Messages

Forum Index : Systems & Strategies : Messages Page 6 of 6 «  2 3 4 5 6  
Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: 2013-14 Bowl System Picks
gratefulbets
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
gratefulbets
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Sep 2004
Posts: 5368
Location: California
#126
Posted: 1/4/2014 4:06:23 PM
lucky…FSU is amazing, schedule not withstanding, but Aub has that intangible. So many big upsets this bowl season. I'm still on the fence as I never bet that game.

Here are my NFL system plays:

KC -pk

SF +2.5



quote
sfg8 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
sfg8
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Nov 2012
Posts: 285
Location:
#127
Posted: 1/4/2014 6:58:25 PM
is the pick sf -2.5??? NOT +2.5... least i can't find anywhere i will get the 9ers as dogs...jst making sure..thxs grateful...
quote
gratefulbets
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
gratefulbets
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Sep 2004
Posts: 5368
Location: California
#128
Posted: 1/4/2014 8:16:17 PM
SF -2.5
quote
glefkb01
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
glefkb01
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 2494
Location: Michigan
#129
Posted: 1/5/2014 8:00:28 AM
That was TOTAL HorseSheet on the KC game.   INDY shoulda lost.
quote
gratefulbets
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
gratefulbets
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Sep 2004
Posts: 5368
Location: California
#130
Posted: 1/5/2014 12:58:42 PM
Well, when you have a line that opens at -2.5 and moves to +2, and then the game is settled by only 1 point, covering is just a matter of dumb luck. 


quote
nghia1973
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
nghia1973
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 1781
Location: California
#131
Posted: 1/7/2014 3:36:50 PM
Do you have this week NFL? 
quote
gratefulbets
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
gratefulbets
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Sep 2004
Posts: 5368
Location: California
#132
Posted: 1/9/2014 11:01:30 PM
NFL...I've been tracking various net values since week #11, and then a few more since week #13. Here are the W-L ATS results, so far.

Wk…..Value A & B…..Value C….Value D

11…….4-1
12…….6-0
13…….3-3……………..5-1…………5-3
14…….3-2………….….3-4………....6-3
15…….4-2……………..7-2…………6-2-1
16…….2-1……………..3-2…………6-2
17…….4-1……………..4-1…………5-2
18…….1-0……………..3-0…………2-0 (if KC picked as > +1.0)

total…27-10………….25-10………30-12-1 (or: 29-12-2, or: 29-13-1)

19…..SF pk………….Ind +7.5……..Sea -8
19……………………..SD +9.5……..Ind +7.5
19……………………………………..SF pk
19……………………………………..SD +9.5
quote
supergoku send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
supergoku
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 28
Location:
#133
Posted: 1/9/2014 11:49:58 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by gratefulbets:

NFL...I've been tracking various net values since week #11, and then a few more since week #13. Here are the W-L ATS results, so far.

Wk…..Value A & B…..Value C….Value D

11…….4-1
12…….6-0
13…….3-3……………..5-1…………5-3
14…….3-2………….….3-4………....6-3
15…….4-2……………..7-2…………6-2-1
16…….2-1……………..3-2…………6-2
17…….4-1……………..4-1…………5-2
18…….1-0……………..3-0…………2-0 (if KC picked as > +1.0)

total…27-10………….25-10………30-12-1 (or: 29-12-2, or: 29-13-1)

19…..SF pk………….Ind +7.5……..Sea -8
19……………………..SD +9.5……..Ind +7.5
19……………………………………..SF pk
19……………………………………..SD +9.5



quote
glefkb01
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
glefkb01
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 2494
Location: Michigan
#134
Posted: 1/12/2014 9:08:08 AM
No comeback for Indy this week....   that was brutal.
quote
gratefulbets
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
gratefulbets
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Sep 2004
Posts: 5368
Location: California
#135
Posted: 1/12/2014 12:59:42 PM
Yeah, I was afraid of that. After that huge emotional  win, then to travel to a rested, prepared  NE, not good.   
And now slightly similar situations for SF and SD. Maybe, like college playoffs, this is where we get off of the system? I doubt that SD pulls another upset, but the points still look good. SF has a good shot if Kap can run and not throw picks, and if Harbaugh will play aggressive.

quote
nghia1973
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
nghia1973
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 1781
Location: California
#136
Posted: 1/12/2014 1:05:49 PM
It's all good.  I'm backing up both Cali teams.  More SD though 
quote
gratefulbets
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
gratefulbets
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Sep 2004
Posts: 5368
Location: California
#137
Posted: 1/12/2014 8:02:19 PM
Whew, turned out to be a good weekend: 2-1-1

Wk…....Value A & B………………....Value C……….….Value D

11…….4-1
12…….6-0
13…….3-3……………..5-1…………5-3
14…….3-2………….….3-4………..6-3
15…….4-2……………..7-2…………6-2-1
16…….2-1……………..3-2…………6-2
17…….4-1……………..4-1…………5-2
18…….1-0……………..3-0…………2-0 (if KC picked as > +1.0)

total…27-10……………...25-10………30-12-1 (or: 29-12-2, or: 29-13-1)

19…..SF pk………………….….Ind +7.5…...…..Sea -8
19……………………………….....SD +9.5…….....Ind +7.5
19………………………………………………………......SF pk
19…………………………………….……………..….....SD +9.5

total…28-10…………....26-11……….32-13-2 (or: 31-13-3, or: 31-14-2)
quote
gratefulbets
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
gratefulbets
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Sep 2004
Posts: 5368
Location: California
#138
Posted: 1/12/2014 8:10:58 PM
Whew, turned out to be a good weekend: 2-1-1

Wk….Value A & B…...Value C…….Value D

11…….4-1
12…….6-0
13…….3-3……………..5-1…………5-3
14…….3-2………….….3-4………..6-3
15…….4-2……………..7-2…………6-2-1
16…….2-1……………..3-2…………6-2
17…….4-1……………..4-1…………5-2
18…….1-0……………..3-0…………2-0 (if KC picked as > +1.0)

total…27-10……25-10...30-12-1 (or: 29-12-2, or: 29-13-1)

19…..SF pk……….Ind +7.5…...…..Sea -8
19……………………..SD +9.5…….....Ind +7.5
19……………………………………………...SF pk
19…………………………………….…………SD +9.5

19……1-0……………..1-1…………....2-1-1

total…28-10…..26-11…...32-13-2 (or: 31-13-3, or: 31-14-2)
quote
gratefulbets
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
gratefulbets
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Sep 2004
Posts: 5368
Location: California
#139
Posted: 1/15/2014 12:44:19 AM
 NFC/AFC Playoffs  (wk# 20)

NE +5.5 is the play under Value D
or
Den -3.5 is the play under Value D

SF +5 is the play under Value D
or 
Sea -2  is the play under Value D

There are no other plays within the systems A&B, or C
quote
glefkb01
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
glefkb01
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 2494
Location: Michigan
#140
Posted: 1/18/2014 6:40:15 PM
Thanks G...  
quote
gratefulbets
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
gratefulbets
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Sep 2004
Posts: 5368
Location: California
#141
Posted: 1/19/2014 2:18:40 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by glefkb01:

Thanks G...  

You're welcome, G…

I bet NE @ +6
I bet SF @ +5.5

3 Team Teaser (ties push) T tp 10nfl 10½fb & 7½bk
Pending1/19/14 3:00pm  NFL Football  301 New England Patriots +15½ * vs Denver Broncos 
Pending1/19/14 6:30pm  NFL Football  303 San Francisco 49ers +13 * vs Seattle Seahawks 
Pending1/19/14 6:30pm  NFL Football  303 San Francisco 49ers/Seattle Seahawks Under 50½ *
quote
gratefulbets
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
gratefulbets
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Sep 2004
Posts: 5368
Location: California
#142
Posted: 1/22/2014 12:52:50 AM
SB 48

System's values favor SEA across the board with these minimum lines:

Value A+B: Sea +1.0
Value C: Sea +2.0
Value D: Sea +1.0

I made a small internet bet before my trip to LV on 02/01:
101 Seattle Seahawks +2½ -110* vs Denver Broncos 
quote
Forum Index : Systems & Strategies : Messages Page 6 of 6 «  2 3 4 5 6  
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.