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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: 2013 MLB League Trends Home/Away Underdog Records
oilcountry99 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
oilcountry99
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#1
Posted: 3/26/2014 1:43:53 PM
Does anyone have these numbers from last year?  Covers Trends only goes back 180 days
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sports_Network
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#2
Posted: 3/26/2014 2:07:56 PM
Yes, baseball-reference.com has these stats, they are easaly attainable by a little research on your part, go to the site and look. you'll find them;
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#3
Posted: 3/26/2014 2:16:16 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sports_Network:

Yes, baseball-reference.com has these stats, they are easaly attainable by a little research on your part, go to the site and look. you'll find them;

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#4
Posted: 3/26/2014 2:38:15 PM
Not seeing anywhere on the baseball-reference.com which indicates anything about underdog/favourite stats
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#5
Posted: 3/26/2014 3:12:27 PM
Go to sportsbettingstats.com, then go to trends, then under teams go to game logs.
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#6
Posted: 3/26/2014 3:14:29 PM
Sorry wrong info,
.
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oilcountry99 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#7
Posted: 3/26/2014 3:15:38 PM
Found it here

http://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/trend/win_trends/is_dog


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fadeyoulosers
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#8
Posted: 4/12/2014 10:04:13 PM
thatsv WTF i'm talking about as home dog as road dog wow some are 100% this year 4-0 80% 90 % 75% i'm gonna be rich

$100 units always for me
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fadeyoulosers
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#9
Posted: 4/12/2014 10:33:37 PM
just saw win % needed with avg. price at +135 to be up 3.90 units


43.9%  & higher  54 wins 69 losses 54X 135 = $7290 - $6900  $390 profit this is dog for season anywhere home or away 13 teams in that percentile highest were

Texas 26-17-0 60.5%

Pittsburgh 46-36-0 56.1%

Oakland 35-28-0 55.6%

St. Louis 25-23-0 52.1%

Baltimore 35-34-0 50.7%

Boston 24-24-0 50.0%


so the top 6  with an average dog price on wins of +135

= W 191  L 162 = 353 games 54.1% wins

191 X 135 = $25,785 won - $16,200 lost $9585 net profit for last year

I like this really i do i fooking love this

every year teams are different that i just noticed it switches from AL to NL each spot it's not all one league



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fadeyoulosers
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#10
Posted: 4/12/2014 11:45:26 PM
OK ran it for last year 3 sections here's results my Units are $100

as a DOG anywhere avg price +135 14 teams last year


Texas     --------26-17-0     60.5%     0.8    
Pittsburgh     46-36-0     56.1%    
Oakland     35-28-0     55.6%    
St. Louis     25-23-0     52.1%    
Baltimore     35-34-0     50.7%    
Boston     --------24-24-0     50.0%    
LA Angels     34-36-0     48.6%    
Atlanta     19-22-0     46.3%    
Kansas City     38-45-0     45.8%    
Milwaukee     44-53-0     45.4%    
Arizona     32-40-0     44.4%    
LA Dodgers     26-33-0     44.1%    
San Diego     54-69-0     43.9%    
NY Mets     50-65-0     43.5%    
___________________________________________________
---------------W 462 L 484 = 48,8 %  W $62,370
L $48,400 NET Profit = $13,970


as a Home dog avergae price +135 44.1% & up 20 teams


St. Louis     8-2-0     80.0%        
Texas --    4-1-0     80.0%        
Atlanta     5-2-0     71.4%    
Oakland     10-5-0     66.7%    
Tampa Bay     6-3-0     66.7%    
LA Angels     9-6-0     60.0%    
Washington     5-4-0     55.6%    
Arizona     6-5-0     54.5%    
LA Dodgers     7-6-0     53.8%    
Kansas City     16-14-     53.3%    
SF Giants     8-7-0     53.3%    
San Diego     24-23-     51.1%    
Cincinnati     2-2-0     50.0%    
Detroit     1-1-0     50.0%    
Pittsburgh     12-12-     50.0%    
Philadelphia     14-15-     48.3%    
Baltimore     9-10-0     47.4%    
Milwaukee     16-18-     47.1%    
Colorado     13-15-     46.4%    
Seattle     15-19-     44.1%    
_____________________________________________

--------------W 190 L 170 = 52.7% W $25,650
L- $17,000 Net Profit = $8650

as an away dog average price +135 44.1% & up

Pittsburgh     34-24-0     58.6%    
Texas           22-16-0     57.9%    
Boston             23-21-0     52.3%    
NY Mets     35-32-0     52.2%    
Oakland     25-23-0     52.1%    
Baltimore     26-24-0     52.0%    
LA Angels     25-30-0     45.5%    
St. Louis     17-21-0     44.7%    
Milwaukee     28-35-0     44.4%    
_____________________________________
--------------W 235 L 226 = 50.9%  W$31,725
L -$22,600 Net Profit = $9125

This is NOT chasing; Just straight single wagers no RL's
NO doubling up after a loss the money Won is always plus
just make sure your
dog price averages to be +135
like this one team is +160 other team is +110
or if it's 3 teams +140 +120 +145 etc... etc...

i used lower prices and didn't like the profits-- less than 1 unit
tried +120 +125 +130 ---+135 is the price you want average with win % no lower 44.1 %


   


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JEFFTHEHAT
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#11
Posted: 4/13/2014 11:08:41 AM
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Carpinteria send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#12
Posted: 4/13/2014 11:09:39 AM
Question, so you've found some teams that have been profitable as home and/or away dogs. Is your strategy now to continue betting these teams? I'm a big system guy with a large database to check things on and I was just curious how you plan on applying this to future games



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#13
Posted: 4/13/2014 11:12:43 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:




Bogus numbers Jeff? 
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#14
Posted: 4/13/2014 11:49:20 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:



Yeah this is total BS. I check the very first "home dog" results and he has St. Louis as 8-2 when they were only +135  or more at home one time last year and even overall they were +135 or more eight times and went 2-6


Just all bogus information here
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fadeyoulosers
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#15
Posted: 4/13/2014 12:02:40 PM
ok JO heres the link now show me were thier NUMBERS are WRONG

MLB Team Win Trends - As Away Underdog



http://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/trend/win_trends/is_away_dog

MLB Team Win Trends - As Underdog


http://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/trend/win_trends/is_dog


MLB Team Win Trends - As Home Underdog


http://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/trend/win_trends/is_home_dog

OMFG here you GO JO Hat each trend showing the win % of the teams as DOGS i dunno where you get your numbers at but if you got an isuue go contact the site owners NOT bash me JO


JEFF THE HAT probably wears a $5 hat found in Goodwill


NO i dont wear hats JEFF i dont use chase systems either especially those who refuse to show the LOSSES


YOUR nothing more than a copy cat of martingale and martinson and Labrouche and of course the system dosent start until may 2nd because your waiting for pieces of the puzzle to fall in place


Meanwhile the Brewers are cleaning house on an 8 game win streak


The Marlins are on a 6 game losing streak





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#16
Posted: 4/13/2014 3:22:44 PM
Ok so your numbers from that site are still a little off from mine but heres what i got for just the cards.

Last year (6-0) as a home dog but only one was more than +135 and three of them were in the NLCS vs the dodgers. 


So the cards did in fact kick behind last yr as a home dog no doubt. Im gonna check more later I just dont have the time right now but I wanted to chime back in and say its not "bogus" but there still may be some discrepancies and not sure about these sample sizes meaning much but ill look more later
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