ncaaf correlated parlays

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: ncaaf correlated parlays
MakeThatCasH PM MakeThatCasH
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Posted: 10/11/2013 3:28:46 PM
 ERBATIZ, can you PM me the details for the 1h? I read a few different things and want to get it right
JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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Posted: 10/11/2013 7:09:44 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by clem1:

3 college cps 173/178/190
2 pending @ 39% 110/120
1 nfl 222
4 plays thus far

How are any of those plays?

173 is 52.4%
178 is 39.8%
190 is 54.9%

222 in NFL is 49% right now

None of those are correlated in the true sense of what it was meant to be. 






JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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Posted: 10/11/2013 7:16:01 PM
Very Interesting did some research and it seems I was told some wrong info. I was told correlated parlays were from 25% to 35% hmm sorry for confusion.
ERBATIZ PM ERBATIZ
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Posted: 10/11/2013 10:20:18 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MakeThatCasH:

 ERBATIZ, can you PM me the details for the 1h? I read a few different things and want to get it right

I played 1h for 3 years exelent results,, just take any game  total is 7.5 or higher 2 parlays in the same game fav/over     dog/under  i cant play them anymore   yesterday lou was a winner dog/under +11/27.5, cinci is a lost DOG/OVER +11/27

tomorrow  i see some games for 1h  nebraska,tcu,texas tech,ohio,ball st,troy,baylor,clemson,n,illinois,arkansas,ucla, arizona st, alabama,wyoming,oregon,texas,  some of them the line is 7 wait if  it moves to 7.5 and go for it ..BOL
MakeThatCasH PM MakeThatCasH
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Posted: 10/11/2013 10:31:54 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ERBATIZ:


I played 1h for 3 years exelent results,, just take any game  total is 7.5 or higher 2 parlays in the same game fav/over     dog/under  i cant play them anymore   yesterday lou was a winner dog/under +11/27.5, cinci is a lost DOG/OVER +11/27

tomorrow  i see some games for 1h  nebraska,tcu,texas tech,ohio,ball st,troy,baylor,clemson,n,illinois,arkansas,ucla, arizona st, alabama,wyoming,oregon,texas,  some of them the line is 7 wait if  it moves to 7.5 and go for it ..BOL

Thanks, I thought it was no play if the total is over 35??? Baylor and a few of those have a total over 35
ERBATIZ PM ERBATIZ
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Posted: 10/11/2013 10:35:46 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MakeThatCasH:


Thanks, I thought it was no play if the total is over 35??? Baylor and a few of those have a total over 35
last season i played any total
puppetm716 PM puppetm716
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Posted: 10/12/2013 12:12:51 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by clem1:

explain please - thnx

I have never played correlated parlays or backtested.

I was suggesting seeing the "books" don't allow wagering parlays within the same game -

ex Oregon and Oregon over

    Alabama and Alabama over   maybe  wager

    Oregon with Alabama over  and then

    Alabama with Oregon over

 

Wouldn't you need the same results in order to win ? and the "books" would take the online wagering.

I'm am just throwing it out there.

Interested in anyone's opinion.

Thank You and Best of Luck

clem1 PM clem1
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Posted: 10/12/2013 3:14:24 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MakeThatCasH:


Do you only play 1h?

What are your plays for Saturday?


no 1h and sat plays listed in post #40
clem1 PM clem1
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Posted: 10/12/2013 3:16:36 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:


How are any of those plays?

173 is 52.4%
178 is 39.8%
190 is 54.9%

222 in NFL is 49% right now

None of those are correlated in the true sense of what it was meant to be. 






i got 178 in @ 40.1% 24.5/61
clem1 PM clem1
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Posted: 10/12/2013 3:19:42 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by puppetm716:

I have never played correlated parlays or backtested.

I was suggesting seeing the "books" don't allow wagering parlays within the same game -

ex Oregon and Oregon over

    Alabama and Alabama over   maybe  wager

    Oregon with Alabama over  and then

    Alabama with Oregon over

 

Wouldn't you need the same results in order to win ? and the "books" would take the online wagering.

I'm am just throwing it out there.

Interested in anyone's opinion.

Thank You and Best of Luck

this would defy the cp system and result in loss long term or maybe even short term - that would just be a reg parlay
clem1 PM clem1
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Posted: 10/12/2013 3:31:15 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:

Very Interesting did some research and it seems I was told some wrong info. I was told correlated parlays were from 25% to 35% hmm sorry for confusion.
most sportbooks cut off at 30% - reason 40% is the play number is because that and above has proven to be most successful 
clem1 PM clem1
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Posted: 10/12/2013 4:52:21 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:


How are any of those plays?

173 is 52.4%
178 is 39.8%
190 is 54.9%

222 in NFL is 49% right now

None of those are correlated in the true sense of what it was meant to be. 






222 in nfl is now 50% - i got it in @ 51.4% den 27/52.5
clem1 PM clem1
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Posted: 10/13/2013 9:05:56 AM
cps went 2-1 yesterday
den pending today
ross33 PM ross33
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Posted: 10/13/2013 7:24:45 PM

TN/Seattle at the .30 level came through for me.

So did first half of Detroit/KansasCity, also at .30.

ross33 PM ross33
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Posted: 10/13/2013 10:16:33 PM

I frequently cross two games if the spread and totals are close to each other. 

If the game dynamics are similar, you should get  good outcome.

You need to lose all 4 parlays, which has seldom happened to me, to take a loss.

If you win 2, you are a big winner.

If you win just 1, you lose just a little.

ross33 PM ross33
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Posted: 10/13/2013 10:18:08 PM
I forgot to mention that these can be made online.
bDnews PM bDnews
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Posted: 10/13/2013 10:20:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ross33:

I frequently cross two games if the spread and totals are close to each other. 

If the game dynamics are similar, you should get  good outcome.

You need to lose all 4 parlays, which has seldom happened to me, to take a loss.

If you win 2, you are a big winner.

If you win just 1, you lose just a little.


Can you give an example of your most recent plays using this strategy? Thanks
ross33 PM ross33
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Posted: 10/13/2013 11:02:21 PM

I used Clemson/BC and NoiLL/Akron.  Winner!

BUT I just noticed that on another 2 games....Temple/Cinci and Ohio./CMich  I neglected to make one of the bets, which was fortunate because it was a loser, the bets I did make gave me a winner.

You have to be careful when doing this, its easy to mess up. If you like the idea I would suggest trying it with a minimum of money to see if you like it.

stats1 PM stats1
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Posted: 10/15/2013 12:29:50 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by clem1:

cps went 2-1 yesterday
den pending today
 3-2 sat.  Won bama,kan, and bc lost ark.st and ari.st. 
    0-1 Sunday  
ross33 PM ross33
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Posted: 10/15/2013 5:39:15 AM

0-1 Sunday?  There were no .40 + games on Sunday. There usually are not.  Jax last week was a rare exception 

Yesterday TN/Seattle was the only one that came close (.26) which I played and won.

clem1 PM clem1
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Posted: 10/15/2013 6:28:33 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ross33:

0-1 Sunday?  There were no .40 + games on Sunday. There usually are not.  Jax last week was a rare exception 

Yesterday TN/Seattle was the only one that came close (.26) which I played and won.

yes there was den game was 50%
stats1 PM stats1
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Posted: 10/15/2013 10:11:39 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ross33:

0-1 Sunday?  There were no .40 + games on Sunday. There usually are not.  Jax last week was a rare exception 

Yesterday TN/Seattle was the only one that came close (.26) which I played and won.

 last time i checked 27/52 =50%  
ross33 PM ross33
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Posted: 10/15/2013 12:07:25 PM

Right you are, forgot about that one, a narrow loss I think.

 

clem1 PM clem1
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Posted: 10/15/2013 12:26:33 PM
as of now 7 cps this week - 320/322/342/352/370/376/377
SPARTICUS PM SPARTICUS
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Posted: 10/15/2013 12:32:05 PM
I'm aboard, after reading about cp's here,thanks & gl.
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