|I started noticing last season that the lowest total on an NBA board is a game usually played at a slow pace or sloppily. I figured the oddsmakers felt it would be played the same way.
Posted: 12/21/2013 8:25:30 PM
So this is the system me and a buddy came up with. I'm not sure if this is something new or not, but figured I'd share anyway.
Bet the UNDER in the lowest NBA total of the night if...
1. There are at least five games on the board.
2. If the total is lower than 188 (>183 is even better).
3. At least one of the teams is in the East (this will almost always be the case).
*If there are two totals that are the same or within half a point, stay away or bet both.
Here's another thing to look at, although I haven't tested is statistically and it doesn't come up a whole lot. The same teams are often involved with the lowest total of the night -- Bulls, Bucks, etc. If a team has the lowest under and it goes over then has the lowest under again the next night, double your bet on the under.
Last season, the system went 56-44-1 (57%) for 7.6 units. This season, it's 15-10 (60%) for 4 units.
These games are horrendous to watch and will come close to the total since they're so low, but it's made me money in the last year or so, and I hope it will for y'all as well.