couldn't hold on to a big 1H lead and lost in OT while UConn also led the entire 1H before surrendering it late only to win their game convincingly. Ho-hum, 3-3 second weekend after a 2-4-1 first only continues the claims that I've been average this year...

NCAA: 5-7-1
NIT: 0-1

Leans:
UConn +7
UK pk

GWarner27
College Basketball > GWarner Final Weekend > View Post
-8.45

Dogs 36-41 -8.13
Faves 23-23-1 -2.22
Over 0-0 +0.00
Under 1-0 +1.00
1st Half 0-1 -1.10
Halftimes 2-0 +2.00
Team Totals 0-0 +0.00
Buybacks: 0 +0.00

Covers posted records:
2006-07: 68-70 (49.3%) -1.979
2007-08: 153-142-4 (51.9%) -4.141
2008-09: 144-142-2 (50.3%) -7.657
2009-10: 141-136-4 (50.9%) +1.294
2010-11: 114-79-4 (59.1%) +31.085
2011-12: 91-61-3 (59.9%) +23.88
2012-13: 86-69-2 (55.5%) +11.185

Futures:
2010-11: 2-6-1 -1.08
2011-12: 2-2 +0.529
2012-13: 0-2-1 -0.636
2013-14: 1-1 +0.45
New Mexico to win Mountain West Tournament (+225)
Mountain West OVER 2.5 wins (+114)

November 8-13 -5.96
December 9-10 -1.93
January 13-12 -0.10
February 14-13 -0.04
March 18-17-1 -0.42
April 0-0 +0.00

GWarner27
College Basketball > GWarner Elite 8 > View Post
61-65-1 (48.4%) YTD, add UConn +5: No clue how they stop Adreian Payne, but Storrs south and Shabazz could win this one so I will take the 5

GWarner27
College Basketball > GWarner Elite 8 > View Post
SU winners: 23
OT record: 7-5-1
Record on the open: 13-14

Two SU winners in uconn and Kentucky, Baylor was terrible and Ucla allegedly couldn't make an open shot. From what I saw, the 2-3 zone got UF off to a great start when they made five in a row. That's the gamble you take, but they seemed like they were in it.

NCAA: 4-6-1
NIT: 0-1

Locked in:
Arizona -3 (-110) vs. Wisconsin
-Gonna be a challenge to guard those shooters, but UA is the best team in the land and I think they win the championship. Defense is what they do, they have two lockdown defenders on the perimeter and Sean Miller will pay special attention to Kaminsky. Should be a flock of Arizona fans in Anaheim to the tune of 80%, hope it doesn't come down to FT.

GWarner27
College Basketball > GWarner Elite 8 > View Post
-8.35

Dogs 35-41 -9.13
Faves 23-22-1 -1.12
Over 0-0 +0.00
Under 1-0 +1.00
1st Half 0-1 -1.10
Halftimes 2-0 +2.00
Team Totals 0-0 +0.00
Buybacks: 0 +0.00

Covers posted records:
2006-07: 68-70 (49.3%) -1.979
2007-08: 153-142-4 (51.9%) -4.141
2008-09: 144-142-2 (50.3%) -7.657
2009-10: 141-136-4 (50.9%) +1.294
2010-11: 114-79-4 (59.1%) +31.085
2011-12: 91-61-3 (59.9%) +23.88
2012-13: 86-69-2 (55.5%) +11.185

Futures:
2010-11: 2-6-1 -1.08
2011-12: 2-2 +0.529
2012-13: 0-2-1 -0.636
2013-14: 1-1 +0.45
New Mexico to win Mountain West Tournament (+225)
Mountain West OVER 2.5 wins (+114)

November 8-13 -5.96
December 9-10 -1.93
January 13-12 -0.10
February 14-13 -0.04
March 17-16-1 -0.32
April 0-0 +0.00

GWarner27
College Basketball > GWarner 3/25 (59-62-1 YTD) > View Post
Aay-- thanks, awful year

59-64-1 (47.6%) YTD, UK +4.5 pending. Add Connecticut +1: MSG will be the XL Center tonight, they even added trains into NYC. C'mon Shabazz

GWarner27
College Basketball > GWarner 3/25 (59-62-1 YTD) > View Post
59-62-1 (48.8%) YTD, UK +4.5 pending. Add Ucla +5, Baylor +3.5: getting on a plane to Miami so I grabbed to avoid missing movement w/o Wifi

GWarner27
College Basketball > GWarner 3/25 (59-62-1 YTD) > View Post
Dugie-- I made it 5.5 with Tennessee circled and was shocked to see it so low. Seems like the books were protecting themselves from UT money, but I think they went too far. Won't bet Michigan, but I think it's gonna be really tough for the Vols to keep up on the scoreboard...

I'm going to be in Miami likely missing one of the better Sweet 16's in recent history (based on how close I see each game being), but I figured to prepare myself I could make all the possible numbers for Saturday/Sunday ahead of time. This is probably a mixture of my numbers and what I'd expect from the books:
UL -3.5 MICH
UL -6.5 TENN
UK -1 MICH
UK -3 TENN

Sparty 3.5 UConn
Sparty 4.5 ISU
UVA 2.5 UConn
UVA 3 ISU

ARI 6 WIS
ARI 5.5 BAY
BAY 1 SDSU
WIS 1 SDSU

UF 5.5 STAN
UF 8.5 DAY
Ucla 4.5 STAN
Ucla 5.5 DAY

GWarner27
College Basketball > GWarner 3/25 (59-62-1 YTD) > View Post
Updated leans:
Ucla +4.5
BAY +3.5
UConn +2 (clear mistype w/3.5 above)

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Kentucky +4.5 (-108) vs. Louisville
-Been riding UK since they smacked me and my LSU +4.5 wager around in Catlanta. Looks like I was too high on LSU losing on them again in the NIT when they lost @SMU, but I thank them for getting me back on the horse as the Cats won for me in the finals against Florida and beat Wichita State for me on Sunday. Calipari's boys weren't great and did not live up to the preseason billing, but that happens with freshmen. I think they are much more worried about the team now and are playing really well. They are bigger than UL at every position on the floor and much deeper plus they hold the victory over Louisville in Lexington this season. Pitino is an amazing coach and the Cards did get me in their last game when I took the +10 on SLU, but I think there's plenty of room for a loss and cover. UK will have many more fans in the building, even if UL and UT fans combine to root against them, and though I have the Cards advancing in my bracket I circled UK as a spot I want to bet. Cats may win outright, but I took the 4 1/2 points for insurance as I really don't want to see another loss like the UNC game I had to take Sunday.

GWarner27
College Basketball > GWarner 3/25 (59-62-1 YTD) > View Post
Updated leans:
Ucla +4.5
BAY +3.5
UConn +3.5
UK +4.5

GWarner27
College Basketball > GWarner 3/25 (59-62-1 YTD) > View Post
SU winners: 21
OT record: 7-5-1
Record on the open: 13-14

Can't ever win in the NIT. LSU was up 10 in the 1H and had SMU on the ropes calling timeout to hang in it, yet the Tigers couldn't cover 7 points. When momentum switched in the 2H Johnny Jones tried to press and all that did was lead to open shots/easy buckets. Infuriating to watch the Tigers show no interest in defense to finish the half -18 after a solid half put them up 5 at the break. Just not my year...

Will be looking at all remaining games trying to find winners, just haven't fared well in the NIT...

NCAA: 2-4-1
NIT: 0-1

leans:
Ucla +4.5
BAY +3
UConn +1.5
UK +5

GWarner27
College Basketball > GWarner 3/25 (59-62-1 YTD) > View Post
-8.22

Dogs 33-39 -9.00
Faves 23-22-1 -1.12
Over 0-0 +0.00
Under 1-0 +1.00
1st Half 0-1 -1.10
Halftimes 2-0 +2.00
Team Totals 0-0 +0.00
Buybacks: 0 +0.00

Covers posted records:
2006-07: 68-70 (49.3%) -1.979
2007-08: 153-142-4 (51.9%) -4.141
2008-09: 144-142-2 (50.3%) -7.657
2009-10: 141-136-4 (50.9%) +1.294
2010-11: 114-79-4 (59.1%) +31.085
2011-12: 91-61-3 (59.9%) +23.88
2012-13: 86-69-2 (55.5%) +11.185

Futures:
2010-11: 2-6-1 -1.08
2011-12: 2-2 +0.529
2012-13: 0-2-1 -0.636
2013-14: 1-0 +1.385
New Mexico to win Mountain West Tournament (+225)
Mountain West OVER 2.5 wins (+114)

November 8-13 -5.96
December 9-10 -1.93
January 13-12 -0.10
February 14-13 -0.04
March 15-14-1 -0.19
April 0-0 +0.00

GWarner27
College Basketball > GWarner 3/24 > View Post
all for tonight...

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Louisiana State +7 (-102) @ Southern Methodist
-Not buying the Ponies, Tigers have the athletes and Jonny Jones want to prove they can play on the road. Small PGs so no advantage, I expect more scoring from LSU's. Frontcourt scale tilts my way and I like O'Bryant as the only scorer down low.

GWarner27
College Basketball > GWarner 3/24 > View Post
SU winners: 21
OT record: 7-5-1
Record on the open: 13-14

Please ignore my other thread, same title with a ; at the end, it has records errors and wasn't meant to be submitted.

The tournament hasn't gone well for me starting with laying off PAC-12 o7.5 wins as I played MW o2.5 thinking that they interfered too much with each other. Not sure how SDSU is gonna beat Arizona, who looks like the best team in the land yet I only have pools to win if that happens.

Went 1-2-1 in the first round with a fortunate push on SLU. They lost for me on Saturday because they couldn't score, despite leading in the 2H, so it could've been 0-2 for me on them. I guess I should take 0-1-1.

Kentucky won SU as I had predicted, though it wasn't easy, UNC then looked great with two separate 8-point leads late in the game only to completely collapse. They stopped covering shooters and let ISU get behind them for what put them in danger of the eventual game-winner with :01.6 left. I don't know if I can blame Roy for it, but his team thought they had won and ISU never gave up. An awful loss to lose the last four minutes by 10 points to result in a loss for me ATS by 1/2 point. Ended up letting my other lean Baylor go and then they proceeded to beat down Creighton in embarrassing fashion.

I now sit 2-4-1 in the tournament, which is more losses than my last two tournaments combined. Here's my attempt at trying to get as close to even as possible...

Leans:
LSU +7
Ucla +5
BAY +2.5
UConn +1.5
UK +5

On the radar:
TENN +2

GWarner27
College Basketball > GWarner 3/24 > View Post
-7.20

Dogs 33-38 -7.98
Faves 23-22-1 -1.12
Over 0-0 +0.00
Under 1-0 +1.00
1st Half 0-1 -1.10
Halftimes 2-0 +2.00
Team Totals 0-0 +0.00
Buybacks: 0 +0.00

Covers posted records:
2006-07: 68-70 (49.3%) -1.979
2007-08: 153-142-4 (51.9%) -4.141
2008-09: 144-142-2 (50.3%) -7.657
2009-10: 141-136-4 (50.9%) +1.294
2010-11: 114-79-4 (59.1%) +31.085
2011-12: 91-61-3 (59.9%) +23.88
2012-13: 86-69-2 (55.5%) +11.185

Futures:
2010-11: 2-6-1 -1.08
2011-12: 2-2 +0.529
2012-13: 0-2-1 -0.636
2013-14: 1-0 +1.385
New Mexico to win Mountain West Tournament (+225)
Mountain West OVER 2.5 wins (+114)

November 8-13 -5.96
December 9-10 -1.93
January 13-12 -0.10
February 14-13 -0.04
March 15-13-1 +0.83
April 0-0 +0.00

GWarner27
College Basketball > GWarner 3/24; > View Post
-6.03

Dogs 32-36 -6.81
Faves 23-22-1 +1.08
Over 0-0 +0.00
Under 1-0 +1.00
1st Half 0-1 -1.10
Halftimes 2-0 +2.00
Team Totals 0-0 +0.00
Buybacks: 0 +0.00

Covers posted records:
2006-07: 68-70 (49.3%) -1.979
2007-08: 153-142-4 (51.9%) -4.141
2008-09: 144-142-2 (50.3%) -7.657
2009-10: 141-136-4 (50.9%) +1.294
2010-11: 114-79-4 (59.1%) +31.085
2011-12: 91-61-3 (59.9%) +23.88
2012-13: 86-69-2 (55.5%) +11.185

Futures:
2010-11: 2-6-1 -1.08
2011-12: 2-2 +0.529
2012-13: 0-2-1 -0.636
2013-14: 1-0 +1.385
New Mexico to win Mountain West Tournament (+225)
Mountain West OVER 2.5 wins (+114)

November 8-13 -5.96
December 9-10 -1.93
January 13-12 -0.10
February 14-13 -0.04
March 14-11-1 +2.00
April 0-0 +0.00

GWarner27
College Basketball > GWarner27 Round of 32 NCAAB (58-59-1 49.6% YTD) > View Post
Updated leans:
BAY +3.5

add
North Carolina +1.5 (-108) vs. Iowa State
-Heels much bigger and Marcus Paige is just so reliable. Would make this play regardless of Niang's status, think he hurt the play a little getting hurt but I made this one Pk regardless.

GWarner27
College Basketball > GWarner27 Round of 32 NCAAB (58-59-1 49.6% YTD) > View Post
Not sure why this didn't post, but it was sent out on twitter at 2:21

Locked in:
Kentucky +4.5 (-108) vs. Wichita State

Updated leans:
UNC +1.5
BAY +3.5

GWarner27
College Basketball > GWarner27 Round of 32 NCAAB (58-59-1 49.6% YTD) > View Post
Leans:
UK +4.5
UNC +1.5
BAY +3.5
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