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60K+ today |
vanzack | 406 |
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Game, set, match. Stumptownstu buried your ass buffalobob. |
PatsRoll5 | 52 |
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Quote Originally Posted by MudPhud3:
I'll log in, open this thread, and post a worthless insult tomorrow just to prove you wrong. See, overrated |
vanzack | 89 |
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As always, thanks everyone. Lets go Niners! In positive news, today is the last day for several months that anyone will call me overrated. |
vanzack | 89 |
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I said he used to be a piece of shit. He's not anymore. I'm not anymore. Glass House. White Ferrari. Live for New Year's Eve. Sloppy steaks at Truffoni's. Big rare cut of meat with water dumped all over it, water splashing around the table, makes the night SO MUCH more fun. After the club go to Truffoni's for sloppy steaks. They'd say; 'no sloppy steaks' but they can't stop you from ordering a steak and a glass of water, before you knew it we were dumping that water on those steaks! The waiters were coming to try and snatch em up, we had to eat as fast as we could! OHHH I MISS THOSE NIGHTS, I WAS A PIECE OF SHIT THOUGH. Used to be. |
DoYouMind69 | 12 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Theasscritic:
Create a thread for u Anyone who puts purdy and elite in the same sentence is “ OUT TO LUNCH “ In my opinion Is elite , should be recognized as elite , Could become elite ,etc etc etc any purdy elite same sentence discussion comes from poor evaluators of raw physical talent , not from specialists !!! Sally the old folks poker legend can spot a bad apple from a mile away, with only one good eye !!! You see she’s a real specialist ! And yes ! I’m ok doc ! For once we agree on something. GL at the old folks home today. Maybe if you hold the rabbit ears just right you will be able to watch the game in between your sponge baths. |
Theasscritic | 5 |
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I never called Purdy elite. Ever. Those words have never come out of my mouth or on Covers. Prove me wrong. Once again, are you OK? |
Theasscritic | 5 |
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How to say you have never had an orgasm without saying you have never had an orgasm. |
JimmyGape | 44 |
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Quote Originally Posted by ChOmP:
The two reasons people are betting KC is #1 because “its Mahomes” even on a down year which no one wants to admit.. I get it.. #2 which is the mostly likely reason of the two is your betting on Spags defense.. if you are looking past all the offensive stats San Francisco has put up this year Brock has put up then you are obviously counting on Brock not being able to succeed against this chiefs defense.. both teams have been flawed if you take a look and have an unbiased opinion.. San Francisco had the 3 game skid which turned people away.. which losses were worse ? San Francisco’s or Kansas City chiefs? Spags will definitely blitz Brock Purdy.. but on plays where Brock Purdy was blitz this season he had a rate of 0.42 expected points added per play.. highest EPA per play against the blitz of any quarterback in the league and also had a higher depth of targets on plays where he was blitz rather then plays where he was not.. which is not normal it’s rare to see this.. so he’s not only making plays he’s making big plays when he’s blitzed.. chiefs are 27th in DVOA against the run.. McCaffrey anyone.. Yes San Francisco gave up a lot of rush yards to Jones, Montgomery and Gibbs.. which Pacheco can definitely have a chance to take advantage of which I doubt considering they have had back to back running backs run on them so it most likely will be a point of emphasis defensively.. but the way Wilks runs his defense I would not be shocked if they give up yards between the 20s and buckle down in the redzone.. KC has redzone issues.. San Francisco 49ers were the better team throughout the season compared to Kansas City Chiefs and that’s not a lie the only reason everyone jumped off the wagon was because of there slow starts in the playoffs but they fought through adversity which they did not do the entire season.. perfect time to do it and that is why they are in the Super Bowl..to me on a neutral field San Francisco should be favored by 4 points Obviously it’s scary betting against Mahomes but this line hasn’t budged and everyone is throwing money on KC.. just seems strange Everyone points out San Francisco 49ers losses but not one person mentions the terrible losses the Kansas City chiefs had during the regular season.. 15 point loss to the broncos in week 8… or the embarrassing home loss to the Las Vegas Raiders on Christmas Day.. they also lost to Greenbay 19-27…. 3-5 over 9 week stretch.. Chiefs have looked good coming into the playoffs against Miami literally with zero defense banged up offensively too then versus Buffalo against there banged up defense and Buffalo shooting themselves in the foot.. then the Ravens who played the dumbest game of there lives abandoning the run the entire game even though the chiefs are 27th DVOA against the run.. just dumb.. quality of opponents hasn’t been great going down the stretch for KC.. same goes for San Francisco 49ers in there last two..both teams are flawed One thing that stands out to me is San Francisco played poorly against Greenbay and Detroit defensively but those two offenses are better than the Kansas City chiefs offense in my opinion.. both Love and Goff had really good offensive stats and playmakers.. apologies for the rant last game of the year.. Good Luck Vanzack |
vanzack | 89 |
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Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:
Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99: To sum up: I think the modelers and stats guys are missing some key pieces of context. They aren’t truly digging deep enough. Statistics and models don’t allow them to. They are betting against Mahomes and KC as underdogs yet AGAIN. It is true definition of insanity. I have no argument regarding your analysis of the game from the KC perspective. Lots of great points. My issue is that based on everything I have read and watched, including Covers, very few are “insane” enough to be on the Niners. From Billy Walters, to Big Head bets, to Collin Cowherd, to Michael Lombardi to Bill Simmons to the entire CBS website football pundits (all 7 of them) to 75% of ESPN analysts (something like 45-15), not to mention Don Juan on Covers and Alien 1, Wizerguy, yourself, etc are all on the Chiefs!!! So who, in their right mind, is insane enough to be betting the Niners?! And if the answer is nobody, then why isn’t this line dropping?! Me. I am on the Niners. Brady lost 3 super bowls. Mahomes has already lost one. GTFO of here with this Mahomes cant lose stuff. He lost to the Raiders at home a few weeks ago. |
andarmac99 | 51 |
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Alright dope. You posted a "500 unit play" in your thread. I responded with "500 units (laughing emoji) - Covers". That single post has sent you on a tailspin. You have since posted about 100 posts about it, long posts. Are you OK? I dont even know who you are. I literally would have not even known it was your post, I forgot about it the second I posted it. You are a super douche. |
Theasscritic | 10 |
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Good to see the Covers Pitchfork mob is up early on this fine SB morning! I would expect nothing less. A full day of drinking and overeating, then watching the game and losing money, then posting about how it was rigged, then going to sleep alone. Rinse, repeat. |
ADyoungVet | 22 |
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replied to
If Bill Been-A-Bitch robs my 49ers of another SB Vicotry you will see my face on the news.
in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by JimmyGape:
You don't understand how much I have riding on this game And not just money My entire future is at stake here The anticipation is killing me I can't take it anymore You need to make some changes. |
JimmyGape | 26 |
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Quote Originally Posted by dukerules01:
I thrived on that in the 90’s , then PokerStars,,, the only problem was Tony in Costa Rica,,, but karma took care of him !!! I remember at 5Dimes when I would get an IM from Tony.... My heart would skip a beat. It was like being sent to the principals office. I have a screenshot of one of them from like 15 years ago.. Tony: "So whats up with the big wager on XXXX"? |
vanzack | 30 |
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vanzack | 30 |
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Quote Originally Posted by KTriple:
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: Quote Originally Posted by Theasscritic: @vanzack Am I ok u ask ? Are you a doctor also ? Is that another field u specialize in ? I’m not the one who thinks a 49 yard fg is a chip shot , u are , lol I’m not the one who doesn’t know what side of the 50 the team with the ball is on , u are , lol I’m not the one who says it’s 4th and 4 with 4 plus on the clock and criticizes a super bowl coaches punt call Meanwhile it’s really 4th and 14 ! Lol Im just fine ! Have a beautiful day SPECIALIST ! I am not your doc, but maybe talk to your doc about doubling your prozac? Jdmoney said the guy has dementia. The admitted to him he is in his 70s and sometimes not the best with his mind He seems like it, thats why I am taking it easy. I wish him peace. |
vanzack | 89 |
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@Riderx You lost the whole covers community when you suggested that they would have to think and potentially work. This thread was doomed to die. Covers wants you to provide fish. They dont want to fish. |
Riderx | 39 |
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replied to
DENVER SHOULD HAVE TAKEN THE 5 YARD PENALTY AND GONE FOR IT ON 4th AND 3.....
in NFL Betting @Theasscritic 15 year old thread bump for no apparent reason? I approve. |
vanzack | 21 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Theasscritic:
@vanzack Am I ok u ask ? Are you a doctor also ? Is that another field u specialize in ? I’m not the one who thinks a 49 yard fg is a chip shot , u are , lol I’m not the one who doesn’t know what side of the 50 the team with the ball is on , u are , lol I’m not the one who says it’s 4th and 4 with 4 plus on the clock and criticizes a super bowl coaches punt call Meanwhile it’s really 4th and 14 ! Lol Im just fine ! Have a beautiful day SPECIALIST ! I am not your doc, but maybe talk to your doc about doubling your prozac?
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vanzack | 89 |
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Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:
50 dollar max for all these Karen type of props. Why waste your time on such nonsense. Would you really think about this type of stuff on any given Sunday? Cmon fellas, aim to be better than this. This is always my problem with props. People get excited about Taylor Swifts views on TV vs Travis Kecles receptions totals - and Im always thinking is the 25 dollar limit really worth it? No disrespect to Igot5onit. Just my personal take on it. Understand the opposing view - take money where you can get it. |
I-Got-5-On-It | 26 |
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