117 days and counting until....

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: 117 days and counting until....
730champ PM 730champ
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Posted: 1/7/2014 6:10:10 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:


It's a 6 game just to keep it undefeated. Only 7 times out of 2864 plays has gone to game 6 and 45 times to game 5. Last time it went to game 6 was 8/30 2012

Yes it averages between 80-100 in May , more in the other months!


wow great stuff
nghia1973 PM nghia1973
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Posted: 1/7/2014 11:21:44 PM
How is it great?  Have you seen him document this system?  All the others system in here have documents backing themselves up.  There are a lot of good system here (and documented) and no one claim that their system is the greatest.  However JEFF already claim that this system is the greatest but never have any documents backing it up.  WOW!!!!! 
JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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Posted: 1/7/2014 11:39:58 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by nghia1973:

How is it great?  Have you seen him document this system?  All the others system in here have documents backing themselves up.  There are a lot of good system here (and documented) and no one claim that their system is the greatest.  However JEFF already claim that this system is the greatest but never have any documents backing it up.  WOW!!!!! 

I've been doing this for a mere 30 years , I have no clue what  I'm doing. I love guys like you that are non believers. The fact is I'm the greatest system creator on the planet. Yes I'm being arrogant but it's just the plain flippin truth? You can't find one person in this forum with two brains cells that would tell complete strangers how I come up with plays for this system. To call me a liar just shows you haven't a clue. Do me a favor and fade my plays next season I'd like to see you lose your lunch money.

Thanks for visiting my thread 

The Hat
nghia1973 PM nghia1973
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Posted: 1/8/2014 12:41:54 AM
30 yrs?  Then you should know that without any documents backing up your claim, people will call your BS.

Alright Jeff, I will give you the benefit of the doubt and see what you got for the baseball season.  Until then 

PS:  Be courteous and not go into other people thread to announce your own system.  Do it on your own thread 
louris54 PM louris54
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Posted: 1/8/2014 2:32:22 AM
Are these gonna be moneyline plays where the juice is crazy high and a 6 game chase loss would destroy the whole year?
JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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Posted: 1/8/2014 10:52:27 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by louris54:

Are these gonna be moneyline plays where the juice is crazy high and a 6 game chase loss would destroy the whole year?

Yes, money line plays. A loss? Hasn't happened in 4 years so far, it may happen sometime. No, it won't even come close to wiping out the years winnings. The last game 6 was 8/30/12. If you're scared of the chase play an aggressive labby. I'm not really familiar with how much a labby reduces winnings but even if it cuts it in half you're looking at about 400 units.
JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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Posted: 1/8/2014 1:06:12 PM
4 years complete

3065-0 at least one more year to go

breezeyo PM breezeyo
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Posted: 1/8/2014 2:18:46 PM

What is the record for these 4 years thru Game 3?  At what average line?   Do you have that info?

 

JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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Posted: 1/8/2014 3:27:15 PM
2013 record           2012 record            2011 record         2010 record

759-0                     836-0                      722-0                   758-0
A) 461                   A) 484                     A) 448                  A) 432
B) 187                   B) 224                     B) 179                  B) 196
C)  85                    C) 69                      C) 57                    C) 82

That 94.4% on the A,B,C game 

I don't have average line it would tke me a few hours since all my documentation is in notebooks done by hand. 

System stands at 3075-0 I just started 2009 so it I'll be a week or so before those results are in. I might just go until I find a loss, if I live that long 
breezeyo PM breezeyo
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Posted: 1/8/2014 4:44:54 PM

At an average line of -150, you could make some good coin on just Games 1-3 at 94.4%. 

It looks like there will be about 4 plays a day.   I think I am going to put .5% of my bankroll on each play based on this.  

 

JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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Posted: 1/8/2014 5:23:31 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by breezeyo:

At an average line of -150, you could make some good coin on just Games 1-3 at 94.4%. 

It looks like there will be about 4 plays a day.   I think I am going to put .5% of my bankroll on each play based on this.  

 


After I finish the 2009 season I I'll do a mock season or 2013 to see how many games were going and average price. I just finished the first 2 teams in 2009 for an added 57-0
Bart_ PM Bart_
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Posted: 1/8/2014 6:36:37 PM
I remember seeing your post somewhere that the average line was around -144 or -147
Kababayan PM Kababayan
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Posted: 1/8/2014 6:59:45 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:


Ghost, you have no idea how close to home that hit. Last year was diagnosed with congestive heart failure got to te point where couldn't walk 20 yds without stopping. I'm much better now that I'm  on a bunch of meds. 


Jeff take care of yourself, buddy. My father had a heart attack last year and they put him on a bunch of meds.  Funny thing is is that he's one of the healthiest people that I know.
JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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Posted: 1/8/2014 7:03:05 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Kababayan:



Jeff take care of yourself, buddy. My father had a heart attack last year and they put him on a bunch of meds.  Funny thing is is that he's one of the healthiest people that I know.
JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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Posted: 1/8/2014 7:04:46 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Kababayan:



Jeff take care of yourself, buddy. My father had a heart attack last year and they put him on a bunch of meds.  Funny thing is is that he's one of the healthiest people that I know.

flwareagle PM flwareagle
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Posted: 1/9/2014 12:37:33 AM
Do you know approximately how many chases will be going on at the same time on average?
JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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Posted: 1/9/2014 12:57:43 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by flwareagle:

Do you know approximately how many chases will be going on at the same time on average?

Just a guess without researching it between 4-6. I can look into it further when I do my mock 2013 season. This will better tell you what kind of bankroll is needed. 
jedd PM jedd
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Posted: 1/9/2014 11:55:56 AM
good stuff jeff!!!!  good luck brotha.  looking forward to the MLB season
dbartoletbet PM dbartoletbet
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Posted: 1/13/2014 4:36:56 PM
Hey Hat 
Where you do you bet at online or in vegas?
JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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Posted: 1/13/2014 7:29:29 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dbartoletbet:

Hey Hat 
Where you do you bet at online or in vegas?

I bet online, but this baseball season going to try and do most my betting in Tahoe!
JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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Posted: 1/20/2014 12:10:59 PM
103 Days til the unveiling! 

4 years in the books and 3065-0 

See you May 2

Now up at the blue winged animal

The Hat
scfilms PM scfilms
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Posted: 1/20/2014 1:44:30 PM
Can't wait for this. I'm following on the blue flying thing.
Posted using a mobile device.
lisagonnawin PM lisagonnawin
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Posted: 1/21/2014 10:03:38 AM

r all teams included in this system? just wondering and best of luck to u and the rest of us:)

 

JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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Posted: 1/21/2014 11:38:53 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by lisagonnawin:

r all teams included in this system? just wondering and best of luck to u and the rest of us:)

 


All teams are included, plays I'll not be known until the day before though. There will be numerous series running at same time but since they hit on the A & B game at an over 80% clip this should not be a problem or most payers.
gratefulbets PM gratefulbets
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Posted: 1/23/2014 7:01:22 PM
That's some good back testing.
With that much historical data, I'd guess you could find (or know) the series with the worst case chase scenario of how many units were required to net one unit.  I may be wrong but with multiple series being chased at once, and chasing up to 6 places, a bettor might need 100's of units just to keep multiple games in action, not including the entire bankroll. 
How many units do you anticipate you'll need for your bankroll?







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