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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: System to get your juices going until.....
JEFFTHEHAT
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JEFFTHEHAT
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#26
Posted: 3/31/2014 7:30:32 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by KnightofSorrow:

Holy, so far it is 0-1 as CHC lost today but I'm starting tomorrow with SD

Yes, lost the dog part of the equation but won with the system. 
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#27
Posted: 3/31/2014 7:37:11 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by KnightofSorrow:

puppet, yeah I get the point but instead of chasing you could simply bet on ML and make a high profit or am I missing something
Dog winning outright in 2013 is 85-28
Dog winning outright in 2012 is 70-35

does it mean that for 2012, in 105 games, 70 were WON straight by the underdog?

Knight, I think this misunderstood Jeff's numbers. He is saying that 85 dogs won on either games A, B, C, D or E. And if they lost, they lost all 5 games which could equal as much as 20-30 units. 

Sto Lat!
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#28
Posted: 3/31/2014 7:46:47 PM
Bart, I think Jeff confirmed this:

Last years results were:

A) 71
B) 25
C) 13
D) 3 
E) 1

Total of 113 games, and dogs on ML in these games 85-28 (total of 113 games) or I have a mental breakdown?

Correction that this season dogs are 1-1, as San Diego won yesterday straight up.

Dzieki za Sto lat :) I have my birthday in July
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#29
Posted: 3/31/2014 7:57:02 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by KnightofSorrow:

Bart, I think Jeff confirmed this:

Last years results were:

A) 71
B) 25
C) 13
D) 3 
E) 1

Total of 113 games, and dogs on ML in these games 85-28 (total of 113 games) or I have a mental breakdown?

Correction that this season dogs are 1-1, as San Diego won yesterday straight up.

Dzieki za Sto lat :) I have my birthday in July

Yes, but there was a total of 174 days with games last year. 

We need Jeff to settle this. 

Where are you from? I was born in Zakopane. 
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#30
Posted: 3/31/2014 8:56:16 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by KnightofSorrow:

Bart, I think Jeff confirmed this:

Last years results were:

A) 71
B) 25
C) 13
D) 3 
E) 1

Total of 113 games, and dogs on ML in these games 85-28 (total of 113 games) or I have a mental breakdown?

Correction that this season dogs are 1-1, as San Diego won yesterday straight up.

Dzieki za Sto lat :) I have my birthday in July
This is not 113 games. It is 113 chases, where 71 finished on game A, 25 more finished in game B, etc. 

There is about 177 games here.
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#31
Posted: 3/31/2014 10:48:11 PM
Something's not right here, in regards to the ML dog record.  I went back checked the first 2 months of last season.  The record for dogs in the first rotation game of the day was 32-29, with one rainout.  I have no clue how Jeff obtained a 85-28 record for the season.
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#32
Posted: 3/31/2014 10:54:32 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bruin95:

Something's not right here, in regards to the ML dog record.  I went back checked the first 2 months of last season.  The record for dogs in the first rotation game of the day was 32-29, with one rainout.  I have no clue how Jeff obtained a 85-28 record for the season.

with a 5 game chase. 
not straight up. 
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#33
Posted: 3/31/2014 11:05:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Bart_:


with a 5 game chase. 
not straight up. 

 

He never mentioned anything about chasing the dogs on the ML, just the RL.

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JEFFTHEHAT
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#34
Posted: 3/31/2014 11:36:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bruin95:

 

He never mentioned anything about chasing the dogs on the ML, just the RL.


Post #25 says to play them simultaneously 
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#35
Posted: 3/31/2014 11:39:12 PM
First 2 months of last year taking the RL+1.5 on the first docket number game was 33-23 
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JEFFTHEHAT
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#36
Posted: 3/31/2014 11:48:01 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Knoxpoker:

First 2 months of last year taking the RL+1.5 on the first docket number game was 33-23 

That may be correct but that's not what I'm doing. I'm running a chase for 5 games. If the dog doesn't cover +1.5 it goes to next day. I've been doing this 30 years, I may make a mistake once in awhile but not like that! 
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#37
Posted: 3/31/2014 11:55:15 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Knoxpoker:

First 2 months of last year taking the RL+1.5 on the first docket number game was 33-23 

Not sure how you arrived at that number, but there were essentially 62 days for the 2 months of the season.  1 in March, 30 in April, and 31 in May.  One of the games was rained out.  Your record should include 61 games, not 56.

 

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#38
Posted: 4/1/2014 1:20:26 AM
What you taking today jeff
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#39
Posted: 4/1/2014 2:36:25 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Bart_:


Yes, but there was a total of 174 days with games last year. 

We need Jeff to settle this. 

Where are you from? I was born in Zakopane. 


Not that far cause I am from Rzeszow
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#40
Posted: 4/1/2014 2:46:39 AM
Nice price today on SD +1.5
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#41
Posted: 4/1/2014 2:48:26 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bruin95:

Something's not right here, in regards to the ML dog record.  I went back checked the first 2 months of last season.  The record for dogs in the first rotation game of the day was 32-29, with one rainout.  I have no clue how Jeff obtained a 85-28 record for the season.


32-29 is still a profit, do you possibly have a full season record for dogs on ML?
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#42
Posted: 4/1/2014 3:01:27 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:

Here are the results from 2012

A) 66 
B) 21
C) 9
D) 7
E) 2

82.9%  A & B 

Dog winning outright in 2013 is 85-28
Dog winning outright in 2012 is 70-35


I would limit myself to A and B, so a 2-level chase since I dont have a big bankroll and to pass on chase C would still give a good profit
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#43
Posted: 4/1/2014 3:30:51 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bruin95:

Not sure how you arrived at that number, but there were essentially 62 days for the 2 months of the season.  1 in March, 30 in April, and 31 in May.  One of the games was rained out.  Your record should include 61 games, not 56.

 

Look hard enough and you'll find way way more holes than that in these chase records. It's basically made up bullcr@p
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JEFFTHEHAT
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#44
Posted: 4/1/2014 10:21:28 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Michael990:

Look hard enough and you'll find way way more holes than that in these chase records. It's basically made up bullcr@p

Hey Mike, go ahead and try to prove my findings wrong. I know you are a hater that someone is smarter than you. If you don't believe it go ahead research it yourself. I have every game written down in front of me. I'm ready to school you and your hate. 

Love the haters because no one else will. 
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#45
Posted: 4/1/2014 11:24:36 AM
So today is SD? 
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JEFFTHEHAT
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#46
Posted: 4/1/2014 11:29:31 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by steve2412:

So today is SD? 

Sd +1.5 that is correct
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#47
Posted: 4/1/2014 12:37:34 PM
Jeff what resources are you using finding these systems? could you share? maybe together we can find some more.
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JEFFTHEHAT
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#48
Posted: 4/1/2014 12:45:31 PM
I use SBR odds to check the lines or Covers. As far as creating systems or finding long lasting trends,  that requires outside the box thinking as most ideas have been exhausted I believe. 
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#49
Posted: 4/1/2014 1:18:49 PM
Okay this one is certainly outside the box
BTW, I found sth like this:

Bet any MLB dog if the total is 10 or more

Two things speak for the system. The value tend to be in the contrarian approach betting against the favourite. Furthermore, the high total suggests lots of variability which speaks for the underdog.

Have you checked how the underdog performs in games with high totals?


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#50
Posted: 4/1/2014 1:43:22 PM
Why all the hate towards the hat? He does nothing but throw opportunities in your face. I'm confused.
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