BrerTiger

Member Since:August 2008
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BrerTiger
College Football > - Week 5 - What them winners smell like? > View Post
Tier 1: 
  Middle Tennessee -15.5
  Baylor -16.5     Note to self: Baylor no defense.

Tier 2:
  Northern Illinois +4
  Texas A&M -17
  Ohio -2.5
  Tennessee -3.5
  Oregon -2
  Michigan St -7
  Notre Dame -10
  Kentucky +36
  UL Monroe +33
  Florida Atlantic -5
  Troy -14
  Michigan -10.5
  NC State -11
  
Underdog Special:
  New Mexico State +5 (ML is an option)

BrerTiger
College Football > week 5 money > View Post

BrerTiger
College Football > BAKED & DRUNK( all day) BEST BETS $$ with CURRENT Lines > View Post

BrerTiger
College Football > - Week 5 - What them winners smell like? > View Post
  ...Let's try that post again...

Changes made: 

Tier 1: 
  Middle Tennessee -15.5
  Baylor -16.5

Tier 2:
  Northern Illinois +4
  Texas A&M -17
  Ohio -2.5
  Tennessee -3.5
  Oregon -2
  Michigan St -7
  Notre Dame -10
  Kentucky +36
  UL Monroe +33
  Florida Atlantic -5
  Troy -14
  Michigan -10.5
  NC State -11
  
Underdog Special:
  New Mexico State +5 (ML is an option)

Bought Out (...aka canceled plays):
  Tulane -2.5

Good Luck! 

BrerTiger
College Football > - Week 5 - What them winners smell like? > View Post

 

Changes made: 

Tier 1: 
  Middle Tennessee -15.5
  Baylor -16.5
 
Tier 2:
  Northern Illinois +4
  Texas A&M -17
  Ohio -2.5
  Tennessee -3.5
  Oregon -2
  Michigan St -7
  Notre Dame -10
  Kentucky +36
  UL Monroe +33
  Florida Atlantic -5
  Troy -14
  Michigan -10.5
  NC State -11
  
Underdog Special:
  New Mexico State +5 (ML is an option)

Bought Out (...aka canceled plays):
  Tulane -2.5

Good Luck! 

BrerTiger
College Football > - Week 5 - What them winners smell like? > View Post
  Week 5 Picks: 

Tier 1: 
  Middle Tennessee -15.5
  Baylor -16.5
  Northern Illinois +4

Tier 2:
  Texas A&M -17
  Ohio -2.5
  Tennessee -3.5
  Oregon -2
  Tulane -2.5
  Michigan St -7
  Notre Dame -10
 
Other Leans (No Play Yet):
  Air Force
  Michigan
  UNLV
  Clemson
 
Upset Alerts (No Play - Just For Fun):
  TCU +155 beats Oklahoma 
  SMU +375 beats Temple

Good Luck! 

BrerTiger
College Football > - Week 5 - What them winners smell like? > View Post
Overall:  25-17 (59.5%)

 Early watch....

Tier 1:
  Baylor -16.5
  Tulane -2
  Northwestern +12
  Notre Dame -13
  Middle Tennessee -15
  Florida Atlantic -5
  Northern Illinois +4
  Ohio -2.5
  Tennessee -3.5
  Michigan St -7.5
  UL Lafayette -6.5
  Troy -12.5
  Oregon -1

Tier 2:
  Old Dominion -9.5
  Western Michigan -3
  Miami -6.5
  Florida -9.5
  Texas A&M -17
  San Diego St -20
  Air Force -7
  Clemson -2
  Michigan -10.5
  North Carolina St -9
  UNLV -8



BrerTiger
College Football > - Week 4 - Sniffing out the winners... > View Post
1st Tier:
  TCU -21
  Miss St -22  

2nd Tier:
  Wyoming -2.5 
  Southern Miss -10
  Boise St -13.5
  Air Force -3  

3rd Tier:
  Iowa -13  
  Army -14                                            
  Florida St -6   
  Houston -34.5   
  UCF -6.5   
  Kent St +44.5 (b 0.5)  


Week 4:  7-5 

Overall:  25-17 (59.5%)

BrerTiger
College Football > - Week 4 - Sniffing out the winners... > View Post
1st Tier:
  TCU -21
  Miss St -22

2nd Tier:
  Wyoming -2.5 
  Southern Miss -10
  Boise St -13.5
  Air Force -3

3rd Tier:
  Iowa -13
  Army -14
  Florida St -6
  Houston -34.5
  UCF -6.5
  Kent St +44.5 (b 0.5)

Good Luck!

BrerTiger
College Football > - Week 4 - Sniffing out the winners... > View Post
Added:

3rd Tier:
  Kent St +44.5 (b 0.5)

Good Luck! 

BrerTiger
College Football > - Week 4 - Sniffing out the winners... > View Post
Added:

3rd Tier:
  Iowa -13
  Army -14
  Florida St -6
  Houston -34.5
  UCF -6.5
 
Watching:  Kent St +43.5 - Might go higher closer to game time.

Good Luck! 

BrerTiger
College Football > - Week 4 - Sniffing out the winners... > View Post
Total Posted Plays:  18-12 (60%)

1st Tier:
  TCU -21
  Miss St -22

2nd Tier:
  Wyoming -2.5
  Southern Miss -10
  Boise St -13.5
  Air Force -3

Good Luck!

BrerTiger
College Football > *** Freak Pics!!! *** (Week 3) > View Post
Jimmy, you were right to question Auburn's offense.  Good call.

BrerTiger
College Football > - Week 3 - What's that smell? > View Post
  1.  Western Kentucky -17
  2.  South Florida -14
  3.  North Texas +36.5
  4.  Charlotte +2.5
  5.  Illinois +3
  6.  Massachusetts +1.5
  7.  Georgia St.  +35
  8.  Miami FL -3.5
  9.  Georgia -6.5
10.  Navy -5.5
11.  Army -3.5

7-4 (63.6%)

Total Posted Plays:  18-12 (60%)

BrerTiger
College Football > - Week 3 - What's that smell? > View Post
Well, Arizona St was no good for me.  Hopefully, today's games will light it up!  Good start....

  1.  Western Kentucky -17
  2.  South Florida -14
  3.  North Texas +36.5
  4.  Charlotte +2.5
  5.  Illinois +3
  6.  Massachusetts +1.5
  7.  Georgia St.  +35
  8.  Miami FL -3.5
  9.  Georgia -6.5
10.  Navy -5.5
11.  Army -3.5

Good Luck! 

BrerTiger
College Football > - Week 3 - What's that smell? > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by emchu:
I'm with you boss. Let's work.


BrerTiger
College Football > Arizona State LARGE Write Up > View Post
This is great!  Keep them coming Flutie!    Perhaps you can share your thoughts about the following games:

Alabama vs Ole Miss
Nebraska vs Oregon
Oklahoma vs Ohio St


BrerTiger
College Football > - Week 3 - What's that smell? > View Post
I am only showing my plays based on the most recent lines...

  1.  Western Kentucky -17
  2.  South Florida -14
  3.  North Texas +36.5
  4.  Charlotte +2.5
  5.  Illinois +3
  6.  Massachusetts +1.5
  7.  Georgia St.  +35
  8.  Miami FL -3.5
  9.  Georgia -6.5
10.  Navy -5.5
11.  Army -3.5

Good Luck! 

Just for the record, I have Arizona St. tonight at -18...

BrerTiger
College Football > The "U" @ Appalachian State > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by Damaged99:
Because Ap St is a good team

This.... 

BrerTiger
College Football > Does anybody use the trends provided by covers? > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by combato:
I dont use the trends from Covers.  Typically, the sample size is too small. Any positive results from these trends are more susceptible data mining error.  I used to run Z scores on these trends and I never found anything that gave a Z score higher than 2 ( higher than 2 means the results have a 95% chance of not being due to randomness but instead to cause and effect).

To answer your question more succinctly, no.

Ha ha!  Thanks!  I think you summarized why I haven't paid much attention to them. 

BrerTiger
College Football > Does anybody use the trends provided by covers? > View Post
If so, what trends have you had the most success with?

Those trends have not been something I have closely followed, but I am curious if somebody has with some success.

BrerTiger
College Football > TX A&M vs Auburn > View Post
Auburn wins and covers.  Defense is real.  Offense will come alive this year.  It'll be enough.  30-17 AU wins prediction

BrerTiger
College Football > Just for fun... > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by Urbanwildlife:
ASU and Maryland are also at the very top of my list. See you at the pay window!

Georgia, I am still having to do more work on, but it is a play I am most definitely interested in.


BrerTiger
College Football > *** Freak Pics!!! *** (Week 2) > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:


You have much more confidence in Auburn's offense than I do.  As for me, I'll have to see it to believe it, because from what I see, their offensive woes will be a season-long issue.  I doubt the offense scores in the 40s all season.


Your point about non-offensive touchdowns is well-taken.  I think that's what it will take to cover the three touchdown spread today.



 


So, you thinking about changing philosophy on Auburn yet?  This team is going to win some games.  It'll be a tough game, but they beat and cover against A&M this week.  Home game, defense will be challenged but will do the job, Sean white lead offense will take the momentum and style from Arkansas state and crack A&M.  

Auburn 30 vs Texas A&M 17

BrerTiger
College Football > Just for fun... > View Post

Week 3:

Arizona St -18 (Top Play)
Navy -6
Maryland -8.5

And I'll give you my 4th as well...

Georgia -6.5

I'll put the long list out in a separate post later.

BrerTiger
College Football > Just for fun... > View Post
- Louisville -15 
- Maryland -10.5 
- UCF +35.5 
- Boston College -16.5 
- Cincinnati -6.5 
- North Carolina St. -4.5 
- Troy +35.5 
- Ohio +2.5 
- Tulsa +28.5 
- SMU +31.5 
- Nevada +27.5 
- Idaho +36.5 
- UL Monroe +46.5 
- Georgia Southern -12.5 
- Auburn -19.5 
- North Carolina -9.5 
- New Mexico -12.5 
- Utah -3.5 
- Arizona St -2.5 

11-8

BrerTiger
College Football > Just for fun... > View Post
- Louisville -15 
- Maryland -10.5 
- UCF +35.5 
- Boston College -16.5 
- Cincinnati -6.5 
- North Carolina St. -4.5 
- Troy +35.5 
- Ohio +2.5 
- Tulsa +28.5 
- SMU +31.5 
- Nevada +27.5 
- Idaho +36.5 
- UL Monroe +46.5 
- Georgia Southern -12.5 
- Auburn -19.5 
- North Carolina -9.5 
- New Mexico -12.5 
- Utah -3.5 
- Arizona St -2.5 

BrerTiger
College Football > Just for fun... > View Post
So far:
- Louisville -15 
- Maryland -10.5 
- UCF +35.5 
- Boston College -16.5 
- Cincinnati -6.5 
- North Carolina St. -4.5 
- Troy +35.5 
- Ohio +2.5 
- Tulsa +28.5 
- SMU +31.5 
- Nevada +27.5 
- Idaho +36.5 
- UL Monroe +46.5 
- Georgia Southern -12.5 
- Auburn -19.5 
- North Carolina -9.5 
- New Mexico -12.5 
- Utah -3.5 
- Arizona St -2.5 

BrerTiger
College Football > Just for fun... > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by emchu:
Played BC and Cincy in the morning. Thank you brertiger!!!got more of your picks pending. So glad I've found you
Also sent you s friends request. 

Awesome man!  Congrats!  I'll check that friend request. 

BrerTiger
College Football > Just for fun... > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by emchu:
Hi brertiger. Good job . Wish I followed you. Unfortunately , I went with Syracuse :( but I will follow your ucf and BC tomorow.

Well, good luck to you then!  I hope it works out for you!  
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