Barnstorm

Member Since:August 2006
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Barnstorm
MLB Betting > Kershaw line too cheap? > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by In2it:

If LA was not going for the Sweep I think Kershaw would be -185. 

Books know how bettors back teams that are avoiding a sweep and adjust the line accordingly. 

I just watched a Sports Book Manager on TV talk about how they make this adjustment.


Is it easier to hit Kershaw because you will try harder so your team doesn't get swept? In an emotional game like football, basketball or hockey, I can see the motivation to avoid getting swept. But no amount of emotion or motivation helps you to hit a good pitcher. Baseball is more mechanical. Okay, maybe you concentrate harder because you don't want to get swept.

Barnstorm
Tennis > THANKS DJOKOVIC x2 WILL TRIPLE DOWN ON ZEREV > View Post
Hard to explain his play vs Thiem and now today vs Zverev. I thought he would also breeze through Zverev. I thought Thiem was a bit better than Zverev. Hard to figure.

Barnstorm
Soccer > Juventus Injuries > View Post
Typical 2-0 Juventus throttle job. They are a very tough and disciplined bunch.

Thanks for the extra emphasis and support here to back them.

Barnstorm
Soccer > Juventus Injuries > View Post
Strange that many books have Juventus listed first as the Home Team.

I just placed a wager on the "Home Team" to score because the odds were clearly for Juventus at -366. 

Barnstorm
Soccer > Juventus Injuries > View Post
Kean, Rugani and Pjaca out for Juventus. Khedira probably will not play.

Will this slow them down?

Barnstorm
Tennis > Betting the Third Set > View Post
What are the stats on betting the 3rd set of a 2 out of 3 Match based on who won the 2nd set?


It would be interesting to see the stats on each of these:

How often does the winner of the 2nd Set go on to win the Match?
If the Favorite wins the 2nd set. (Close or convincingly?)
If the Underdog wins the 2nd set. (Close or convincingly?)
Are the odds back to the pre-match odds?

Thanks for any info or experience you have with this.

Barnstorm
Tennis > Degen bet Thiem > View Post
Thiem is playing really well. He could do it.

Coric was at bigger odds and took down Murray, and then Thiem whipped Coric.

GL!

Barnstorm
Tennis > Where to watch tennis online? > View Post
This one worked:

Cricfree

http://cricfree.sc/

Barnstorm
Tennis > Where to watch tennis online? > View Post
Where to watch tennis online?

Big matches I can get on goatd.net but others I can't find a reliable source. Sometimes StrikeMeOut works. Sometimes watchsports.live. FirstRow not working.

But often I get errors or they just don't load.

Any others?

Thanks!

Barnstorm
Soccer > Anyone see that Elfsborg finish? > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by Ganda:
 Yeah, but a riot for live bets. Feel bad for anyone on Elfsborg though. 

I feel sorry for anyone who had Ostersunds. Two goal lead with 2 minutes left in regular time!


Barnstorm
Soccer > Anyone see that Elfsborg finish? > View Post
Anyone see that Elfsborg finish?

Elfsborg was up 2-0. Ostersunds scored 4 unanswered goals including a questionable penalty kick. Elfsborg got one with a minute left in regulation and then the Ref made up for his earlier call and awarded Elfsborg a penalty kick in Extra time on a pretty good push in the box. Elfsborg made it and got the 4-4 Draw.

Who says Soccer is not exciting?!

Barnstorm
MLB Betting > Hot teams collide as Rockies battle Nationals > View Post
Line moved towards the Rockies when Nats' Turner replaced Ross. Moving again now. Same reason?

Barnstorm
College Football > Bama should have tackled the receivers on the last play > View Post
Yes, or they could give them half the distance to the goal and an untimed down. That would stop it.

Barnstorm
College Football > Bama should have tackled the receivers on the last play > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by vanzack:

My email is in my profile.  And you can PM me here also.  I think it is a covers thing that you have to be "friends" first though.

Covers' "Add a Friend" thing is not working right now. I get an error message page. Will try later.

Barnstorm
College Football > Bama should have tackled the receivers on the last play > View Post
Or did they feel that Bama couldn't cover that onsides kick without the clock starting?

Technically, it's a scramble for the ball on the onsides kick and the clock runs as soon as it is touched. Unless a Bama player receives it with a knee on the ground and surrenders? That's why that slow roller was necessary?

Barnstorm
College Football > Bama should have tackled the receivers on the last play > View Post
Van,

Can I PM you here or in some other Forum on another "taxing" matter?

I don't see PM available for you here on Covers.

Barnstorm
College Football > Bama should have tackled the receivers on the last play > View Post
Tackling all the receivers, or putting 25 guys out there on defense might be a bit too unsportsmanlike way to attempt to win the NC, but it certainly warrants being VERY aggressive on pass defense.

Isn't it crazy that they continue to allow so much contact on an obvious pick play? Or allow Randall Cobb to obviously push off on that Hail Mary TD reception?

And yet they call the poor Offensive Linemen slobs for Illegal Procedure for the slightest little flinch.

As for the pick play, if the Refs are not going to call it, I guess the DBs have to "switch" like they do in basketball.

Barnstorm
NFL Betting > LV Super Contest Week 4 > View Post
Top 5 Consensus Picks of the Top 5% Leaders of the SuperContest.

1-4 last Week
8-7 on the Season. (53.3%)








JETS (+2.5) vs Seahawks


49ERS (+2.5) vs Cowboys


BUCCANEERS (+3) vs Broncos


BEARS (+3) vs Lions


BROWNS (+7.5) at Washington

Keep in mind that these cappers were picking against a static line. So they may have chosen these teams based on these "old" lines which you may or may not find now. These picks may not have been their top picks if not for the line variance.

GL!


Barnstorm
NFL Betting > LV Super Contest Week 4 > View Post
Here are the Week 4 Top 5 Consensus Picks from my Team of 25 of the All-Time Best SuperContest Cappers:

CAR -3
NYG +4.5
NYJ +2.5
SF +2.5
NE -5

The rest of their Consensus Picks in order of confidence:

CLE +7.5
TB +3
TEN +5
JAX +2.5
DET -3
OAK +3.5
LA +8
CIN -7.5 (Won)

PIT/KC Tied. No consensus.
SD/NO Tied. No consensus.

1-4 on Top 5 picks last Week 3. 
8-7 (53.3%) for the Season.

6-8 on all consensus picks last week 3. 
22-15 (59.4%) for the season.

Keep in mind that these cappers were picking against a static line. So they may have chosen these teams based on these "old" lines which you may or may not find now. These picks may not have been their top picks if not for the line variance.

GL!

Barnstorm
NFL Betting > LV Super Contest Week 3 > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by Barnstorm:
Here are the Week 3 Top 5 Consensus Picks from my Team of 25 of the All-Time Best SuperContest Cappers:

Miami -9.5
Minnesota +7
Chicago +7.5
Pittsburgh -3.5
San Diego +3

The rest of their Consensus Picks in order of confidence:
Detroit +7.5
Washington +4.5
Jacksonville Pick
New Orleans -3
Denver +3.5
New England +1
San Francisco +9.5
Buffalo +4
New York Jets +3

Tampa Bay -5.5 vs Los Angeles. Tied. No consensus.
Tennessee -1.5 vs Oakland. Tied. No consensus.

GL

1-4 on Top 5 picks this Week 3. 
8-7 (53.3%) for the Season.

6-8 on all consensus picks this week 3. 
22-15 (59.4%) for the season.

Barnstorm
NFL Betting > LV Super Contest Week 3 > View Post
QUOTE Originally Posted by Barnstorm:








Top 5 Consensus Picks of the Top 5% Leaders of the SuperContest


Season to date: 7-3 (70%)


Week 3 Picks

CHARGERS (+3) at COLTS

STEELERS (-3.5) at EAGLES


BUCCANEERS (-5.5) vs RAMS


BILLS (+4) vs CARDINALS


JAGUARS (PK) vs RAVENS


1-4 for the Week for the Top 5% Leaders in the SuperContest.
8-7 on the Season. (53.3%)

Barnstorm
NFL Betting > LV Super Contest Week 3 > View Post
Here is my Team of 25 of the All-Time Best SuperContest Cappers:

Bob Bitter 
BET ALL SPORTS
Waz 
Feral Child 
Jarhead 
VegasSportsLine.com
Iced Tea 
Rickja.com 
Toofdoc 
OTB
NO MA'AM
Clevta 
Michael Andrew 
Km Sports 
Dontconfusethis.com
TONY DREAMS
Partners 
BRICAJO
Blue Team 1 
Wisky 
Slick 50
Squarepants
Ebnozn 
Str8 Outta Durango 
BENTLEY'S BOYS

Barnstorm
NFL Betting > LV Super Contest Week 3 > View Post
2-3 on Top 5 picks last Week 2.
7-3 (70%) for the season.

7-3 on all Consensus picks last Week 2. 
16-7 (69.5%) for the season.

Here are the Week 3 Top 5 Consensus Picks from my Team of 25 of the All-Time Best SuperContest Cappers:

Miami -9.5
Minnesota +7
Chicago +7.5
Pittsburgh -3.5
San Diego +3

The rest of their Consensus Picks in order of confidence:
Detroit +7.5
Washington +4.5
Jacksonville Pick
New Orleans -3
Denver +3.5
New England +1
San Francisco +9.5
Buffalo +4
New York Jets +3

Tampa Bay -5.5 vs Los Angeles. Tied. No consensus.
Tennessee -1.5 vs Oakland. Tied. No consensus.

GL

Barnstorm
NFL Betting > LV Super Contest Week 3 > View Post








Top 5 Consensus Picks of the Top 5% Leaders of the SuperContest


Season to date: 7-3 (70%)


Week 3 Picks

CHARGERS (+3) at COLTS

STEELERS (-3.5) at EAGLES


BUCCANEERS (-5.5) vs RAMS


BILLS (+4) vs CARDINALS


JAGUARS (PK) vs RAVENS


Barnstorm
NFL Betting > LV Super Contest Week 2 > View Post
2-3 on Top 5 picks this Week 2.
7-3 (70%) for the season.

7-3 on all Consensus picks this Week 2. 
16-7 (69.5%) for the season.

Here were the Week 2 Top 5 Consensus Picks from my Team of 25 of the All-Time Best SuperContest Cappers.

Tennessee +6
Kansas City +3
Seattle -4.5
Cleveland +6.5
Washington -2.5

The rest of their Consensus Picks in order of confidence:
ATL +5
NE -6.5
NYJ -1
NO +4.5
SD -3

MIN/GB tied. No consensus.
ARI/TB tied. No consensus.
CHI/PHI tied. No consensus.
SF/CAR tied. No consensus.
DEN/IND tied. No consensus.
PIT/CIN tied. No consensus.

Barnstorm
NFL Betting > LV Super Contest Week 2 > View Post
2-3 on Top 5 picks this Week 2.
7-3 (70%) for the season.

7-3 on all Consensus picks this Week 2. 
16-7 (69.5%) for the season.

QUOTE Originally Posted by Barnstorm:
Here are the Week 2 Top 5 Consensus Picks from my Team of 25 of the All-Time Best SuperContest Cappers.

Tennessee +6
Kansas City +3
Seattle -4.5
Cleveland +6.5
Washington -2.5

The rest of their Consensus Picks in order of confidence:
ATL +5
NE -6.5
NYJ -1
NO +4.5
SD -3

MIN/GB tied. No consensus.
ARI/TB tied. No consensus.
CHI/PHI tied. No consensus.
SF/CAR tied. No consensus.
DEN/IND tied. No consensus.
PIT/CIN tied. No consensus.

GL!



Barnstorm
NFL Betting > LV Super Contest Week 2 > View Post
Above were the greatest number of picks by those 79 players.

Here would be their Top 5 picks by differential - meaning most number of picks on one team vs least number of picks for the opponent:
1. CLE (+6.5)
2. MIN (+2.5)
3. TEN (+6) 
4. CIN (+3.5) 
5. JAC (+3)

Barnstorm
NFL Betting > LV Super Contest Week 2 > View Post








Top 10 Consensus Picks of the 79 players who went 5-0 last week in the SuperContest.


1.  MIN (+2.5)


2.  CLE (+6.5)


3.  JAC (+3) 


4.  TEN (+6) 


5.  DEN (-6)


6.  CHI (-3.5)


7.  TB (+7) 


8.  CIN (+3.5) 


9.  IND (+6)


10.  KC (+3)


Barnstorm
NFL Betting > LV Super Contest Week 2 > View Post
Here is my Team for this year:

Bob Bitter 
BET ALL SPORTS
Waz 
Feral Child 
Jarhead 
VegasSportsLine.com
Iced Tea 
Rickja.com 
Toofdoc 
OTB
NO MA'AM
Clevta 
Michael Andrew 
Km Sports 
Dontconfusethis.com
TONY DREAMS
Partners 
BRICAJO
Blue Team 1 
Wisky 
Slick 50
Squarepants
Ebnozn 
Str8 Outta Durango 
BENTLEY'S BOYS

Barnstorm
NFL Betting > LV Super Contest Week 2 > View Post
Here are the Week 2 Top 5 Consensus Picks from my Team of 25 of the All-Time Best SuperContest Cappers.

Tennessee +6
Kansas City +3
Seattle -4.5
Cleveland +6.5
Washington -2.5

The rest of their Consensus Picks in order of confidence:
ATL +5
NE -6.5
NYJ -1
NO +4.5
SD -3

MIN/GB tied. No consensus.
ARI/TB tied. No consensus.
CHI/PHI tied. No consensus.
SF/CAR tied. No consensus.
DEN/IND tied. No consensus.
PIT/CIN tied. No consensus.

5-0 on Top 5 picks last Week 1!
5-0 (100%) for the season.

9-4 on all Consensus picks last Week 1. 
9-4 (69.2%) for the season.

GL!
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