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pucku27 | 15 |
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McShady | 379 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Angle4U999:
Divide spead by total. 35% or higher is a play. Some play 40% and Shiman plays 44% and up. Make two 2-teamers on the same game. Bet 1 Fave/Over Bet 2 Dog/Under Many books won't take these with this high percentage. They don't like them because there is a high "correlation" between the spread and total. Some will let you bet both if you change the amount by $1 on one of the parlays. Example last week Alabama-21 total 41. If you think Alabama covers they surely go over, that is the "correlation". They did, so the fave/over parlay won and the dog/under lost. You will always lose 1 of them. Don't expect fave/over to work every time. Many times the dog/under will hit. Alabama won 42-10. If Alabama shut them out 40-0, you lose both parlays. Some times a strong defensive team like Alabama will blow out the other team and still go under. Sometimes a dog will bark too much and push the total over. You never know, some weeks the fave/over hits more and other times the dog/under will bail you out! Always play it both ways. That is the system. You will always lose at least half of these bets no matter what. The key is winning enough to make money. With 2 teamer paying +2.6, you get a 1.6 unit profit any time you win one of the parlays. You have to win 30% of the parlays to make money. If you have 10 and only win 3, that is 3 X 2.6 = 7.8 units won and 7 units lost on the 7 losers. You will have some bad weeks and later in the season these get harder to hit, so be fore-warned. Remember the best you can do is win 50% of them. With 10 plays that would be 5 X 2.6 = 13 units won and then 5 units lost for maximum of 8 units profit on 10 plays. Just be sure to ALWAYS bet BOTH ways. I sometimes bet either a side or total I like within the same games but if you stick to the system and don't bet a bunch of other games you will be farther ahead in the long run. It is a slow grind but it still gives you action even if there are only 3-5 games that fit the system each week. Good luck! Thanks Angle...appreciate the reply!! Explained it perfectly! |
McShady | 684 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Angle4U999:
Those ALL qualify. If you found those you are okay. I have not looked yet, but you are playing the system correctly. My book loves to drop totals on smaller conference teams so I may or may not have the same games as you, but those look like all the larger conferences so we may have the same ones. You have the system down, don't worry! Just be ready to lose them all, don't stick your neck out! Stay with a fixed amount no matter what the % is. GL! Hey Angle - a little behind here - could you catch me up on the NCAAF Correlated Play Angle? |
McShady | 684 |
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I'm here checking in!
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Angle4U999 | 771 |
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The Dynamic Duo! Great work guys!
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Angle4U999 | 249 |
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Quote Originally Posted by SundiattaGames: So true......Money in the bank!
Great ! Thanks...... Florida it is ! |
akuakoi | 50 |
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Great call last night Kalind!
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kalind | 68 |
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