YASS - Yet Another Statistical Strategy

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: YASS - Yet Another Statistical Strategy
irage PM irage
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Posted: 3/6/2014 11:12:18 PM
I thought I had posted these earlier today. Obviously doesn't do anyone any good today.

3/06 - ** Money Picks 
 ** E. Carolina +5 (3 17/1 -5) LOSS +14
 ** Rider -3 (3 18/3 9) WIN +27

 ** Mercer -8 (3 15/3 -5) LOSS +10
irage PM irage
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Posted: 3/7/2014 12:19:35 AM
3/07 ** Money Picks
** Houston +2 (3 12/1 1) +13
** Harvard -7 (3 13/0 10) +3
sports_Network PM sports_Network
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Posted: 3/7/2014 4:56:44 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by irage:

It's possible to track this back, but it will take some time. I don't mean to be cryptic, but once you start sharing the secret sauce, every a**hole with an opinion wants to tear it apart. That's too distracting and time consuming. I want to focus on finding winners.
I agree... Will you be posting the tournament games? A lot of really good hits in this thread, (very recognizable) good work, good system. One question; why college hoops? is your system statistically coordinated exclusively to the NCAAB ?
irage PM irage
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Posted: 3/7/2014 1:34:44 PM
good question. Yes it is specifically geared towards college hoops. I haven't really tried anything else yet. I am planning to post until the last basket, then I will turn towards pro ball, but my experience has been stats alone will not keep you above 50% in pro games.

The stats examine overall defense and offense matchups. I've found greater success by filtering out games <> 7, but it's not a hard fast rule. Also the number at the end is offense and defense strength. the higher the number the stronger the team. Anything above 21 seems to win often. Remember, <> 7 and +21 are the best picks.
irage PM irage
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Posted: 3/7/2014 1:37:14 PM
I will be posting my MLB pick of the day on Twitter #jinxpicks.

Is anyone signed up to win the Billion Dollar Bracket?
irage PM irage
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Posted: 3/8/2014 1:10:10 AM
3/08 - Picks have been filtered.
Boise St -7.5 (3 14/2 5) +19
Toledo -5.5 (3 16/3 16) +32
Canisius -4.5 (3 13/3 7) +20
Oregon +2.5 (2 14/3 8) +22
Butler -2 (3 13/1 1) +14
William and Mary 1.5 (3 15/3 16) +31
Duke -7 (3 16/2 5) +21
UC Santa Barbara -3.5 (3 13/1 -10) +3
Harvard ? (3 12/2 5) +17
sports_Network PM sports_Network
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Posted: 3/8/2014 5:04:05 AM

<>7 +21.... they work ,good stuff here

Toledo

Oregon

William Mary

Duke

sports_Network PM sports_Network
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Posted: 3/8/2014 6:01:23 AM
Could you please elaborate? the "Billion Dollar Bracket"
Keano PM Keano
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Posted: 3/8/2014 2:37:31 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sports_Network:

Could you please elaborate? the "Billion Dollar Bracket"


I think he's referring to either Warren Buffett's or Quicken Loans' billion dollar bracket challenge.
irage PM irage
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Posted: 3/8/2014 4:45:25 PM
Correct, the only Billion Dollar Perfect Bracket.
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Posted: 3/8/2014 7:24:34 PM
Pretty good so far.

3/08 - Picks have been filtered.
Boise St -7.5 (3 14/2 5) LOSS +19
Toledo -5.5 (3 16/3 16) WIN +32
Canisius -4.5 (3 13/3 7) WIN +20
Oregon +2.5 (2 14/3 8) WIN +22
Butler -2 (3 13/1 1) WIN +14
William and Mary 1.5 (3 15/3 16) +31
Duke -7 (3 16/2 5) +21
UC Santa Barbara -3.5 (3 13/1 -10) +3
Harvard ? (3 12/2 5) +17
irage PM irage
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Posted: 3/8/2014 11:54:01 PM
3/08 - Picks have been filtered.
Boise St -7.5 (3 14/2 5) LOSS +19
Toledo -5.5 (3 16/3 16) WIN +32
Canisius -4.5 (3 13/3 7) WIN +20
Oregon +2.5 (2 14/3 8) WIN +22
Butler -2 (3 13/1 1) WIN +14
William and Mary 1.5 (3 15/3 16) WIN +31
Duke -7 (3 16/2 5) WIN +21
UC Santa Barbara -3.5 (3 13/1 -10) WIN +3
Harvard -9 (3 12/2 5) LOSS +17
irage PM irage
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Posted: 3/9/2014 12:16:15 AM
After a monster Saturday if figures we have weak Sunday.

3/09 - Money Picks
Boston College +6 (2 13/3 9) +22
Mercer +2 (3 12/1 -1) +11
sports_Network PM sports_Network
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Posted: 3/9/2014 5:41:52 AM

Oregon +3 SU (premier) WIN vs #3 ASU

an incredible Saturday! (7-2) btw: both loses (Boise St, Harvard) went to OT with Harvard winning on the ML

I agree with your assessment on todays (Sunday) card; "it's weak"  Boston College+6-vs-N.C.State [+22] should bring an interesting result carried over by the momentum of a very progressive/performance; within your system, well done

PTbookiecrusher PM PTbookiecrusher
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Posted: 3/9/2014 9:11:10 AM
Irage are you playing only the highlighted games or are you playing all the games you post?
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irage PM irage
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Posted: 3/9/2014 10:33:43 AM
I only play the highlighted games, but honestly I haven't pulled the trigger on either of these yet. I may just pass today.
irage PM irage
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Posted: 3/9/2014 10:42:11 AM
That Oregon win was crazy, I didn't think they'd win, but they have played well at home and AZ has had trouble covering. I laid off 2k on WM, that was to easy. surprised my book took the bet.
PTbookiecrusher PM PTbookiecrusher
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Posted: 3/9/2014 10:59:13 AM
Are you gonna release any MLB plays through the little blue bird for Spring Training or just the regular season. What was your "Play of the Day" record last year in MLB? Thank you for your time, it is greatly appreciated.
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irage PM irage
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Posted: 3/9/2014 4:41:06 PM
I don't bet pre season baseball. Last year wasn't that good. I dropped out until after the all star break and jumped back in earning a cool 30k in about 30 days. Nothing fancy just good capping and a little luck.
irage PM irage
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Posted: 3/9/2014 4:51:01 PM
Hell ya, Mercer came through, I went light on the game. Consensus was 72% for Florida. Florida was 9-1 ats for last 10 games, just more proof that those stats are for suckers. Oregon last night was another example of garbage stats they use to confuse uneducated gamblers.

Can BC cover, line only moved to 6.5?
irage PM irage
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Posted: 3/9/2014 8:19:08 PM
BC had it, but turn overs at the end pushed out of reach. Just had a bad feeling about that game. I ended up taking the OVER and luckily I got another win.
irage PM irage
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Posted: 3/9/2014 8:35:54 PM
Decided to see if it works on NBA. I'll need to lower the filters to create a baseline, but lets see what happens.

3/09 - NBA Picks
Boston -1 (2 10/0 -4) WIN +6
Portland +6 (2 13/3 4) +17

3/10 - NBA Picks
No Picks
sports_Network PM sports_Network
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Posted: 3/10/2014 10:06:23 AM

Your decision "to see if it works on NBA" has merit: (2-0)

Boston Celtics -1.5  WIN  (+6)

Portland Trailblazers +6  WIN  (+17)

Good call

PTbookiecrusher PM PTbookiecrusher
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Posted: 3/10/2014 4:35:57 PM
Any plays in CBB tonite?
irage PM irage
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Posted: 3/10/2014 10:26:27 PM
No picks for NCAAB or NBA.
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