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Play On: Boston Celtics Note: Top seeded Celtics return to Beantown in Game Five off back-to-back drubbings in Cleveland in this eastern Conference showdown Wednesday night. For openers Boston has lost back-to-back games only six times this season, going 4-1 SU and ATS in the following game, which means they have lost three in a row on only one occasion. Cleveland, on the other hand, is 9-14 SU and ATS this season in games off back-to-back wins, including 0-5 SU and ATS if the last win was by 10 or more points. In addition, the Cavs are 0-8 ATS in the playoffs off back-to-back wins if the last win was by 10 or more points and their opponent is off a loss. From our database we note that playoff teams at home in Game Five with a win percentage of .734 or greater, playing off a double-digit loss, are 11-0 SU and 9-1-1 ATS. Finally, the database reminds us that home teams off back-to-back playoff losses who lost the last game by more than 10 points, and the prior game by 20 or more points, are 5-0 SU and ATS in they own a win percentage of .617 or more. Too many numbers for King James and the Cavs to overcome here tonight. Lay the points with the Celtics |
Mr_Covers | 158 |
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Play On: Dayton Note: Flyers invade Redbird Arena hen they meet Illinois State in an NIT 2nd round matchup Monday night. At first glance the situation looks right for the Redbirds, at home off a home win. However, out database tells us that teams in this role in the 2nd round of this event, who failed to cover the spread in their last game, are just 33% ATS since 1991. Furthermore, .548 or greater home teams in the 2nd round of the NIT off a home win are 0-13 ATS provided: they won 15 or less games last year, did not cover the spread by 10 or more points in its last game, lost their final game of the season by 10 or more points and their opponent covered its last game. Toss in Illinois State's pathetic 0-10-1 ATS mark in the post-season against greater than .580 opponents that are off a SU and ATS win, and we'll gladly take the generous points here tonight. |
Mr_Covers | 11 |
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Play On: Pennsylvania Note: Quakers return home of a 32-point loss to host League champion Cornell, fresh of their 20th win of the season, a 33-point victory over Harvard. The win also clinched a berth into this year's NCAA Tournament for the Big Red, marking their first Ivy League title and appearance in the Big Dance since 1988. A check of our database shows Penn owning a commanding 31-3 SU record in this series, including 17-0 SU at home. While this year's Quakers aren't quite up to previous editions, they are 6-5 SU and ATS in League play, including 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS when playing off a loss. In fact, they are 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS since last season in League games off a loss. The combination of Penn's tenacity, and a major flat spot for Cornell, puts us on the Quakers tonight. Penn is our Ivy League Play of the Year. |
Mr_Covers | 3 |
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West Virginia
Note: The Stump Jumpers take on the Steel City Crew in this blood-border rivalry in Morgantown in their home finale. With both teams having cracked the 20-win barrier this contest becomes highly important in separating the two from one another in the NCAA tournament committee’s eyes. It’s always huge as far as West-by-God’s psyche is concerned. The Mountaineers will look to improve on its 40-5 SU mark of late at WVU Coliseum knowing they are 4-0 SU and ATS in LHG’s (Last Home Games) and 4-0 ATS as favorites in LHG’s when seeking revenge against winning teams. Yes, 'home' is the operative word here. With Pittsburgh 1-7 ATS as a dog in games after facing Syracuse, and WVU coach Bob Huggins 17-0 SU in his head coaching career in Last Home Games (6-0 ATS off a loss of seven or more points) we'll bank on our 'Qualified Last Home Game' theory here tonight. Stay at home with the Mountaineers |
Mr_Covers | 24 |
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KANSAS Note: We’ll be the first to admit this year’s Jayhawks’ squad has holes. Their assist-to-ratio defense ranks below the national average and they really struggled in games in which they’ve score fewer than 78 points this season (0-9-1 ATS). Put the shoe on the other foot, though, and they know how to bring home the bacon. That’s because they are 18-0 SU & 12-3-1 ATS this season when they manage to score 78 or more points in a game. Now, roll the clock back to the first meeting this year between these rivals when 20-0 Kansas laid 7-points at Kansas State, only to suffer their first loss of the campaign. A 17-0 record at Allen Fieldhouse this season, and a 35-2 SU mark in this series has us looking only the Jayhawks way tonght. KEY STAT: Kansas State is 3-24 ATS in its last twenty-seven losses against tams playing with same season loss revenge. |
Mr_Covers | 11 |
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'M WITH U IN THIS ONE CK $2000 ON THE SPURS -6.5 SPURS 95 HORNETS 83 |
Mr_Covers | 66 |
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TORONTO BY AT LEAST 15 POINTS
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Mr_Covers | 13 |
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ATLANTA PLUS THE POINTS
On paper, this matchup looks like the Giants should win this one easily. However, I think the Falcons defense matches up with the Giants offense very well, and with the home field, I think they keep this one close, and maybe even get the outright win. The Falcons defense can pressure the QB, something that Eli Manning has not really seen in at least their last two wins. Also, DeAngelo Hall can neutralize Plaxico Burress, which will allow the Falcons to bring more pressure if need-be. Manning has shown he will make bad decisions when pressured, and I think you will see that tonight. The Giants are not a good come-from-behind team, and if the Falcons can get ahead, I think they can win. I'll take the points with the Falcons to at least keep it close enough to cover, and they may just get the surprise win.
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Mr_Covers | 140 |
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GATORSSSS BY 9
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Mr_Covers | 33 |
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