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Definitely sharp money waiting for the public to drive Pit up. I should like Miami+12, but I could still see Pit winning this by 2+ tds
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HabsHater88 | 14 |
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After further research, I have decided to flip my pick to PIT -10. Miami has a bottom-5 strength of schedule this season. The games that they won were against "bad" teams, while their losses were to solid teams (BAL, NE). Also, when evaluating how their defense does against position groups, one can see that they are bottom-7 defenses against QBs, RBs, & TEs. They are the 12th worst defense against WRs. Simply put, the 3 B's should feast Sunday. Miami does seem like a great side due to their win over PIT, but Roethlisberger was knocked out of the game, and the that Pittsburgh team does not appear to be as solid as the current one. Also, PIT at home is much better, similar to Seattle.
My Thursday Pick: PIT -10
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Covers | 30 |
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While I agree with all your points, I dont know if Detroit has what it takes to take down Seattle at home. Detroit hasn't been a great road team and Seattle has one of the best home field advantages. Yes, they just lost to AZ as a home favorite, but division rivals always bring a little extra and those 2 teams play each other incredibly tough. Also the lack of a strong run game for Detroit could mitigate the loss of Earl Thomas for Seattle.
At the moment, the only thing I personally like in this game is in a teaser. I actually just included Seattle in a 7 point teaser to get them to -1. Wish I got it in earlier today before -8 so it would have been just a Seattle win to cover. Oh well. Lets hope Seattle wins and Detroit covers the number, for both our sakes lol
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Jerseyboy89 | 27 |
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I think this game comes down to the Giants offense and if it shows up. Yes, on paper, they have a solid group of WRs and some pretty good backs, but QB is erratic and the OL has been awful.
Also, it was just reported that the NYG WRs have been in Miami partying since the game last night. While McAdoo says the guys are off work and its fine, it makes me question their motivation. You are going into one of the hardest stadiums to play a big game against a team that has proven it can win the big game, and you are partying? Makes me nervous. If GB gets any of their CBs back, give me them to win a tight game. I see this game being a FG difference. NYG +4 is my pick here, with the under
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LETGOPACK1234 | 39 |
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Even if Carr was healthy, I would expect that the Raiders would have a tougher go of it moving the ball than they have during the season. But with Matty Mac at the helm, I don't see a result where Oakland gets out of Houston with a W. Houston, while poor offensively, plays well at home enough at home to win this game. I personally like Houston -3, as I see a game similar to Oakland @ Denver happening.
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thehuntman | 32 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Next1: Take the Free Money Giants on the Moneyline! Do you think the NYG offense will be able to put up enough points to hang with this surging GB offense? I do expect the NYG defense to limit GB some, but I don't have much confidence in the NYG offense doing enough to win this game.
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Covers | 38 |
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This line seems inflated. Miami has a very capable offense and showed against Buffalo in week 16 that they can hang in cold weather games. I do like Pittsburgh to win this game, but DD seems too much.
My Monday Pick: Miami +10 |
Covers | 30 |
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replied to
The Texans have a far better chance with Osweiler at QB than Savage. Agree or disagree?
in NFL Betting
When I compared the two I saw a lot of similarities. Lots of check downs and searching for the TE. Issues with pressure (Neither seem to scramble well). I honestly think that it doesn't make much difference between the two.
With that said, I do like Houston -3
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buffer | 4 |
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Slay and Swanson should play. I think Slay is the big factor for Detroit. He is by far their best corner. I still like GB -3, but anything above I'll likely stay off of.
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Blazoo | 5 |
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Hey guys, fairly green when it comes to sports betting. Been getting into the analytical side of it lately and am interested in the mechanics for creating NFL power ratings and developing your own point spreads. Any useful resources that could be used for this? I searched the site (and googled it) and couldn't seem to find anything that really broke it down. Any help would be greatly appreciated. Thanks!
-Also, if this post is in the wrong place, I sincerely apologize for it. |
Ebickford | 2 |
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I find it hard to find value in Detroit going into this game. With how the Packers offense is rolling (AVG. 35 over the last 3), a +4 TO margin over the last 3 games (Detroit is at -2), and the defense giving up only 4,97 points per 100 yards of offense allowed, GB -3 appears to be solid.
Lets also not forget that we dont know if the Lions will have Riddick or Slay back, and with Detroits offense nosediving since Stafford got hurt, and its hard to see how Detroit keeps up. You could make the argument that its a high stakes away game for gb (GB has had issues this season), but this isn't anything Rodgers, McCarthy, and most of the team have not been through. Further, after seeing the Cowboys DL (Down a few starters) get to Stafford in the 2nd half, there is a real chance the GB pass rush makes life hard for Stafford. My Pick: GB -3
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lookingtowin | 102 |
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