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Can't paste from Excel - sorry
HF RD 14 17 12 16 18 22 14 20 10 18 10 12 |
BoKemp | 7 |
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Quote Originally Posted by 1500-or-Nothin: All dogs? Got any logic behind historical/statistical data behind that? Yes, Road Dogs beat Home Favorites out of the gate last year every week for the first 6 weeks of the season. |
BoKemp | 7 |
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I enjoy reading all the write ups you guys do and why you like this or that line. I really do. Some of it sounds logical and appeals to me. But the only way I feel comfortable putting down money on a game is finding historical/statistical support for the situational play I'm making. I make money this way but not a lot. But it's better than making "feel" bets which is what most folks do. I'm just too lazy to do all the research some of you guys do.
Correlated plays: (Take the Points and the Over) Road Dogs: (Outperformed Home Favorites wks 1-6 in 2009) Bowling Green 14.5 (BG 4-1 ATS on road last year) Oregon St 13 (OSU 5-1 on road last year) Good Luck to Everyone |
BoKemp | 7 |
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Actually that should read PICK for the week since the only game I'm playing this week is
Nebraska +14 Things have been too normal in the BCS this year without the usual discussion of who deserves to be in the NCG. We are way overdue for a complication. A Nebraska upset of Texas is the last chance for a major complication. So this is my only game this week. See you in bowl season. GL |
BoKemp | 1 |
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3 & 2 for the Week, YTD 42-33-1 56%
GA Tech -7.5 Syracuse 13.5 Arkansas 3.5 New Mexico 45 NewMex/TCU O55.5 |
BoKemp | 3 |
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Coming down to the end of the season and it's getting harder to find games to play.
GA Tech -7.5 Syracuse 13.5 Arkansas 3.5 New Mexico 45 NewMex/TCU O55.5 Good Luck |
BoKemp | 3 |
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4 - 2 for the week, 39 - 31 - 1 YTD
I guess I need to learn something about these correlated plays. I know folks hate the term, but earlier in the year these were almost "locks". But around mid-October this turned around and I lost big on the 10/24 weekend (0 for 6 ). Something to put into the cap for next year I guess about playing them early in the year and fade them later on. FIU 45 FIU/UF O54 Duke 19.5 LSU 4 Wyoming 31.5 Wyo/TCU O47.5 |
BoKemp | 3 |
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YTD I'm profitable but not by much. I win most weeks but had a hugely bad week recently and lost everything I'd gained. It's almost not worth the time spent doing the research and numbers crunching. If not for the entertainment value I'd probably quit.
Mostly dogs this week FIU 45 FIU/UF O54 Duke 19.5 LSU 4 Wyoming 31.5 Wyo/TCU O47.5 Good luck everyone |
BoKemp | 3 |
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YTD 33 - 28 - 1
Cinci -9 Temple -4 South Carolina 18 |
BoKemp | 1 |
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Adding
Troy -24 |
BoKemp | 2 |
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YTD 30 - 26 - 1, Last week 4- 6.
Really weird week last week. Played all the correlated plays and got pummeled. 5 Plays and none of them split. 2 win both ways and 4 lose both ways. Only one prior 2-way loss ALL YEAR. Weird. This week: Vandy 35 Vandy/UF O48 Yes, another correlated play OreSt 7 ULMonroe 1 |
BoKemp | 2 |
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Line at 44 and O/U at 48.5.
I have the Dog and the Over because of all the possible final scores there are only 4 that cause me to lose both ways : 45 - 0,46 - 0,47 - 0,48 - 0. All other final score outcomes and I either split or win both ways. FINAL 45 - 0 Unbelievable. |
BoKemp | 1 |
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These correlated plays where the the Line to Total ratio is >=60% has been a big winner this year. You're going to pay 1 vig most of the time on these plays but your going to win both ways a lot more frequently than you lose lose ways.
My computer is down so I don't have my stats, but I recall there has only been one two-way loss this year and 5 or 6 wins with about dozen splits. The net is you'd be up about 6 units on 20 plays. |
TRAIN69 | 17 |
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UGA may cover but be sure to stick with UF on the Moneyline.
It's safe - if you know what I mean? |
Thechad10 | 44 |
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Can't cut and paste a table for some reason.
10 plays Line O/U New Mex St 44 48.5 Tulane 36 45.5 SanJose St 35 56 Kansas St 28 48 UNLV 35 57.5 |
BoKemp | 3 |
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YTD: 26-20-1
Well, not exactly handicapped in the normal sense. My laptop crashed that had all my spreadsheets and links so I can't do any of my usual number-crunching till next week. But I did notice an unusually high number of correlated plays this week and I love those cause they been berry berry good to me, so - Taking the Dog and the Over in all of them. GL everyone |
BoKemp | 3 |
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Week 6 - 3. YTD 26 - 20 - 1 Not spectacular but I'm satisfied so far.
Idaho 15.5 South Carolina -11.5 Ohio -9.5 Navy -2.5 Iowa -1 Northern Illinois -10 Oregon St 21 Washington St 34.5 Washington St/Cal O56 |
BoKemp | 3 |
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Here ya go -
https://www.spokesman.com/stories/2009/oct/22/sec-crew-suspended/ |
Shorty14 | 29 |
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Update: SEC Commish Slive has suspended the crew. They won't be working for awhile.
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Shorty14 | 29 |
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Took a pounding last week 1 -5 , but still 20-17-1 YTD
so DAMN the TORPEDOES! Week 8 plays: Idaho 15.5 South Carolina -11.5 Ohio -9.5 Navy -2.5 Iowa -1 Northern Illinois -10 Oregon St 21 Washington St 34.5 Washington St/Cal O56 |
BoKemp | 3 |
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