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Quote Originally Posted by keven vanlith:
I was with this guy until he said the vikings have a very underated secondary. This secondary has been shreded on the road the last 5 games VS much lesser QBs than they are playing tonight. These guys who pick the vikings just do not really mention this point enough or gloss over it. THE most important thing in this event by 10 country miles is bohemoth HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE. Thr fact that that the vikings defence are giving up around 30 pts. a game on the road as of late, when they were healthier than today VS a lesser off. than the saints, makes anyone with a logical mind to say this juggernat saint offence will put AT LEAST 7 pts OR MORE greater than that 30 pt. ave. The vikes will score plenty themselves but their inability to stop this saint off. will be their waterloo. The saint punter will not be icing his foot after this game. SAINTS 45 If the turnover advantage is even. VIKINGS 27 you touched on a very complex issue. The Viks pass defense.One could argue they are bad on the road recently or that they are 2-0 in domes this year on the road and 11-0 in domes total. Also, the other issue is their secondary has been tweaked lately. First, T. Johnson has been spelled by Jamarca Sanford which has helped. Plus, when A. Winfield got injured they tried Karl Paymah. He could burned time and time again and Benny Sapp replaced him and he has been nice surprise. Lastly, A. Winfield came back from injury and got burned. However, Sapp is now starting and Winfirld plays in spots. So, one can say they have now found the magic mix and is playing the best defense of the season. Just so happens these games had been at home.
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BigWaveDave | 9 |
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I agree with your picks, but if you think Indy is going to to the SB, you can get better value by parlaying the ML on Minny for the 2 games as they come up. You can win 576. Bet $100 to win $160 vs NO. Next bet the $260 on the SB to win $416. You have $676 minus your $100 investment for a profit of $576. This assumes Indy makes it,if not you will not see that kind of profit because they will be favored over the Jets. The way you calculated the 416 you are pulling the original 100 back and you dont lose anything if they lose the SB. Not a bad bet either. GO VIKS!!!!!! Great writeup
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BigWaveDave | 9 |
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PP
You make good points. Those games Cincy covered as dogs Peko played and he was their run stopper. Plus, latest injury report the Bengals may be without Hebert and Crocker. They just signed Rico Murray just in case these 2 dont play. BOL |
PistolPete21 | 24 |
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You may want to check the injury report on Sunday. Winfield and the starting ofc. line should play this week. For Cincy Domata Peko
is out for the Bengals. Kevin Smith had 104 yards rushing for the Lions last week. |
PistolPete21 | 24 |
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this is the play of the season? Charlie you said it yourself they have played 3 close games in a row vs. better teams. This would be the spot they have a letdown on the road. Oakland has some life lately with their change in QB. Also, Hall and Haynesworth are both out this
week. I wouldn't trust the Raiders either to win any game but there has to be a bettter GOY |
Charlie111 | 41 |
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oops with a wild card game they will be way over 40-1
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be easy | 31 |
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very rare to get value on futures at this point of the season. Wait and parlay Phily on the money line starting from their first playoff game to the superbowl. If they are a wild card team you will get closer to 30-1.
Lets project out the worst case scenario where there is no wild card game Phily at Minny Guess +2 to 1. Bet 1unit to win 2. Then Phily at NO. Guess +2-1. Bet 3 to win 6. Phily vs. AFC Guess +3-1. Bet 9 to win 27. You win 36 minus your original 1 unit bet for 35-1. Plus, if they dont make the playoffs you save cash BOL |
be easy | 31 |
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Good luck Cappacola.
TB shut down CB Aqib Talib may sit out this week. Check Sundays injury report. Didn't he hold Steve Smith to 1 catch last time. I think SS goes wild this time around and Carolina wins by 14.Great value with Carolina. Everyone betting TB due to the Carolina QB angle but Aqib is critical to the TB defense |
cappacola | 8 |
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Slam,
I like it. Keep in mind home field is mostly 3 points in each direction. So if the first Det/GB game is 14 in GB. The next one in Det. would be 8 not 11. |
slamspurs | 5 |
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Houston +8 - Indy has been struggling all year and have only beaten 1 team by more then a touchdown. First time they played each other it was very competitive.Houston on the other hand have covered a touchdown in 6 of there last 7 games. Look for another close game where Indy wins by 3 or 4.
Dallas - 1 1/2 - Romo comes back to lead Dallas in a must win situation. Look for him to have a big game with his new target Roy Willams. Not only is this a revenge game but Portis and Springs may not play. Coming off the bye week the Cowboys get other players back including Newman on defense. Washington is banged up with Portis and Springs question marks to play.
KC +5 - New Orleans is not so good on the road at 0-3. Mckenzie is out and KC's offense is clicking with Bowe, Bradley, Gonzo and Thigpen looking better each week. LJ joins them this week against NO's suspect defense. NO may be without Bush and they dont
have the running game to take advantage of KC's bad defense.
KC almost beat SD,TB and the Jets the last 3 weeks. They dont have to win here but, are in a good spot to pull the upset.
Tenn -3 - I have heard the arguement Ten. will lose soon. Yes,
they will but you will go broke trying to find the right game. Jacksonville just doesnt match up well. They only have beaten soft defenses Indy, Denver, Detroit and Houston. But, they cant beat teams with physical defenses Pittsburgh and Tenn. the first time. They even lost to Cincy and Cleveland.
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FAKEBOOBS | 5 |
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49ers + 9 1/2
Hoping he coaching change make the difference.& they are the more motivated team. They dont have to win just cover the spread.
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FAKEBOOBS | 2 |
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Lets start the year with a W.
Clippers +6
Houston coming off a B2B OT loss on the road. Clippers finally have Davis and Camby back for a their first full game of the season.
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FAKEBOOBS | 3 |
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This is a ton of cash. How did you let it go to that high of number.
I would have one of your tough male friends call on your behalf. If you dont get paid hire a bigger guy to knock on his door in the middle of the night.
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Lady_Luck925 | 3 |
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These 2 teams look like a similiar. Since they are so close this one will come down to turnovers and field position.
JDro- Not sure why you think the Vikings will have a letdown. They have to win the division to make the playoffs due to the
power in the NFC east. Going 1 -3 puts them in a huge hole.I would think if anyone comes out flat it would be the Titans with
their 3-0 record.
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YouOnlyLiveOnce | 5 |
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It is a bad night my Buckeyes are being spanked.
Thanks to everyone for all their input. Arizona is my vote
this week in the suicide pool. I am such an idiot,I didn't know New England is on the road. I will pay more attention next time.
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FAKEBOOBS | 59 |
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Thanks Clutch, I took the Eagles
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FAKEBOOBS | 59 |
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Classy comment glydeeb |
FAKEBOOBS | 59 |
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I just got into a major arguement with my boyfriend. He says to take the Giants. I hate taking road teams!!! I like New England.
New England never loses.
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FAKEBOOBS | 59 |
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I am considering taking the Rams plus the 8 1/2.The Giants
only won 2 games on the road last year by more then 10 points.
Can the Rams hang with the Giants and cover the points. I didn't
get to see the Rams get pimp slapped by the Eagles.
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FAKEBOOBS | 4 |
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0-0 ytd
under 39 buf/sea
SD - 9 1/2
Minny + 2 1/2
under 44 1/2 Indy/Chi
Jets -3
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RobertoFiory | 162 |
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