In the history of Gallup, no presidential candidate has ever been over 50 percent in mid-October and gone on to lose.
The seven-day RCP average has Romney up 0.6 percentage points. In 2008, the RCP average had Obama winning by 6.7 percentage points, and in 2004, Bush was winning by 4.
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In the history of Gallup, no presidential candidate has ever been over 50 percent in mid-October and gone on to lose.
The seven-day RCP average has Romney up 0.6 percentage points. In 2008, the RCP average had Obama winning by 6.7 percentage points, and in 2004, Bush was winning by 4.
No guessing required. Clearly it is good for him. The market moved in favor of Romney after the first debate. That pretty clearly tells you what the market thinks of the debate results and where the election stands now.
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Quote Originally Posted by 14daroad:
Good for him.
I guess.
No guessing required. Clearly it is good for him. The market moved in favor of Romney after the first debate. That pretty clearly tells you what the market thinks of the debate results and where the election stands now.
No guessing required. Clearly it is good for him. The market moved in favor of Romney after the first debate. That pretty clearly tells you what the market thinks of the debate results and where the election stands now.
"The market" is being driven by people rooting for their favorite team.
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Quote Originally Posted by depeche2:
No guessing required. Clearly it is good for him. The market moved in favor of Romney after the first debate. That pretty clearly tells you what the market thinks of the debate results and where the election stands now.
"The market" is being driven by people rooting for their favorite team.
Unleaded gas is 3.65 locally, the Yankees are down 3-0 in their series and the Broncos had a huge comeback win against the Chargers.
What does a narrow poll like you are posting about have to do with the larger election exactly?
Wall I sense you are suffering from a case of "denial"
Look at the facts presented by 14. Florida ads pulled, NC and Indiana possibly "white flag" too BOH #'s are faltering much lower everyday by it's own campaign's admission by not ADVERTISING
Finally, we are seeing the light at the end of that fricken tunnel Thank GOD and Bless America
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Quote Originally Posted by wallstreetcappers:
And in other news..
Unleaded gas is 3.65 locally, the Yankees are down 3-0 in their series and the Broncos had a huge comeback win against the Chargers.
What does a narrow poll like you are posting about have to do with the larger election exactly?
Wall I sense you are suffering from a case of "denial"
Look at the facts presented by 14. Florida ads pulled, NC and Indiana possibly "white flag" too BOH #'s are faltering much lower everyday by it's own campaign's admission by not ADVERTISING
Finally, we are seeing the light at the end of that fricken tunnel Thank GOD and Bless America
Watch the internals of the polls. Many of the polls with Obama winning are weighted with a democrat +9 or more sample. Unlikely that will be the turnout this election.
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Watch the internals of the polls. Many of the polls with Obama winning are weighted with a democrat +9 or more sample. Unlikely that will be the turnout this election.
Florida ads pulled, NC and Indiana possibly "white flag" too
You do realize that Obama can easily get 270 electoral votes without those 3 states right? He won with over 350 electoral votes in 2008. Also he hasn't pulled any Florida ads.
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Quote Originally Posted by Crusher13:
Florida ads pulled, NC and Indiana possibly "white flag" too
You do realize that Obama can easily get 270 electoral votes without those 3 states right? He won with over 350 electoral votes in 2008. Also he hasn't pulled any Florida ads.
why does your headline 51-46 differ from what the actual poll says which is 50-46
I provided the link, the fact that you can't see the clearly marked "LIKELY VOTERS" box on the right side of the Web page saying clearly & unambiguously 51-46 is user error.
Which wouldn't be my issue to resolve.
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why does your headline 51-46 differ from what the actual poll says which is 50-46
I provided the link, the fact that you can't see the clearly marked "LIKELY VOTERS" box on the right side of the Web page saying clearly & unambiguously 51-46 is user error.
You do realize that Obama can easily get 270 electoral votes without those 3 states right? He won with over 350 electoral votes in 2008. Also he hasn't pulled any Florida ads.
An Obama PAC has pulled an ad buy in Florida.
From National Journal
It is uncharacteristic of Team Obama to concede any terrain, but Plouffe offered no such assurances about Obama's position in North CarolinaVirginia, or Florida. Romney advisers have seen big gains in all three states and now consider wins likely, although not guaranteed, in all three. They are similarly upbeat about prospects in Coloradobut not confident enough to predict victory. That Plouffe left Colorado off his list of states where Obama's leading and can withstand a Romney surge might be telling.
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Obama has absolutely zero chance of getting 300 electoral votes.
None.
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Quote Originally Posted by Cool_Arrow:
You do realize that Obama can easily get 270 electoral votes without those 3 states right? He won with over 350 electoral votes in 2008. Also he hasn't pulled any Florida ads.
An Obama PAC has pulled an ad buy in Florida.
From National Journal
It is uncharacteristic of Team Obama to concede any terrain, but Plouffe offered no such assurances about Obama's position in North CarolinaVirginia, or Florida. Romney advisers have seen big gains in all three states and now consider wins likely, although not guaranteed, in all three. They are similarly upbeat about prospects in Coloradobut not confident enough to predict victory. That Plouffe left Colorado off his list of states where Obama's leading and can withstand a Romney surge might be telling.
==========
Obama has absolutely zero chance of getting 300 electoral votes.
It is uncharacteristic of Team Obama to concede any terrain, but Plouffe offered no such assurances about Obama's position in North CarolinaVirginia, or Florida. Romney advisers have seen big gains in all three states and now consider wins likely, although not guaranteed, in all three. They are similarly upbeat about prospects in Coloradobut not confident enough to predict victory. That Plouffe left Colorado off his list of states where Obama's leading and can withstand a Romney surge might be telling.
==========
Obama has absolutely zero chance of getting 300 electoral votes.
None.
I'm really glad that there are people as gullible as you 14. I'm going to make solid money from my Obama bets since people like you don't think he has a chance. Obama has not stopped Florida ad buys:
His campaign just bought $4.8M worth of ads in Florida. Also you need 270 electoral votes to win not 300. What is your point about 300 electoral votes? If Obama won 270 electoral votes he wins.
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Quote Originally Posted by 14daroad:
An Obama PAC has pulled an ad buy in Florida.
From National Journal
It is uncharacteristic of Team Obama to concede any terrain, but Plouffe offered no such assurances about Obama's position in North CarolinaVirginia, or Florida. Romney advisers have seen big gains in all three states and now consider wins likely, although not guaranteed, in all three. They are similarly upbeat about prospects in Coloradobut not confident enough to predict victory. That Plouffe left Colorado off his list of states where Obama's leading and can withstand a Romney surge might be telling.
==========
Obama has absolutely zero chance of getting 300 electoral votes.
None.
I'm really glad that there are people as gullible as you 14. I'm going to make solid money from my Obama bets since people like you don't think he has a chance. Obama has not stopped Florida ad buys:
His campaign just bought $4.8M worth of ads in Florida. Also you need 270 electoral votes to win not 300. What is your point about 300 electoral votes? If Obama won 270 electoral votes he wins.
O+0.42% - Current RCP Average O+0.81% - Average using the 2008 turnout model R+1.94% - Average using the D+3 turnout model R+4.14% - Average using the 2010 turnout model R+4.20% - Average using the 2004 turnout model R+5.88% - Average using the Rasmussen Party ID turnout model
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Today's poll reweights.
O+0.42% - Current RCP Average O+0.81% - Average using the 2008 turnout model R+1.94% - Average using the D+3 turnout model R+4.14% - Average using the 2010 turnout model R+4.20% - Average using the 2004 turnout model R+5.88% - Average using the Rasmussen Party ID turnout model
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