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Quote Originally Posted by Jailbait7127: nice call on hampton... wish i saw it earlier.. Thanks I hit a nice 5 teamer tonight FSU 1st half, Fsu under Hampton -12, Hampton Under, ASU under only put $25 on it put gives me more to play with tomorrow.. Few plays I like so far USC UTAH-Think this is a gift as the back up started games last year and I think with his athletic ability is better suited than Wilson. Plus defense is lights out and Fresno has no d and limited o this year. S FLa+7 Marlyand is in shambles. SFLA should have won this game last year. They've gotten better Maryland worse. Tulsa+30-Oklahoming coming off a huge physical win has to play against a high scoring team who looks at this game as their Super Bowl.. Think Ok comes out slow wins by 17-23 Illinios+8- Liked this team last year but Lunt got hurt. They defense played great end of last year now Lunt returns and is on fire. NC defense is better but still not good and QB is to unpredictable.. See a close game here Cincy-No explaniation needed. Northwestern+4-really like this QB.. Dude had played 2 cupcakes. NW out physicaled Stanford.. Think the get it done. Rice-Really looking hard at this game.. Had a pretty good beat on them last year. These are just leans at the moment.. Will put together bets in the AM.. Would love to discuss so we can all win some money tomorrow.. Lets get a good 4 picks from all the great guys in this forum |
McGuire87 | 153 |
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Hey Acquire..Good write up again this week. Tonight I like FSU as well..Also I'm putting a big play on Hampton tonight. They play Howard who is there arch rivals and haven't scored yet this season. Howard has no QB or defense and Hampton who is always good in FCS has QB who played at Virginia last year. IF you bet on 5dimes Take Hampton -12 BIG..
I'm nervous about the ASU game.. Teams who have played under expectations usually take that aggression out at home vs a sub par team. Tulsa put up 40 points and over 600 yards. I think ASU will put up similar stats. At 28 I was almost on New Mexico St.. How do you feel about -26 now or the over Under?
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McGuire87 | 153 |
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Arkansas killed me this weekend, luckily I bought 2 points for michagan st had Oklahoma and Flordia 2st half under.. This is gambling you have tough weeks. Your analysis are great.. Keep them going and don't get discouraged by others who want to follow you buy yet offer no input
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McGuire87 | 200 |
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I'm on Miami 1st half and Utah 1st half.. I think MiA blows FAU out the more I look at it..
We'll see nothing major on it |
McGuire87 | 200 |
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Quote Originally Posted by jayh91: Definitely waiting for your writeup on this one. Thanks Orginally I thought without looking into it FAU +18. As Miami lost a lot on the offensive and defense line as well as skill positions and leadership from Duke johnson. But Skill positions will never be an issue at MIami if they have a capable QB which they do now. My play is more against FAU- Looking at the Tulsa game.. Tulsa had not scoring drive which took more than 3 minutes. They averaged 20 yards per completion and were 9 of 18 on 3rd town 2 of 2 on 4th and FAU was 4 of 13 i believe on 3rd down. If they could not handle for slow down the athletes of Tulsa they are in for a long evening with MIA. Also FAU defense produced 3 turnovers 2 fumbles and 1 int. which led to 14 points.FAU also had 13 penalties which means they are very undisciplined signs of a bad team. Now FAU starting center is out, Star LB is out and the Mia defense is deeper than ever outside of the DL. Mia 2 starting WR are out but as stated I never worry about Miami and skill positions if they have a QB which they do. Also people forget the 1st game was shortened due to a Weather delay so the score would have likely been 68-0 I'm either going MIA 1st half or +18.5
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McGuire87 | 200 |
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Quote Originally Posted by McGuire87: Appreciate it. I'll have a Miami/FL Atlantic write up tomorrow. Dropping WKU in my powers a little in my next update. Wasn't impressed with their defense. Too many missed tackles and too many times LA Tech got more yardage than they should. Also - not enough drives resulted in TDs for my tastes...LA Tech's defense isn't that great. I agree but their defense is better than last year and I will say this that LA tech back Dixon is a 1st round pick and a lot of the missed tackles, extra yards were just bc he is too good
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McGuire87 | 200 |
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Nice win tonight.. One of the few on covers picking W Kentucky .... let's look at tomorrow's game fellas
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McGuire87 | 200 |
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I don't post much going to start posting more as I hit a lot of parlays and like to discuss with other capers but many on this forum all over LA Tech.. I go with the wins
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AllAmerican99 | 2 |
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La-tech starters played about 20-25 snaps vs a sub standard FCS opponent, almost a scrimmage. They also have a knew D coordinator who is replacing one of the best in the game(manny D). Driskell looking good but he has a vast sample size to judge and we all know if he couldn't get it down with FL athletes, playing with lesser Athletes cannot help.
W Kentucky-Played an SEC defensive and though didn't look to good came out with the win. The also have some major transfer from UAB who look to solidify their defense a little more. W kentucky +1
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AllAmerican99 | 2 |
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Quote Originally Posted by McGuire87: Next write-up Oklahoma at Tennessee +1 ... 0 units (as of now) Power ratings: Oklahoma (#21) at Tennessee (#17) = projected spread of UT -5. Last week, we had UT for 1 unit vs. Bowling Green and they covered. Don't get me wrong, BG is a prolific offensive team - but I expected mroe from the Vols. QB Matt Johnson threw for 424 yards and 0 ints. The top 2 RBs for BG combined for 4.6 yards/carry. That's just not good enough in my opinion for Tennessee and I dropped them 5 spots in my powers. I wanted to see them put up 50+ points on offense (check) and limit BG's offense. 1 for 2. What did these teams lose in the NFL Draft: Oklahoma got 4 drafted in top 120 (DT, DE, OT, TE). Tennessee didn't get one player drafted. Both teams recruit on an elite level so replacing a draft pick isn't a big deal...but it just shows how much UT has returning. Last week, OU covered as a 31 pt fave vs. Akron. However, there is cause for concern - and if you want to chalk this up to "This is Week 1 rust" I totally respect that logic - but it has to be mentioned...Oklahoma was only 4/13 on 3rd down. Oklahoma only rushed for 3.0 yards/carry. Maybe I'm being nitpicky - but that kinda matters. Maybe Akron's defense is better than what we are giving them credit for ... it's possible. On the flip side, UT was 9/16 on 3rd down (BG is worse than Akron on D to be fair)... AND despite giving up 557 total yards to BG, UT held them to 4/18 on 3rd down. BG is a great offensive team but that 4/18 is a key stat so maybe some hidden hope here for the Vols? (Interesting footnote: It is worth nothing - BG ranked #91 nationally in 3rd down % on offense...one has to wonder if their play calling is too predictable on 3rd down and defensive coordinators know what is coming...not good enough for an elite offense like that...at least for me) Also, you kinda gotta give UT a little edge here. Bowling Green is Oklahoma Lite. They play a similar style and have similar quarterbacks...it is a good warm up game. Then again, if they gave up 557 yards to BG.... UT returns the BULK of their defense, WR corps, OL, and front 7 from last year. Combine this with #1 RB Jalen Hurd and starting QB Josh Dobbs...that's why I rated them #12 overall to start the year. Problem is they have to play like a potential SEC East Champ and I didn't see that vs. BG. Oklahoma has two S-T-U-D-S at RB in Samaje Perine (5'11, 237) and Alex Ross (6'1, 220). Both players averaged over 6.5 yards/clip last year. Their top 3 WRs return. It looks like they have upgraded at QB in TxTech transfer Baker Mayfield. However, Oklahoma lost a ton from their OL from last year's team. They lost 3 All-Big 12 OL and only return 2 starters. Lost top 2 DL that I mentioned were drafted...and when I look over their recruiting - they aren't loaded with 4 and 5 star players in the trenches...most of their highly recruiters players are RS Fresh and true Fresh. Oklahoma - it is worth mentioning - is pretty small in their front seven. Their 3 down linemen are 283, 274, and 294. Not tiny but you'd expect bigger. At LB they weigh 223, 236, 242, and 229 - however they are highly experienced and return their top 4 LBers. I gotta give a slight size advantage here to the Tennessee offense. It's worth mentioning that Oklahoma had the #5 defense yards/play in the Big 12 (conf games only). Injuries: Tenn starting FS LaDarrell McNeil is out indefinitely with a neck injury. The Vols also have some depth players still out with injuries but nothing they can't replace. Verdict: Still going to wait for positive line movement in favor of Tennessee. This is the rare college game where it is all about who wins in the trenches since the spread offense and wide splits have neutralized a lot of this. I think Tennessee has an edge here...I also think Tennessee has an edge when it comes to overall experience returning. Oklahoma lost their premier DL and OL players from last year - there is no way around that. You can't lose elite players in the trenches and replace them this quickly. They lost too many. McQuire..Nice Write up.I'm with you on most of these games except this Oklahoma game. Tenn Def was really unimpressive vs BG. I know BG is talented (Which is why I'm picking them vs Maryland) but Tenn DL was supposed to dominate which they didn't so I'm not to concered with Oklahoma's O-line. I also thing the run game suffered and 3rd downs bc Stoops knew they could handle Akron and didn't want to show is hand. I also think coaching will be a major factor when teams are fairly even and Stoops gets the edge here. Plus he has talked so much trash about the SEC, he can't go out and lose to a middling SEC school. Think this will be a great game but with Perine and Mayfield, Oklahoma will be able to control the clock and secure the win
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McGuire87 | 200 |
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Bercovici played twice this year and looked horrible in my opinion vs lesser competition. With ASU defense not being stout and UCLA due for a good game I'm on the Bruins
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Ranger-Rick | 3 |
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Quote Originally Posted by BWS77: Did you really watch all of their games? Other than NC State they have dominated the 2nd half. 2nd halfs: GaSouth 6 NC State 21 GaSouth 35 Savannah St 9 GaSouth 28 GTech 7 GaSouth 14 South Alabama 0 I agree this is a rivalry game..they play ever year so APP state knows whats coming and Blow the GS team out last year with 16 starters back from that team...19 points is a lot in a Thursday night rivalry game. Non of those teams GS has played has any defenseand barely and OFF
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wmevans1976 | 11 |
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Thursday night games are sketchy. This is a rivalry Game which App state won handily last year. Also keep in mind QB for App st 1st start was last week. He had 3 turnovers, They got stopped on downs inside the 5 twice plus missed 3 field goals and an extra point. I'm saying they left a lot of points on the field last week. Be careful with Ga state. IF the spread get to 21. I'm dropping 200 on APP st
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cowboys2288 | 12 |
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At first I looked at this game and said no way Baylor covers wv has played well except vs Maryland but then I remembered watching the ok st game last week and there were 5 times receivers were wwide open to Tds but the QB didn't have the arm strength to get it there..then I recalled who the OU qb was then n how he missed so many plays because he couldn't throw either. Baylors d is underrated and they are gonna be up by 21 at half wv d is overrated
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superhippy | 24 |
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Quote Originally Posted by CincyWillie: Didn't Cincinnati beat the ever loving shitt out of Illinois week 1 and then Miami holds UC to 14 total garbage points at the end of the game? I'm not saying I'm going to bet it, but I'd much rather be on Miami than Illinois. Actually you have it backward Illinois beat the garbage out of Cincy week 2..Miami oh has been blown out by Kentucky and Marshall by over 30..Illinois is the play
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The G.O.A.T | 11 |
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Loving the Picks... I've made money off all Penn St and UCF games this year should be a good one. Tricky line as I think Hackenburg is gonna be a star but still makes freshman mistakes. I think the have the potential to be explosive. UCF is always underatted but they have played 2 of the 5 worse teams in FBS so cant really judge them. Every year the look good 1st 2 weeks then play a big boy 3rd week and you wonder why you ever bet them. I'm leaning on the under.
GT will smash duke.. Duke covered for me last week but struggled mightily against Memphis.. Memphis was very physical GT way more tougher to stop with new QB. I think the over and GT is the play. Rice is very underrated also with 19 starters back on a team that was on the rise at the end of last year.. I'll take the low spread on this game as well
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slick15 | 38 |
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Quote Originally Posted by nitprowlr: It takes balls to be a winner. When your stomach turns as you lock in a play, you've very often made the right move. With only 1 'playable' game on the slate tonight and 90% on the over and the total dropping, I'm listening to Vegas. BOL whatever you choose brutha. Where do you see it dropping? as of this morning it was 54 now stands at 56? Sounds like Vegas is speaking
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nitprowlr | 26 |
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What scares me is ly when ECU played running offenses who slowed the game down they only scored between 20-28 points. With 9 starters back on FAU was never out of the game vs Miami. Though Miami should have had 41 ..there is noway ECU offence is better than Miamis.. With a 2 freshman QB's will FAU be able to score 20-28 points for the cover
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cowboys2288 | 22 |
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Thanks for the picks...Just wanna ask why your so confident on Miami to cover. They have Florida next week so wont show too much in this game..and they are paying respect to Howard Schnellenberger so they are saying AL Golden will not be trying to run up the score and embarrass him. Obviously this will be a blow out but 31 points is high...Do you think 1st half Miami would be a better play?
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bk4lifes | 18 |
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Liberty RB is out.Kent st QB sucked last year so anything would be an upgrade.. Liberty is an ok team but injured going against a high powered offence looks like a 2nd half blow out
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JoeyGladstone | 5 |
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