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DK NFL Week 1 Matchup: Chiefs vs Patriots
Originally Posted by Digitalkarma
: Already made my pick for this game but wanted to say a few blurbs about the first game of the new NFL season without cluttering my other thread.
The pick: Chiefs +9
All this 19 and 0 talk is getting ridiculous!
Yes we all know the Patriots are the best team in the league(if we are going by last year's results), but this is a brand new season let's not get ahead of ourselves...
So, fast forward to September 7.. Thursday night primetime.. defending champs at home... raising the championship banner.. crowds will be amped... how will the Chiefs get up for this game without possibly getting blown out??!
Reason #1: Andy Reid
If there is one coach i would take with me on the road it is Andy Reid. He has one of the best winning % on the road, averaging about 5 to 6 wins per season on the road, but let's get serious.. this game won't be one of them. However, in 10 of his 14 road losses with the Chiefs he has lost by a margin of 9 or less. You can be sure he will have his team prepared to fight till the clock hits zero next Thursday night which leads me to...
Reason #2: The Playoff Losses at the hands of the Patriots...
The last time Andy Reid went against the Patriots was in the divisional round a few years back. The Chiefs lost to the Patriots who then went on to win Super Bowl 49. 10 years before that, the Patriots beat the Eagles in Super Bowl 39. You can't help but think this will always be in the back of Reid's mind when he gets his team motivated to play. While his head to head record against Brady and Belichick is nothing to write home about: 1 win, 5 losses. the margin of his losses are 21, 3, 3, 18, 7. It's reasonable to think he can get his team to play within the numbers.
- Patriots lack of pass rush vs Chiefs O-line
- The Julian Edleman factor.
- Chief's suspect run defense
- Tyreek Hill factor(1st game vs Patriots)
In spite of what many expert TV talking heads are saying, the Chiefs will miss RB Spencer Ware more than the Pats will miss Edleman in this week 1 matchup. More importantly, it might take Tyreek Hill a full season to learn what it takes to be a true #1 receiver in this league; which might suggest that releasing Jeremy Maclin might have come a year too soon? Good luck with your pick!